But as long as Trump believes it, that's all that matters.

Junk poll

Trump will get around 8% of the African-American vote - on a good Day for him

because the video on that terrible site takes up half the screen of my tablet and I can't scroll it away or close it.
Either way, no reason to get worked up because of the 32% when it was based on 69 male AA. It's normal with polls that subgroups get smaller and the possibilities of outliers increase. The article didn't even try to make that specific result an issue.

No thanks.

Rough estimate of poll accuracy?

I read once that poll accuracy is determined by the number of folks polled.

Take the square root of the number polled.

Divide 100 by that square root.

It gives you the approx +/_ accuracy.

400 folks polled is +/_ 5% accurate.

1600 folks polled is +/_ 2.5% accurate

Very rough and simplistic.

A statistics class would hammer you with more details.

Especially; are the folks polled a valid cross section of the voters?

Or; are they mostly true believers in the issue/candidate or mostly non-believers?

Is it a neutral poll or a push poll that guides you toward the answers they really want?

with 22 saying they'd support Trump over the Democratic candidate. That's a margin of error of about 12%.

20-16 exit polls showed him getting 13% of black men.

the other half are naturally liberal in personality type. just like everyone else. Then environment comes in, and the two ultimately combine to create political views in every possible combination. Notably, of course men overall tend to be more conservative or less strongly liberal than women.

I hope 32% of black males who would for vote for Trump is unrealistic, but 20% sounds appallingly believable. Remember, we're talking about the same KIND of people as Trump's white male supporters, but with the different realities that come with different race.

As the primaries move forward, hopefully eliminating the candidates that white and black males, moderate conservatives but also large numbers of liberals, object to most will help the AA monolith tighten up and bring in a few of them in. The same of course for white men repelled by much of the MSM's "far-left Democrats" spin. Spin that's meant to have exactly that effect.

Support was only 4% higher than Republicans in that poll. I'm guessing it's higher among AA men than AA women.

I can't wait for election day when less than 10% of Black people vote for Trump.