General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsI wonder about that great job boom everybody is talking about...
In the case you missed it, we are supposedly going a through a jobs boom, unemployment is at 3.5%, and it is all an achievement that Agent Orange wants to capitalize on.
I wonder if those numbers are doctored. I would not put it past time to lean on the statistitians/economists, offering them loss of a job unless they paint a rosy picture...
Am I too paranoid?
True Blue American
(17,984 posts)This months figures will be higher because all the stores like Dollar Tree are desperate for help. I was in one yesterday, boxed stock piled sky high. One told me they are desperate because no one wants to work.
But come January it will be much different. Economists are predicting a recession but no one knows how deep. However the economy always sinks in an election year. Never fails.
Sherman A1
(38,958 posts)GetRidOfThem
(869 posts)Being an economist myself, but dealing with different issues.
What if a recession materializes, but the numbers sre fudged, and everything looks rosy?
Ohiogal
(31,999 posts)provide a wage you can actually live on, plus a good health care plan?
True Blue American
(17,984 posts)They are simply jobs for High School and College students. Seasonal, part time.
Sanity Claws
(21,848 posts)We just posted a position and we are stunned at the resumes we are receiving. The title indicates a junior position but we are getting applicants with years of solid experience. Many have Master's degrees or are still in graduate programs.
I also found out that someone we hired last year to fill in at reception and do admin work had started law school before taking our job.
There are a lot of very qualified people who are unemployed and underemployed.
madville
(7,410 posts)My 22 yo son graduated technical college last year to be an industrial electrician, motors, PLCs,
automation, etc. He had job offers before he even graduated, he accepted an entry level union position at a paper mill and is making about 80k a year with good benefits.
All his friends in the trades are doing good, electricians, plumbing, welding, etc.
Im an electronics/radio technician by trade, almost impossible to find experienced technicians, especially people willing to travel and/or be on 24 hour call to respond to site casualties, very easy to find a job making decent money.
True Blue American
(17,984 posts)Need help. But even they require specialized training. The reason Community, and Trade Schools are flourishing.
After years of pushing paper jobs there is now a huge shortage of workers who can do things.
albacore
(2,399 posts)True Blue American
(17,984 posts)Certain trades can not be outsourced, but in recessions people tend to do plumbing, electrical work themselves.
What is desperately needed is a massive infrastructure bill that would put millions to work. Trump took a few out but is now threatening to send 12,000 troops to Iran.
KY_EnviroGuy
(14,491 posts)Pay has not recovered from the 2008 crisis so staff work longer to fill the gap, boosting labour supply and limiting wage rises
Larry Elliott
Link: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2019/nov/17/why-is-uk-unemployment-still-low-we-are-working-longer-hours
and:
Feel poor, work more
Explaining the UKs record employment
12 November 2019
Link: https://www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications/feel-poor-work-more/
In summary, more people are having to work and work more hours just to keep their heads above water thanks to Republican policy, both past and present. The recession allowed companies to screw us over royally.
In addition, the Trump administration's tax cut legislation will make this situation much worse for workers in the coming years.
KY.......
Hoyt
(54,770 posts)accurate, especially after analysis have commented on things like the effect of the end of the GM strike.
One can argue whether they are good paying jobs, whether it's a blip, whether it will continue, etc., but I think the numbers are as accurate as we can get in a large, complex economy.
GetRidOfThem
(869 posts)..I might be paranoid.
The real issue is that with this much distrust in our leadership, any scheptiscism makes complete, on the surface, sense.
Ah, but there is this questiion: with unemployment being so low, why aren't wages rising?
Oops, another set of numbers to fudge...
Oh, I am so paranoid!...
Hoyt
(54,770 posts)Productivity has not increased a lot recently. And increases in productivity are more likely due to investment in computers, equipment, training, etc.
A lot of us got used to larger pay increases in the 1990s and early 2000s. But, we are competing in a global economy. Our pay increases are roughly equivalent to other advanced countries.
The people that really concern me are those at the lower end of the pay scale. They need help, whether increases in pay or healthcare, etc., or a combination. Personally, I'd go for job security, a better safety net, etc.
This is one of many articles that pop us when searching "why aren't wages rising with low unemployment:"
https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2019/11/14/wage-growth-why-isnt-pay-climbing-faster/2580205001/
Humanist_Activist
(7,670 posts)I look for a new job today, and its 8 bucks an hour, I started a job 10 years ago for the same amount. Its ridiculous.
Has there been no inflation in that entire time period?
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2018/08/07/for-most-us-workers-real-wages-have-barely-budged-for-decades/
Hoyt
(54,770 posts)Last edited Sat Dec 7, 2019, 01:07 PM - Edit history (1)
inflation adjusted wages should necessarily budge, other than we like them to. But, it is disappointing.
True Blue American
(17,984 posts)In your area? Starting pay$13. Ups? $16.
Anon-C
(3,430 posts)...any wrong doing or evil like Trumps crimes or spending cuts for the poor....sick trolls!
Joe941
(2,848 posts)The credit belongs to the hard working americans.
True Blue American
(17,984 posts)Humanist_Activist
(7,670 posts)so has never been an accurate count of actual employment numbers. This dates back well before Trump, by the way.
Also, they rarely talk about the quality of work, for example, how many of these jobs are 8 dollars an hour and 20 hours a week or less, etc.
Johnny2X2X
(19,066 posts)Ive seen several articles saying this means Trump will for sure get to run on the economy next year. No one is going to remember November of 2019s jobs report close to election. If the good reports continue then yes, but remember most economists are still predicting a recession next year.
albacore
(2,399 posts)"....53 million Americans between the ages of 18 to 64accounting for 44% of all workersqualify as low-wage. Their median hourly wages are $10.22, and median annual earnings are about $18,000."
https://www.brookings.edu/blog/the-avenue/2019/11/21/low-wage-work-is-more-pervasive-than-you-think-and-there-arent-enough-good-jobs-to-go-around/?fbclid=IwAR12ERckXkG1PNcNt7CPIuboNeX8fGm7DidoVG5zhNTk1728S3KajDyOaLA
Lexee
(377 posts)and then a couple weeks later, they were adjust much lower. We had that happened to Trump the last set of numbers. They adjusted them down.