Anyone else think Putin seeing 2020 polling mightve got anxious, pushed Trump to expedite things ---
-- "things" being the multiple deliverables for Russia he is extorting out of his Agent Orange -- and thereby inadvertently precipitated this late summer and fall's even-worse-than-usual avalanche of criminal behavior from the Potus?
Putin surely wants Trump to get 2 terms, but already months ago the prospects for that -- even with more Russian hacking and help than last time, which is a given -- were starting to look more and more sketchy. Putin has to have recognized the strong and growing chance that at the end of January 2021 Russia will lose its greatest foreign subversion success ever: an already utterly corrupt man, on whom they have devastating amounts of kompromat, in the U.S. presidency.
The list of what Putin wants from Trump is long, but so far he's only gotten a little of it. If the ending date of this unique, amazing opportunity for Russia is coming up in early 2021, what else is the man holding the kompromat over Trump's head going to do other than say, Let's hurry it up on the deliverables you owe me, please? Possibly without the "please" part.
If that signal from Moscow arrived in April, May, or June it'd line up with the start of Trump's much-intensified interest in pressuring political "favors" out of Ukraine.
I think the biggest things Putin wants from Trump are:
1. The U.S. out of NATO. Trump has tried, but they both have to realize that that's not gonna happen. So no. 1 goes in the "failed" column.
2. Zelensky to "confer" with Putin and agree that in exchange for, oh, no violence (or maybe even just less violence?) in eastern Ukraime, Ukraine withdraws all its territorial claims to Crimea. The international sanctions were placed on Russia over Crimea. So if that, uh... "gets resolved to Ukraine's satisfaction," the argument will be that it's time to REMOVE THE SANCTIONS. Now, Ukraine is not of a mind to enter into such an agreement. What if, though, the supplier of the military aid that it is absolutely dependent on to survive encourages Ukraine to do that? This summer Trump urged Zelensky to talk with Putin, that he was sure the two of them could work something out. To me, that was the most ominous single thing I saw in the Trump-Zelenksy coms.
And
3. The U.S. out of Syria so Putin and Assad can get on unencumbered with what they want to do there. (The U.S. out of Afghanistan on Russia's border, too, of course. But that one's tougher to do; and someone restraining the Taliban is not a bad thing for Russia, either.)
There's quite a list of other things Putin wants out of Trump. Undermine the EU, re-admission in the G-8, "clear" Russia of 2016 election interference, "prove" Manafort innocent and free him so he won't flip on oligarchs, the FSB wants its U.S. spy residences back, and apparently Putin wanted the U.S out of the recon overflights multinational ageeement. Etc etc. But 2 and 3 above sufficiently illustrate the theory.
Which, to summarize, is:
- Putin worried about his Agent Orange not getting a 2nd term.
- So he giddy-up'ed his Oval Office stooge along a few months ago. "Let's get moving on some of these major deliverables, shall we?"
- Setting Trump off or pushing him along on multiple criminal missions we're now seeing uncovered.
- The Get Biden one being Trump's own fixation, but the boss must heartily agree with it. Dirty up the 2020 election... even more? Of course, yes! It was Russia that came up with ways to come after Hillary, so who knows, they may have even suggested some of the Get Biden schemes.
- What Putin didn't anticipate (but probably should have) is Trump blundering the jobs so badly he'd quickly get himself impeached.
- Which ironically could result in Putin's stooge having even less time in office to do great things for Russia.
Elaborate description, I know. But, it is all very involved. Trump and Putin are cornucopias of malice and criminality.
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