Winners and Losers from Trump throwing Syrian Kurds under the Bus
Not sure how many remember Juan Cole from the Iraq war era but he has a different take on the "gift to Russia" angle. I realize this probably won't be a very welcome point of view but Juan has insight into the region.
Winners and Losers from Trump throwing Syrian Kurds under the Bus
https://www.juancole.com/2019/10/winners-losers-throwing.html
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It is difficult to see in what way Russia is benefited by Turkeys incursion into northeast Syria. Russia and Turkey are more or less low-key enemies in Syria.
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Turkey is backing some groups inside Idlib, to Russias dismay.
So does Russia benefit from more Turkish influence in northern Syria? No. Essentially Trump is allowing Turkey to create a long enclave along the northeast border from which it will ethnically cleanse the Kurds and then send a million of its Sunni Arab refugees into their villages to occupy them permanently. This population will be a Turkish cats paw and a wedge against the Kurds in the long term.
Russia doesnt benefit. Russia wants ultimately to put all of Syria back under al-Assads rule, and another Turkish invasion is the last thing Moscow wants.
So what about Iran? I cant see that this move affects Iran one way or another.
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