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EarlG

(21,948 posts)
Fri Dec 28, 2018, 01:32 PM Dec 2018

Shutdown a no-win situation for Republicans?

The Senate passed a Continuing Resolution with no wall funding on Dec. 19. The House then blew up the CR the next day by voting on a different version which added $5 billion in wall funding, which couldn’t pass the Senate. Trump was thus protected from having to take any action (other than to whine on Twitter) as the government shut down.

So when Democrats take over the House on Jan. 3, can’t they can just pass a new CR with identical wall-less language to the bill which originally passed the Senate, and send it back to the Senate?

Then, either:

1) Mitch McConnell refuses to allow a vote on the new CR, even though the Senate already passed this exact bill, making him responsible for the shutdown.

2) McConnell allows a vote on the CR and the Senate votes it down, putting a number of vulnerable Senators in the position of having voted against a bill they already voted for, for no reason, making the shutdown their fault.

3) McConnell allows a vote and the bill passes the Senate, sending it to Trump’s desk to sign. If he signs it, boom, government reopens, Trump loses. If he vetoes it, he’s vetoed bi-partisan legislation which passed both the Democratic House and the Republican Senate, putting the shutdown squarely at his feet.

Isn’t this a no-win situation for Republicans, or am I missing something?

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Shutdown a no-win situation for Republicans? (Original Post) EarlG Dec 2018 OP
senate doesnt need a sinlge dem vote AlexSFCA Dec 2018 #1
He won't edhopper Dec 2018 #2
then that's still gop problem not dems AlexSFCA Dec 2018 #10
You mean the shutdown? edhopper Dec 2018 #18
yes, the shutdown and ability to pass budget AlexSFCA Dec 2018 #19
They won't edhopper Dec 2018 #20
There are 7 Republicans who already said they will not change the rules louis c Dec 2018 #15
again gop problem AlexSFCA Dec 2018 #16
you're missing something maxsolomon Dec 2018 #3
That's their stance, sure EarlG Dec 2018 #8
I distinguish between the Senate GOP and Trump maxsolomon Dec 2018 #9
Trump already is the sole owner of the shutdown. Mr.Bill Dec 2018 #14
We'll be pushing two weeks by the start of the new congress. progressoid Dec 2018 #12
what pressure? which citizens? maxsolomon Dec 2018 #13
I agree. As soon as the Democrats take control of the House the Republicans and their jalan48 Dec 2018 #17
It's a no-win situation for any rational person looking at it. Yonnie3 Dec 2018 #4
The real "no-win" situation billh58 Dec 2018 #5
Perfect malaise Dec 2018 #6
It would *seem* to be Proud Liberal Dem Dec 2018 #7
Good thinking cp Dec 2018 #11

AlexSFCA

(6,137 posts)
1. senate doesnt need a sinlge dem vote
Fri Dec 28, 2018, 01:49 PM
Dec 2018

they only need 50 votes; all mcturtle needs to do is change the rules.

edhopper

(33,580 posts)
2. He won't
Fri Dec 28, 2018, 01:54 PM
Dec 2018

they are 2 years away from being in the minority, and he would be giving the Dems carte blanche.

Too many GOP Senators would not agree.

AlexSFCA

(6,137 posts)
19. yes, the shutdown and ability to pass budget
Fri Dec 28, 2018, 04:51 PM
Dec 2018

like I said, they need exactly zero dem votes to do anything they want; they are in charge of all rules in the senate. It is inaccurate to say they need dem votes; they are unwilling to change the rules - that’s the story. We want them to change the rules so that we can take advantage of that when take over the senate and presidency and can pass all the bills in the world in a matter of months transforming the country barring RW courts interference - which we can also expand with simple majority.

edhopper

(33,580 posts)
20. They won't
Fri Dec 28, 2018, 04:56 PM
Dec 2018

because it will come back and bite them in 2020.

And enough GOP Senators said they won't vote for the rule change.

Besides they have to change the rules at the beginning of the Session. The Dems will have the House if they did change the rules next week.

And the GOP did pass a CR, it's Trump who completely owns this.

maxsolomon

(33,345 posts)
3. you're missing something
Fri Dec 28, 2018, 01:55 PM
Dec 2018

Trump and his GOP have decided their opening move in the new congress is this shutdown. it's not just a tantrum; it's "negotiation".

pick a fight that doesn't need to be fought, sow chaos, hold the innocent hostage. we're right back where we were during Obama's 8 years.

anyone who thinks President Asshole doesn't have cards left to play is wrong. he doesn't give a fuck about the federal government and neither do his fellow grifters; he was hired to wreck the place.

EarlG

(21,948 posts)
8. That's their stance, sure
Fri Dec 28, 2018, 03:06 PM
Dec 2018

But do a majority of Republican Senators really want a prolonged shutdown? They already passed a no-wall CR before Christmas that would have kept the government open. If the House hands them that CR again, will a majority go to the mat for Trump’s wall? If not, his only option is to veto the CR if he wants to keep this up, which would make him the sole owner of the shutdown.

maxsolomon

(33,345 posts)
9. I distinguish between the Senate GOP and Trump
Fri Dec 28, 2018, 03:14 PM
Dec 2018

Some Senators are fine with it, I'd wager: Cotton, Lee, Paul, other Tea-party bomb-throwers. Maybe the new racist dim bulb from MS.

If it goes into February maybe the rest of them will make a peep. Don't count on it from any that are up for re-election in 2020 - they're afraid of a primary challenge from their right.

That said, I hope the new House takes the tack you're suggesting. It's a fine opening move.

Mr.Bill

(24,292 posts)
14. Trump already is the sole owner of the shutdown.
Fri Dec 28, 2018, 04:21 PM
Dec 2018

There is video of him saying so. The DNC needs to make a commercial out of that video/audio and flood the TV and radio airwaves with it to a point where every American citizen has heard it numerous times. We can't afford a situation where only people who watch cable and network news have heard it.

progressoid

(49,990 posts)
12. We'll be pushing two weeks by the start of the new congress.
Fri Dec 28, 2018, 04:05 PM
Dec 2018

I think the pressure from citizens is going to be hard to ignore. And when crucial services start to fail, they'll voice their displeasure.

We also have the advantage that most Americans don't give a shit about the wall.

maxsolomon

(33,345 posts)
13. what pressure? which citizens?
Fri Dec 28, 2018, 04:15 PM
Dec 2018

what we libs want doesn't count with Trump or his anti-federal arsonists. our anger and frustration is their joy; stigginit is why they elected him.

which essential services will start to fail? essential service employees have to continue working, without pay. the IRS will shut down and Trumpists will cheer.

https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2018/12/20/18136667/partial-government-shutdown-post-office-military-passports

jalan48

(13,865 posts)
17. I agree. As soon as the Democrats take control of the House the Republicans and their
Fri Dec 28, 2018, 04:35 PM
Dec 2018

propaganda machine will change the narrative accusing the Democrats of being responsible for the shut down. The general public will get confused and with the 24/7 propaganda machine in full throttle Republicans will force Democrats to be on the defensive.

Yonnie3

(17,441 posts)
4. It's a no-win situation for any rational person looking at it.
Fri Dec 28, 2018, 02:07 PM
Dec 2018

In the world of alternative facts, a win will be declared by President Hannity, repeated by Faux, and then by tRump. A significant portion of the die hard tRump base will believe they are winning.


billh58

(6,635 posts)
5. The real "no-win" situation
Fri Dec 28, 2018, 02:41 PM
Dec 2018

is about the Federal workers, and the uncounted Federal contract workers that are collectively losing millions of dollars in income daily.

The Republican politicians continue to be paid and are warm and snug in their taxpayer funded beds.

How is any of this a good thing?

Proud Liberal Dem

(24,412 posts)
7. It would *seem* to be
Fri Dec 28, 2018, 02:52 PM
Dec 2018

Politically, the GOP knows that the shutdown can't continue indefinitely and there is no popular support for Trump's Wall. Realistically speaking, the GOP will have to fold eventually and either talk sense into Trump or pass a clean bill and help Democrats override an anticipated veto. This ends relatively shortly after the new Congress begins IMHO.

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