The only thing the idiot has done successfully this week was cheat on his golf game.

some of these polls are bought and paid for. Also who knows what the actual sample group is. There is no way his approval is ticking up.

Don't take any one for THE POLL.

AVERAGED, they are at 44 percent.

So says MSNBC.

insane.

President Obama was pretty accurate when he said rural Pennsylvanians were bitter people who cling to guns and God. They know what matters to them and we don't have much to offer someone from that culture. Intelligence isn't the issue, culture is.

They do not know because they are so busy trying to keep their head above water they aren't paying attention. That's why our 2020 candidates need to stop tearing other candidates apart and start driving the nail into into the anal idiot. Get peoples attention.

As for polls, the media needs to keep it a horse race so who knows where and who they are polling.

IMO, the only Presidential poll worth anything (that I'm aware of off hand) is 538's aggregate. It's an aggregate of all the polls with each one adjusted and rated for a variety of factors (methodology, partisan lean, sample size, time period). Taking all that into account, the Harris poll is calculated at -11.

Approval up or not, these people are a strong minority. So plan to take pair of nonvoters to the polls with you. I'm sure you have friends who blame Democrats for what the Republicans are doing. It's a big clue to their own culpability.

I make it my goal to convince two non-voters to vote Democratic. I think if we all did that, we’d never lose again.

votes or doesn't and should be left to it. Back in California I knew a number of prospects, the kind who claim liberal values but deplore both parties in uncaring ignorance and don't bother to vote.

I've been working very indirectly on the woman who cuts my hair, though, ever since I learned she didn't vote even in 2016 or 2018. (It was either that or dump her in disgust.) Trying to detect feelings of altruism or a moral core as we and others in the shop chat briefly about events hasn't yielded anything, but I'm pretty sure she's not definitely conservative.

I honestly believe this is propaganda. I would really like to know their methodology.

The further you go from a city, the more they love Trump

He is very popular in my area and they give him credit for the economy. If it tanks, he will tank

Nearly every poll puts him around 43% or so, so I'll go with that. They can't all be wrong.

Meanwhile, the economy is perceived to be doing well and Democrats seem hell-bent on throwing the 2020 election.

If the most corrupt, incompetent president in American history can't be beat, the party is a lost cause.

I don't see that at all.

The "president" is an ignorant asshole and an all around despicable excuse for a human being. He's an accused sexual predator and rapist whose administration is separating Mexican children from their parents and locking them in cages.

The fact that this seemingly doesn't bother certain people is a telling statement on their own lack of character.

and most of that we knew before the 2016 election, so yes it seemingly doesn't bother 'certain people', namely the 50 million Americans that enabled him to win where it mattered.

If you don't believe it can happen again, you're living in an internet formulated fantasy.

He won the first time. Enough assholes voted for him that he obtained the electoral college participation trophy.

I'm sickened that this country is full of selfish pricks who don't care that their president is a disgusting dirtbag as long as they themselves come out okay. This country just plain sucks.

coming from the Hill especially. I've noticed there is an effort happening to make us believe that Trump's approval is growing, I find that scary. I fully expect Trump to hit that magic 50% number before long and the M$M will go wild.

There are a lot of negative Pedo45 news stories out there that need to be removed from the front page.

Assumption that his popularity is real. And that our strategies are not working to diminish his popularity. Otherwise the MF is in again.

Or, should I say just look at the part of the breakdown they're letting us see. They mention how many 18-34 year-olds they polled (250 out of 1000), but they don't break down the rest. They mention that the 65-and-up crowd has a high approval. Want to bet that they over-sampled that group? We're supposed to take their word for it that this was a "representative sample of the nation"?

Also, this poll is broken down in approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, disapprove. They're lumping the "somewhat" in with the other. What a crock. I call bullshit.

his labor secretary resigning under child sex scandal, massive crisis on the border. Obviously the public has every reason to increase its approval rating of him.

Bircher silver chair bullshit. The polls are attempting to massage reality, they aim to create public opinion, not to reflect it.

Imagine what the numbers would be if Bill Barr had been AG from Day 1!

Wasn't really on it.

538 dot com and real clear politics average polls. Ignore individual polls and pay attention to the average of all polls.

I often wonder if their results truly represent what Americans think.

Do they poll people across the country, from cities AND rural areas?

From different income groups?

From all races?

From varying religions?

TBH, I've never been polled for anything in my entire life... how about you?

Strange.

Especially under this administration, I don't believe polls. How can you get an accurate result when you poll 5,000 people out of 146,000,000 registered voters?

and his numbers tick up.

on our part. Period.

too late.

HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys, has partnered with veteran pollster Scott Rasmussen to produce the ScottRasmussen.com Daily Tracking Poll, an ongoing gauge of American voters' political sentiment. The poll will anchor Rasmussen's new public-opinion website, ScottRasmussen.com, officially debuting today

We acted like the evidence wasn't clear enough to hold Trump accountable for high crimes and misdemeanors under the Constitution. If the Democrats in the House don't clearly regard him as unfit for office (which is what not moving toward impeachment implicitly communicates) then mostly tuned out voters are free to judge him just on job numbers, or talking tough, or whatever.

This Trump job approval trend line is something I was expecting when Democrats failed to move toward impeachment. So far I am being proven right and I take no pleasure in that.

Trump is getting stronger because Democrats are not fight with all of the tools in our arsenal.

and I know that it isn't as good as they say--but people think it's good because the media keeps touting the low unemployment rate. That is the only explanation for it. Those who think that Trump will be easy to defeat in 2020 are wrong. Democrats have a 50-50 chance.

They will turn out for him.

Have they ever listened to him? Would they want him around their daughters?

no matter WHO we nominate.

That means every last person gets out and votes.

Don't like Biden? I don't care.
Don't like Bernie? I don't care.
Don't like Warren, Harris, etc? I don't care.

of what is going on,

This can be the ONLY reason for these approval numbers being so high.

They don’t care that the country is morphing into a dictatorship, as long as they can afford their daily Starbucks.

I ask nearly everyone I come into contact with one question, have been asking for a while.

People think I'm very strange for asking, but it has been an interesting exercise.

The question? When your phone rings and you don't recognize the caller, do you answer it?

The vast majority (nearly all) say No. They then say if the person really needs to get in touch, they'll leave a message.

Now, this may be anecdotal, but I do tend to believe that the people answering the polls are the ones who always answer their phone no matter who is calling. Very probably a minority of people.

Also, people who feel compelled to answer their phones, from my (again anecdotal and person experience) tend toward authoritarian mindsets, they answer because they feel they "should" answer, whether they want to talk or not.

So, I hope that the people who answer these polls are simply more predisposed than most of the populace to be supportive of whoever is in power....and that even among them, his support is not as high as it would be if he wasn't openly the giant orange pustule he is.

You never know, their might be some truth to that.

allows me to sometimes sleep at night.

I have three kids. One graduated this year, the next graduates next year. I fear for their futures.

This can not stand. Trump can not be allowed to win or get away with it all and yet, I see it coming and it terrifies me.

The idea that maybe, just maybe, the polls are entirely wrong and that we're not utterly fucked is all that is holding me together.

They should text instead. "This is so-and-so Polling. Do you approve or disapprove of President Trump? Please type yes or no." I should start a polling firm, I could be rich with this idea.

One thing though: You said "people who feel compelled to answer their phones, from my (again anecdotal and person experience) tend toward authoritarian mindsets, they answer because they feel they "should" answer, whether they want to talk or not."

I disagree there. People who tend to answer without knowing who's calling tend to be older, who grew up without caller ID. Older Americans tend to be more conservative.

I don't answer even calls that I know are from pollsters because they say "a few minutes" and half an hour later, I'm still on the phone.

You could get rich!

Kind of a sidebar, but also food for thought....

If you use an iPhone, the new software coming out in August (iOS 13) has a feature where the call doesn’t even ring if the number isn’t already in my contacts list.

On some days I get upwards of 7-8 random spam calls, so this upcoming feature will essentially fix that.

At least among my friends and family, it seems like spam calls are happening to them as well. All this means is that the nature of picking up the phone nowadays is different...... many people I know (myself included) only answer the phone if they’re expecting a call.

Hackers are able to breech the security of computers that store polling data and manipulate the numbers to favor Trumpy.

Why no one has yet investigated this possibility is stunning, considering what we know about Russia's hacking of highly secure computer systems in 2016.

Thu 11 Jul 47:53 = -6 TheHill/HarrisX
Wed 10 Jul 43:55 = -12 Reuters/Ipsos
Wed 10 Jul 43:53 = -10 Economist/YouGov
Tue 9 Jul 44:48 = -4 Emerson
Tue 9 Jul 42:52 = -10 PPP
Sun 7 Jul 47:50 = -3 ABCWaPo
Wed 3 Jul 43:53 = -10 Politico/Morning Consult
Wed 3 Jul 43:53 = -12 Reuters/Ipsos
Wed 3 Jul 41:54 = -13 Gallup
Wed 3 Jul 44:53= -9 Economist/YouGov

and lower thru out his presidency and gets 47% and the number is defined as good.

He's at 42.4% aggregated approval at 538:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/


sensationalist headline notwithstanding.




And Harris is a craptastic online poll.

If stock market continues to rise and jobs gains improve - we are in trouble in 2020 regardless of the nominee.

not the aggregates.

Strongly approve is 24% where it has been for a long time - this is the Trump base
Strongly disapprove is 39% which is lower than I've seen for awhile.

Women and Millenials/Gen Z total disapproval is 59% meaning the poll results are driven by (presumably white) men, not a majority of the electorate.

candidates is "that's not who we are as a country". I would say the daily news proves you're 100% wrong.

that which should be automatic.

My country would never permit a fascist dictator to overthrow a representative government.

My country would never see a 47% approval rating for an authoritarian, fascist dictator.

My country would throw Trumpy out of the White House, drag him through the streets, and dump him in the Potomac, just because, on the whole, he deserves it.

My country would otherwise proceed with impeachment proceedings because it's the way to follow the dictates of the US Constitution.

Been mostly flatlined for awhile now.