General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsElection 2019: Democrats Lead 49%-42% in Virginia General Assembly Elections
First, some good news: By a 49%-42% margin, Virginia registered voters say theyd vote for the Democratic House of Delegates candidate running in their district over the Republican candidate. [UPDATE: The WaPo says, That edge widens slightly among those who say they are certain to vote, who prefer Democrats 52 percent to 41 percent.]
Now, some meh news: Only 47% of Virginia registered voters say theyre following the election this fall for General Assembly in Virginia either very closely or somewhat closely, while 32% say not at all and 23% say not too closely. Thats significantly lower than the 58% of registered voters who said they were following the 2017 governors race closely at this point. On the other hand, its 9 points higher than the 38% of registered voters who said they were following the General Assembly elections closely at this point in 2007 (when, Id point out, Democrats picked up four seats in the House of Delegates and four seats in the State Senate).
Some better news: Currently, 59% of registered voters say they are certain to vote, while 21% say they will probably vote. Thats actually good news, as its similar to the 60% who said they were certain to vote and 19% probably vote on 10/2/17
just weeks before the Democratic blue wave in that election.
Despite 55% saying theyre bothered by the blackface photo, Gov. Ralph Northams approval rating has rebounded, to 47% approve-29% disapprove. LG Justin Fairfax is at 39%-25%, and AG Mark Herring at 42%-19%. Kinda surprising, actually. [UPDATE: The WaPo says, Nearly 3 in 10 Virginia voters say their view of Northam is very important to their vote, and Republicans lead by 14 percentage points among those voters.]
By a 43%-39% margin, Virginia voters do NOT think that Ralph Northam should run for elected office again. By a 36%-33% margin (30% have no opinion) voters think that Justin Fairfax *should* run for office again. And by a 40%-26% margin (33% have no opinion), voters think that AG Mark Herring *should* run for office again.
Trumps approval rating in Virginia is terrible, at 39%-58% among all adults and 40%-58% among registered voters.
Heres a key finding: 70% of Virginia registered voters say that their view of Trump is important (and 51% say VERY important) in deciding their vote for the Virginia General Assembly this year. So basically, the key for Democrats is to get all those voters angry and disgusted at Trump to come out and vote Democratic on November 5th!
By a 58%-37% margin, voters support stricter gun laws in Virginia. That includes 57%-41% support for a statewide ban on the sale of assault weapons; 88%-10% support for requiring background checks on all potential gun buyers, including private sales and gun shows; 56%-39% support for a statewide ban on high-capacity ammunition clips, meaning those containing more than 10 bullets; 82%-16% support for a state law allowing the police to take guns away from people who have been found by a judge to be a danger to themselves or others; and 58%-39% support for a state law barring an individual from buying more than one handgun per month
https://bluevirginia.us/2019/10/new-poll-democrats-lead-49-42-in-virginia-general-assembly-elections-59-say-theyre-certain-to-vote-northam-approval-at-47-29
Hermit-The-Prog
(33,349 posts)OliverQ
(3,363 posts)so apathetic to voting and trying to fix this? It's so frustrating.
Kingofalldems
(38,458 posts)The thread is about our lead in Va. Don't understand why you brought up apathy.
OliverQ
(3,363 posts)which is disappointing to hear. Not as many people paying attention as the 2017 GA election.
RandySF
(58,900 posts)No statewide election this year.