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pbmus

(12,422 posts) Sun Oct 20, 2019, 09:37 PM Oct 2019

15

Nate Silver...

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5 replies

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Nate Silver... (Original Post) pbmus Oct 2019 OP

Iam not trying to be pessimistic ritapria Oct 2019 #1

Those are tough places for Dems, and Dem turnout does seem to be low in special elections. Garrett78 Oct 2019 #3

Well on the bright side jcgoldie Oct 2019 #2

If GOP Turn Out Was 83% in Florida in 2018 It Should Have Raised Red Flags of Possible Fraud Indykatie Oct 2019 #4

Rachel Bitecofer has used her models to predict a Democratic win for the White House in 2020 Poiuyt Oct 2019 #5

ritapria

(1,812 posts)

1. Iam not trying to be pessimistic

Reply to pbmus (Original post)

Sun Oct 20, 2019, 11:12 PM

Oct 2019

It looks like we have lost a little of our mojo ….Poor Dem base turnout in NC-10 and LA. Governor' s race ….. I will become concerned if Bevan is re-elected Governor of Kentucky ..He is very unpopular - yet tied in the latest poll I saw

Garrett78

(10,721 posts)

3. Those are tough places for Dems, and Dem turnout does seem to be low in special elections.

Reply to ritapria (Reply #1)

Sun Oct 20, 2019, 11:20 PM

Oct 2019

But we tend to do fairly well in presidential elections, and we did much better than usual in the most recent mid-term of 2018.

I'm hopeful we'll have good turnout in 2020. It's shenanigans (and a desperate party taking desperate action) that worries me most.

jcgoldie

(11,642 posts)

2. Well on the bright side

Reply to pbmus (Original post)

Sun Oct 20, 2019, 11:15 PM

Oct 2019

They had high base turnout and still got their asses kicked. Pretty sure Trump has done nothing at all to expand his base.

Indykatie

(3,697 posts)

4. If GOP Turn Out Was 83% in Florida in 2018 It Should Have Raised Red Flags of Possible Fraud

Reply to pbmus (Original post)

Mon Oct 21, 2019, 12:56 AM

Oct 2019

Poiuyt

(18,130 posts)

5. Rachel Bitecofer has used her models to predict a Democratic win for the White House in 2020

Reply to pbmus (Original post)

Mon Oct 21, 2019, 01:27 AM

Oct 2019

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