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applegrove

(118,677 posts)
Mon Oct 7, 2019, 11:34 PM Oct 2019

The Two Psychological Tricks Trump Is Using to Get Away With Everything

The Two Psychological Tricks Trump Is Using to Get Away With Everything

His brazen attempts to redefine the norms of acceptable conduct work for a reason.

10:21 AM ET

Peter Beinart

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/10/trumps-brazenness-is-his-greatest-asset/599527/


"SNIP......

And yet, Trump’s China remarks don’t appear to have hurt him much. The majority of Republican voters and politicians still oppose his impeachment. His China comments may even prove politically shrewd. Research into the psychology of secrecy and confidence helps explain why.

In January 2016, Trump infamously declared, “I could stand in the middle of 5th Avenue and shoot somebody and I wouldn’t lose voters.” The statement was widely interpreted as a commentary on the loyalty of Trump’s voters. But it can also be understood as a commentary on the value of brazenness—of acting publicly rather than furtively and confidently rather than bashfully. It’s a value academics have confirmed time and again.

In 2013, three researchers at the University of Colorado at Boulder—Mark Travers, Leaf Van Boven, and Charles Judd—published a paper in the journal Political Psychology entitled “The Secrecy Heuristic.” They gave students two documents, one from the National Security Council and one from the State Department. Half the students were told that the NSC document was classified and that the State Department document was public. Half were told the reverse. And although the classified and nonclassified documents were exactly the same, the students gave more weight to the one they thought was secret. The researchers’ conclusion: There is a secrecy “heuristic”—a mental shortcut that helps people make judgments. “People weigh secret information more heavily than public information when making decisions,” they wrote. A 2004 dissertation on jury behavior found a similar tendency. When judges told jurors to disregard certain information—once it was deemed secret—the jurors gave it more weight.

While it’s unlikely Trump has heard of the secrecy heuristic, his comments about murder on Fifth Avenue suggest he grasps it instinctively. He recognizes that people accord less weight to information that nobody bothers to conceal. If shooting someone were that big a deal, the reasoning goes, Trump wouldn’t do it in full public view. The logic works even better when it comes to Trump’s comments about Ukraine and China. Most Americans know murder is against the law. Whether inviting foreign meddling in an American election constitutes a “high crime or misdemeanor,” by contrast, is less well established. By openly inviting such meddling, therefore, Trump sends the message that it’s not that important. If it were, he’d have kept his request a secret.

....SNIP"

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The Two Psychological Tricks Trump Is Using to Get Away With Everything (Original Post) applegrove Oct 2019 OP
Thanks! JoeOtterbein Oct 2019 #1
Most welcome. applegrove Oct 2019 #3
Trump lies openly and doesn't back down from the lies, he just moves on to the next lie Demovictory9 Oct 2019 #2
He honestly lies openly loyalsister Oct 2019 #21
But Trump did try to keep his request to Ukraine a secret. Kaleva Oct 2019 #4
But once caught he made it seem less important by doing it again only for china. applegrove Oct 2019 #6
K&R, The upfront form of gas lighting ... the counter is to tell him he's going to be impeached for uponit7771 Oct 2019 #5
Thanks for that article... Newest Reality Oct 2019 #7
"...more attention could be paid to the strategies he has honed." Garrett78 Oct 2019 #12
His China remarks have and will hurt him. Soliciting help from a foreign individual... brush Oct 2019 #8
It hasn't hurt him in terms of Republican support or his approval rating. Garrett78 Oct 2019 #13
The impeachment has to move forward or its a deriliction of the duty of the House... brush Oct 2019 #20
Oh I agree. I'm just not sure this is really having much impact on Trump yet. Garrett78 Oct 2019 #22
Yet he hides his taxes and foreign calls. Qutzupalotl Oct 2019 #9
The big lie is the easiest to slide by. ramen Oct 2019 #10
KR NT ProudProgressiveNow Oct 2019 #11
The Germans have boiled it down to a two word explanation. DFW Oct 2019 #14
Oh, we can boil it down to two words too... JHB Oct 2019 #15
Trump isn't smart enough to employ a psychological trick. Optical.Catalyst Oct 2019 #16
+1000 llmart Oct 2019 #19
Trump's attempts to get Ukraine to create lies about Biden were Hortensis Oct 2019 #17
You're welcome. applegrove Oct 2019 #18
K&R ck4829 Oct 2019 #23

loyalsister

(13,390 posts)
21. He honestly lies openly
Tue Oct 8, 2019, 11:00 AM
Oct 2019

It's a contradiction I noticed in conversation with a Trump supporter. His admirers appreciate "telling it like it is" and lying in plain sight. I think it also has something to do with wishing they could get away with it. He can say the things that led to disciplinary action and a sensitivity training class for average Joe.
And he could not only get away with publicly shooting someone, he also ducked taxes, mistreated workers, mistreated women and shamelessly humiliated his wife without risk or doing the work of trying to hide his behavior.
That his actions would get many people fired or divorced is a selling point.
It's like being able to sell a beaten down used car without concern for the flaws that might make it a difficult task, or get a job without worrying about personal presentation.

Kaleva

(36,307 posts)
4. But Trump did try to keep his request to Ukraine a secret.
Mon Oct 7, 2019, 11:48 PM
Oct 2019

If it wasn't for the whistleblower, we would be none the wiser.

applegrove

(118,677 posts)
6. But once caught he made it seem less important by doing it again only for china.
Mon Oct 7, 2019, 11:56 PM
Oct 2019

And openly. Psychopaths know all the heuristics. Good that we learn them too now.

uponit7771

(90,346 posts)
5. K&R, The upfront form of gas lighting ... the counter is to tell him he's going to be impeached for
Mon Oct 7, 2019, 11:54 PM
Oct 2019

... it anyway and he should.

Newest Reality

(12,712 posts)
7. Thanks for that article...
Mon Oct 7, 2019, 11:56 PM
Oct 2019

At least we can look past the focus on his sanity and idiocy, (which still apply) as a primary assessments of him.

I actually think that, (though he is not very well educated at all and surely has personality disorders) more attention could be payed to the strategies he has honed. This is quite an expert manipulator and a con man in a big way. So much so, that you can't count on his public face to tell you even the truth about his lies or facade at all. It may be more calculated than that.

In other words, he may not be all that intelligent in most things, but he could also play that up so it really appears that he is worse than than he is. Again, manipulation and propaganda can be complex strategies. The caveat is that, if this is the case, keep in mind that it has been working well for him. Notice that. He is crafty like a fox and foxes don't need to know all that much to get the chickens.

He may have several, severe personality disorders as we see, but he could play them any way he wants to in certain situations and capitalize on them. It would be better if you thought his actions were signs of insanity, actually. Again, keep in mind that it is working. A crazy person couldn't do as well as he has to get what he wants. Even if he is somewhat afflicted, it works in his favor.

Beware!

Garrett78

(10,721 posts)
12. "...more attention could be paid to the strategies he has honed."
Tue Oct 8, 2019, 04:22 AM
Oct 2019

Last edited Tue Oct 8, 2019, 05:11 AM - Edit history (1)

Yep. This is an excerpt of a blog post I made over the weekend:

Let’s consider all of the crap being flung at the public in hopes that some of it will stick in the minds of just enough people to discombobulate the masses:

If it’s out in the open, it can’t be a crime.

It’s not political; it’s about fighting corruption.

Biden’s the corrupt one, and Ukraine colluded with the Clinton campaign–it wasn’t Russia colluding with my campaign.

There’s nothing wrong with having private conversations with foreign leaders. (Except for that pesky Presidential Records Act.)

So-and-so told me to do it.

It was just a joke.

And so on.

As silly and just plain false as those arguments are, Democrats do need to be vigilant about controlling the narrative by pointing out how wrong the arguments are *and* – I would argue – by pointing out what tactic is being employed. Because as obvious as it is to some of us, I guarantee many people aren’t going to recognize that Trump and his minions are attempting to convince people that their transparency (never mind that the whistleblower forced their hand) equates to innocence. ‘I’m not hiding this, so it can’t be wrong.’ If you help people recognize the tactic that’s being employed to fool them, I’d like to think they’re less likely to be fooled.

For the last three years, I’ve wished the DNC would hire a spokesperson such as John Fugelsang to hold a weekly or even daily press conference for the sole purpose of addressing Trump/Republican lies and obfuscation. Most people aren’t political junkies and need help understanding not just the what but also the *why* behind various lies and misleading statements. Given how many lies Trump tells on a daily basis, a dogged persistence on the part of Democrats would be required, so why not hire a charismatic spokesperson whose only job is to smack down the propaganda. If Dems continually point out that such and such tactic is being employed, it’ll eventually register in the public consciousness. Repeat, repeat, repeat. That’s how Republicans made “liberal media” a household term, which has had devastating effects on the public consciousness and the media itself. It seems some in the media are finally exhausted enough by the onslaught of lies that they are calling out the liars instead of simply letting the lies pass as if the liar is merely expressing a valid opinion. It’s one thing to have two guests on who are expressing opposing opinions about the proper role of the federal government. It’s another thing to just let a guest insist over and over again that two plus two equals seventeen, or that climate change is a hoax. But I digress…here are some examples of how a Democrat (at a press conference or on a talk show) might go about explaining (in simple terms) what tactic is being employed like a weapon against the public:

1) Trump wants you to believe that crimes committed out in the open can’t possibly be crimes. He’s wrong. Crimes out in the open are still crimes. He is committing impeachable offenses and hoping you’ll fall for his tactic. Don’t.

2) Republicans have for many decades employed the strategy of accusing Democrats of the very thing they are doing (such as Trump saying it’s Pelosi and Schiff who are committing high crimes and misdemeanors), so as to muddy the water and inspire false equivalencies (something the media loves to promote, because media personalities seem to think it will help them appear unbiased). The American people need to recognize this tactic for what it is and not fall for it.

3) Republicans (e.g., Kellyanne Conway) are employing the Gish gallop, which is defined as “a technique used during debating that focuses on overwhelming an opponent with as many arguments as possible, without regard for accuracy or strength of the arguments.” In other words, they’re trying to drown their opponents in so much BS that one doesn’t even know where to begin in responding. Well, we’re not going to play that game. When they are ready to join the rest of us in the land of fact-based reality, then and only then can we have an honest discussion. In the meantime, don’t fall for their tactic.

These tactics will continue to work unless Democrats repeatedly shine a light on the tactics themselves.

When Trump said on live TV that China should investigate Biden, Dem leadership should have immediately held a press conference to spell out exactly what Trump was doing, which is twofold. First and foremost, he’s committing an impeachable offense. Secondly, he’s trying to fool the public into believing that crimes committed openly can’t possibly be crimes. Dear American people, don’t be fooled–transparent illegality is still illegality. And remind the American people that there is still much that *is* being hidden, including transcripts of calls that have no business being stored on a server meant for highly classified records. And remind the American people that making threats to whistleblowers is witness intimidation and a crime. Never underestimate the ignorance of the American people; they need constant reminders.

brush

(53,784 posts)
8. His China remarks have and will hurt him. Soliciting help from a foreign individual...
Tue Oct 8, 2019, 12:08 AM
Oct 2019

Last edited Tue Oct 8, 2019, 10:04 AM - Edit history (2)

or country in a US election is not just a high crime making it unconstitutional and thus an impeachable offense, it's also against the federal law banning aid from a foreigner in a US election.

His publicly televised solicitation from China will be a part of the articles of impeachments along with his similar public solicitation from Russia in 2016 and the recent solicitation by phone transcript from the Ukraine president.

Don't believe for a moment that has not hurt him.

Garrett78

(10,721 posts)
13. It hasn't hurt him in terms of Republican support or his approval rating.
Tue Oct 8, 2019, 04:26 AM
Oct 2019

Maybe it will eventually, but it's going to take a hell of a lot more than what we have so far in order to get a conviction.

brush

(53,784 posts)
20. The impeachment has to move forward or its a deriliction of the duty of the House...
Tue Oct 8, 2019, 10:08 AM
Oct 2019

to oversee the executive branch. And if we don't we risk Dem voters an some independents staying home or voting third party in 2020.

If the Senate chooses to not convict in the face of much public stonewalling it will be on them and IMO it will damage trump's chances in the election.

ramen

(790 posts)
10. The big lie is the easiest to slide by.
Tue Oct 8, 2019, 01:15 AM
Oct 2019

I had a couple mini-strokes while reading the guy's performance at the press conference with Finland's Prime Minister. Here's a link for the curious and not-faint-of-heart https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/remarks-president-trump-president-niinisto-republic-finland-joint-press-conference/

It is stunning. The blatant falsehoods, exaggerations too big for hyperbole to be contained, the flagrant projections.. they point to a pathology to fat to live.

And, yet, here we stand

DFW

(54,403 posts)
14. The Germans have boiled it down to a two word explanation.
Tue Oct 8, 2019, 04:57 AM
Oct 2019

"Frechheit siegt."

Hard to translate using two words, but it basically means that brazenness wins.

i.e. dare to be an asshole, and you'll get away with it. They had a rather nasty precedent here in the first half of the last century that proves the saying.

JHB

(37,160 posts)
15. Oh, we can boil it down to two words too...
Tue Oct 8, 2019, 05:41 AM
Oct 2019

Gingrich. Rove.

"Brazen it out" as a tactic goes back much farther, of course, but those two diligently worked to make it the Standard Operating Procedure for Republicans.

Optical.Catalyst

(1,355 posts)
16. Trump isn't smart enough to employ a psychological trick.
Tue Oct 8, 2019, 05:58 AM
Oct 2019

Trump is following leaned behavior from his gutter dealings with other low-lives. He does these things because they have worked for him in the past, but he could not even begin to explain why.

llmart

(15,540 posts)
19. +1000
Tue Oct 8, 2019, 06:57 AM
Oct 2019

My thoughts exactly.

Either way, we can't argue that the tactics don't work on some people - the operative word being "some". There will always be a percentage of people who are gullible. There will also always be a percentage of people who are just plain ignorant. Gullible people will believe anything if it's said in an authoritative manner, usually by someone who's a loud mouth and cocksure of his superiority. I don't know that you can ever change those sorts of people.

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
17. Trump's attempts to get Ukraine to create lies about Biden were
Tue Oct 8, 2019, 06:40 AM
Oct 2019

actually well known and reported by the MSM for months. The "brazen." I know I read it. Notably, our party's strategists had to have been examining that crime, among many, for actionability.

It was when public knowledge, which had mostly been shrugged off by the nation as Trump doing his usual, was presented in an insider whistleblower complaint, a "dark secrets coming out" restyling in a secrecy heuristic, that it finally caught fire as what it always should have been: a huge scandal.

Very interesting. Thanks, Applegrove.

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