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An Early Electoral Vote Forecast
February 28, 2019 at 9:03 am EST By Taegan Goddard
Kyle Kondik at Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball offers an initial Electoral College forecast with 248 electoral votes leaning Republican, 244 leaning Democratic, and 46 votes in the Toss-up category.
Key takeaway: “Much of the electoral map is easy to allocate far in advance: About 70% of the total electoral votes come from states and districts that have voted for the same party in at least the last five presidential elections.”
“The omissions from the initial Toss-up category that readers may find most surprising are Florida and Michigan.”
Make your own assumptions with our new interactive Electoral Vote Map.
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https://politicalwire.com/2019/02/28/an-early-electoral-vote-forecast/
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