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The Two Psychological Tricks Trump Is Using to Get Away With Everything
His brazen attempts to redefine the norms of acceptable conduct work for a reason.
10:21 AM ET
Peter Beinart
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/10/trumps-brazenness-is-his-greatest-asset/599527/
"SNIP......
And yet, Trumps China remarks dont appear to have hurt him much. The majority of Republican voters and politicians still oppose his impeachment. His China comments may even prove politically shrewd. Research into the psychology of secrecy and confidence helps explain why.
In January 2016, Trump infamously declared, I could stand in the middle of 5th Avenue and shoot somebody and I wouldnt lose voters. The statement was widely interpreted as a commentary on the loyalty of Trumps voters. But it can also be understood as a commentary on the value of brazennessof acting publicly rather than furtively and confidently rather than bashfully. Its a value academics have confirmed time and again.
In 2013, three researchers at the University of Colorado at BoulderMark Travers, Leaf Van Boven, and Charles Juddpublished a paper in the journal Political Psychology entitled The Secrecy Heuristic. They gave students two documents, one from the National Security Council and one from the State Department. Half the students were told that the NSC document was classified and that the State Department document was public. Half were told the reverse. And although the classified and nonclassified documents were exactly the same, the students gave more weight to the one they thought was secret. The researchers conclusion: There is a secrecy heuristica mental shortcut that helps people make judgments. People weigh secret information more heavily than public information when making decisions, they wrote. A 2004 dissertation on jury behavior found a similar tendency. When judges told jurors to disregard certain informationonce it was deemed secretthe jurors gave it more weight.
While its unlikely Trump has heard of the secrecy heuristic, his comments about murder on Fifth Avenue suggest he grasps it instinctively. He recognizes that people accord less weight to information that nobody bothers to conceal. If shooting someone were that big a deal, the reasoning goes, Trump wouldnt do it in full public view. The logic works even better when it comes to Trumps comments about Ukraine and China. Most Americans know murder is against the law. Whether inviting foreign meddling in an American election constitutes a high crime or misdemeanor, by contrast, is less well established. By openly inviting such meddling, therefore, Trump sends the message that its not that important. If it were, hed have kept his request a secret.
....SNIP"
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)This article expresses what many of us cannot.
applegrove
(118,677 posts)Demovictory9
(32,457 posts)loyalsister
(13,390 posts)It's a contradiction I noticed in conversation with a Trump supporter. His admirers appreciate "telling it like it is" and lying in plain sight. I think it also has something to do with wishing they could get away with it. He can say the things that led to disciplinary action and a sensitivity training class for average Joe.
And he could not only get away with publicly shooting someone, he also ducked taxes, mistreated workers, mistreated women and shamelessly humiliated his wife without risk or doing the work of trying to hide his behavior.
That his actions would get many people fired or divorced is a selling point.
It's like being able to sell a beaten down used car without concern for the flaws that might make it a difficult task, or get a job without worrying about personal presentation.
Kaleva
(36,307 posts)If it wasn't for the whistleblower, we would be none the wiser.
applegrove
(118,677 posts)And openly. Psychopaths know all the heuristics. Good that we learn them too now.
uponit7771
(90,346 posts)... it anyway and he should.
Newest Reality
(12,712 posts)At least we can look past the focus on his sanity and idiocy, (which still apply) as a primary assessments of him.
I actually think that, (though he is not very well educated at all and surely has personality disorders) more attention could be payed to the strategies he has honed. This is quite an expert manipulator and a con man in a big way. So much so, that you can't count on his public face to tell you even the truth about his lies or facade at all. It may be more calculated than that.
In other words, he may not be all that intelligent in most things, but he could also play that up so it really appears that he is worse than than he is. Again, manipulation and propaganda can be complex strategies. The caveat is that, if this is the case, keep in mind that it has been working well for him. Notice that. He is crafty like a fox and foxes don't need to know all that much to get the chickens.
He may have several, severe personality disorders as we see, but he could play them any way he wants to in certain situations and capitalize on them. It would be better if you thought his actions were signs of insanity, actually. Again, keep in mind that it is working. A crazy person couldn't do as well as he has to get what he wants. Even if he is somewhat afflicted, it works in his favor.
Beware!
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)Last edited Tue Oct 8, 2019, 05:11 AM - Edit history (1)
Yep. This is an excerpt of a blog post I made over the weekend:
Lets consider all of the crap being flung at the public in hopes that some of it will stick in the minds of just enough people to discombobulate the masses:
If its out in the open, it cant be a crime.
Its not political; its about fighting corruption.
Bidens the corrupt one, and Ukraine colluded with the Clinton campaignit wasnt Russia colluding with my campaign.
Theres nothing wrong with having private conversations with foreign leaders. (Except for that pesky Presidential Records Act.)
So-and-so told me to do it.
It was just a joke.
And so on.
As silly and just plain false as those arguments are, Democrats do need to be vigilant about controlling the narrative by pointing out how wrong the arguments are *and* I would argue by pointing out what tactic is being employed. Because as obvious as it is to some of us, I guarantee many people arent going to recognize that Trump and his minions are attempting to convince people that their transparency (never mind that the whistleblower forced their hand) equates to innocence. Im not hiding this, so it cant be wrong. If you help people recognize the tactic thats being employed to fool them, Id like to think theyre less likely to be fooled.
For the last three years, Ive wished the DNC would hire a spokesperson such as John Fugelsang to hold a weekly or even daily press conference for the sole purpose of addressing Trump/Republican lies and obfuscation. Most people arent political junkies and need help understanding not just the what but also the *why* behind various lies and misleading statements. Given how many lies Trump tells on a daily basis, a dogged persistence on the part of Democrats would be required, so why not hire a charismatic spokesperson whose only job is to smack down the propaganda. If Dems continually point out that such and such tactic is being employed, itll eventually register in the public consciousness. Repeat, repeat, repeat. Thats how Republicans made liberal media a household term, which has had devastating effects on the public consciousness and the media itself. It seems some in the media are finally exhausted enough by the onslaught of lies that they are calling out the liars instead of simply letting the lies pass as if the liar is merely expressing a valid opinion. Its one thing to have two guests on who are expressing opposing opinions about the proper role of the federal government. Its another thing to just let a guest insist over and over again that two plus two equals seventeen, or that climate change is a hoax. But I digress
here are some examples of how a Democrat (at a press conference or on a talk show) might go about explaining (in simple terms) what tactic is being employed like a weapon against the public:
1) Trump wants you to believe that crimes committed out in the open cant possibly be crimes. Hes wrong. Crimes out in the open are still crimes. He is committing impeachable offenses and hoping youll fall for his tactic. Dont.
2) Republicans have for many decades employed the strategy of accusing Democrats of the very thing they are doing (such as Trump saying its Pelosi and Schiff who are committing high crimes and misdemeanors), so as to muddy the water and inspire false equivalencies (something the media loves to promote, because media personalities seem to think it will help them appear unbiased). The American people need to recognize this tactic for what it is and not fall for it.
3) Republicans (e.g., Kellyanne Conway) are employing the Gish gallop, which is defined as a technique used during debating that focuses on overwhelming an opponent with as many arguments as possible, without regard for accuracy or strength of the arguments. In other words, theyre trying to drown their opponents in so much BS that one doesnt even know where to begin in responding. Well, were not going to play that game. When they are ready to join the rest of us in the land of fact-based reality, then and only then can we have an honest discussion. In the meantime, dont fall for their tactic.
These tactics will continue to work unless Democrats repeatedly shine a light on the tactics themselves.
When Trump said on live TV that China should investigate Biden, Dem leadership should have immediately held a press conference to spell out exactly what Trump was doing, which is twofold. First and foremost, hes committing an impeachable offense. Secondly, hes trying to fool the public into believing that crimes committed openly cant possibly be crimes. Dear American people, dont be fooledtransparent illegality is still illegality. And remind the American people that there is still much that *is* being hidden, including transcripts of calls that have no business being stored on a server meant for highly classified records. And remind the American people that making threats to whistleblowers is witness intimidation and a crime. Never underestimate the ignorance of the American people; they need constant reminders.
brush
(53,784 posts)Last edited Tue Oct 8, 2019, 10:04 AM - Edit history (2)
or country in a US election is not just a high crime making it unconstitutional and thus an impeachable offense, it's also against the federal law banning aid from a foreigner in a US election.
His publicly televised solicitation from China will be a part of the articles of impeachments along with his similar public solicitation from Russia in 2016 and the recent solicitation by phone transcript from the Ukraine president.
Don't believe for a moment that has not hurt him.
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)Maybe it will eventually, but it's going to take a hell of a lot more than what we have so far in order to get a conviction.
brush
(53,784 posts)to oversee the executive branch. And if we don't we risk Dem voters an some independents staying home or voting third party in 2020.
If the Senate chooses to not convict in the face of much public stonewalling it will be on them and IMO it will damage trump's chances in the election.
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)Qutzupalotl
(14,314 posts)Just think what must be buried in there.
ramen
(790 posts)I had a couple mini-strokes while reading the guy's performance at the press conference with Finland's Prime Minister. Here's a link for the curious and not-faint-of-heart https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/remarks-president-trump-president-niinisto-republic-finland-joint-press-conference/
It is stunning. The blatant falsehoods, exaggerations too big for hyperbole to be contained, the flagrant projections.. they point to a pathology to fat to live.
And, yet, here we stand
ProudProgressiveNow
(6,129 posts)DFW
(54,403 posts)"Frechheit siegt."
Hard to translate using two words, but it basically means that brazenness wins.
i.e. dare to be an asshole, and you'll get away with it. They had a rather nasty precedent here in the first half of the last century that proves the saying.
JHB
(37,160 posts)Gingrich. Rove.
"Brazen it out" as a tactic goes back much farther, of course, but those two diligently worked to make it the Standard Operating Procedure for Republicans.
Optical.Catalyst
(1,355 posts)Trump is following leaned behavior from his gutter dealings with other low-lives. He does these things because they have worked for him in the past, but he could not even begin to explain why.
llmart
(15,540 posts)My thoughts exactly.
Either way, we can't argue that the tactics don't work on some people - the operative word being "some". There will always be a percentage of people who are gullible. There will also always be a percentage of people who are just plain ignorant. Gullible people will believe anything if it's said in an authoritative manner, usually by someone who's a loud mouth and cocksure of his superiority. I don't know that you can ever change those sorts of people.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)actually well known and reported by the MSM for months. The "brazen." I know I read it. Notably, our party's strategists had to have been examining that crime, among many, for actionability.
It was when public knowledge, which had mostly been shrugged off by the nation as Trump doing his usual, was presented in an insider whistleblower complaint, a "dark secrets coming out" restyling in a secrecy heuristic, that it finally caught fire as what it always should have been: a huge scandal.
Very interesting. Thanks, Applegrove.