General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsScholar who predicted 2018 blue wave forecasts 2020
https://www.salon.com/2019/08/17/this-political-scientist-completely-nailed-the-2018-blue-wave-heres-her-2020-forecast/And
http://cnu.edu/wasoncenter/2019/07/01-2020-election-forecast/
She predicts a huge electoral college swing towards Dems, and that they will retain the House.
Kurt V.
(5,624 posts)spooky3
(34,460 posts)spooky3
(34,460 posts)that she has "changed his thinking" on the election.
He says she will become "our 2nd favorite Rachel."
ok_cpu
(2,052 posts)a couple of times in the last few weeks. She's a great listen.
chillfactor
(7,576 posts)gives me some hope for 2020.
Skittles
(153,169 posts)it was not hard to predict the blue wave
Cousin Dupree
(1,866 posts)2016, many of us are leery of predicting sure things.
Skittles
(153,169 posts)Last edited Sun Aug 18, 2019, 09:09 PM - Edit history (1)
they just did not include Russia and Comey in the calculations
triron
(22,007 posts)I'm sure this prediction doesn't include Russia either. And any other BIG repuke shenanigans
I browbeat someone the other day for doing just that!
keithbvadu2
(36,829 posts)If GOP keeps the Senate, repubs are responsible for not passing good legislation to fix things.
AdamGG
(1,292 posts)There will only be one vulnerable Democratic held seat (Alabama, but that's very vulnerable). We need to pick up 4 seats to take control, but that would require a clean sweep of vulnerable Republican held seats in Colorado, Arizona, Iowa, Maine. If the Democrats run the table and pick up all of those, but lose Alabama, the Senate is tied 50-50.
That seems like a best case scenario, and to then have a Democratic VP as the tie breaker. Colorado seems to be a likely pick up, but it's going to be a challenge to carry Arizona, Iowa & Maine. Susan Collins & Joni Ernst will be tough to knock off.