FiveThirtyEight: How a Citizenship Question Could Impact Redistricting

June 17, 2019 at 9:53 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 14 Comments

FiveThirtyEight: “In a matter of days, the Supreme Court may dramatically change the census. The court is slated to rule on whether the Trump administration can add a question about citizenship to the 2020 form. When the case was argued back in April, many court-watchers predicted that the court’s five conservative justices were ready to side with the administration.”

“There are few things we care more about around here than political apportionment (although, if we’re being honest, we care an awful lot about groceries, too). So we went in search of researchers who had estimated the potential effect of the citizenship question. We found several, none of whom agreed on just how big an impact this would have.”

“California loses at least one seat in all five scenarios, while Montana stands to gain one. Ohio, Minnesota and Alabama are all potential winners, depending on the scenario, while Texas, Arizona and Florida come out on the losing side in at least one estimate.”

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https://politicalwire.com/2019/06/17/how-a-citizenship-question-could-impact-redistricting/