He'll hold the trial and vote not to convict rather quickly- I mean, assuming it's easy enough for them to do that and get away with it. If the House Impeaches with some fairly serious charges and the Senate begins to hear the evidence, who knows for sure, but the ultimate probability is that the Senate won't vote to convict and the matter will be "settled". Trump and Republicans will claim vindication of Trump and we will decry the fact that Trump will have gotten away with it but we will be pushed by the GOP and the MSM to "move on"- but at the very least, Trump will have the black mark of Impeachment hanging over him for the rest of his days and, hopefully, it will weaken him in terms of 2020. Even if the Senate fails to convict, there will have been lots of damning evidence presented in the House and Senate about his malfeasance.
McConnell could take the path of not doing anything about holding a trial or slow-walking it to the point that it doesn't happen. That would IMHO arguably look worse for Trump/GOP because, depending on the seriousness of the Impeachment charges in the House, it could definitely come across as stonewalling and cover up to most people (who would be correct in that belief). Plus, the longer it drags out, the closer it gets to the 2020 Election, which could harm Trump and the GOP more in the 2020 Election.
I honestly don't know exactly how they would play it and there are probably other things here I may not be considering.
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