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kentuck

(111,110 posts)
Fri Dec 27, 2019, 01:01 PM Dec 2019

How long can the "impasse" go on?

And who does it benefit politically?

The animosities between McConnell and Schumer seem to be very intense. If ending the impasse is left to them, then it may go on for a long time?

The last polls that asked if the Senate should call witnesses for the impeachment trial were at about 70% in favor. The other poll shows 55% of the people support conviction and removal of Donald J Trump.

Republicans are saying their polls show they are gaining ground in battleground states. We have not seen those polls.

The big question is : How long will Pelosi hold on to the Articles before she passes them to the Senate?

One thing we know about Pelosi is that she is very patient. She is not known to pull the trigger until the time is right. Her political instincts are very, very good.

Will she turn the Articles over soon after the Senate returns on the 6th? Much will depend on whether she believes there are enough votes to request the testimony of witnesses?

She will follow her heart and gut to get the best answer for the American people. If the Republicans insist on a quick trial and acquittal, they will suffer the political consequences of voting against 70% of the American people. It may end up being a pyrrhic victory for them?






29 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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How long can the "impasse" go on? (Original Post) kentuck Dec 2019 OP
Until it is fair? And every state will be a battle for pukes this election. pwb Dec 2019 #1
I hope it lasts, it's dragging the Republicans and Drumpf down. TheBlackAdder Dec 2019 #23
The Mueller She Wrote episode from this week, this topic dewsgirl Dec 2019 #2
How long did McConnell hold up the Merrick Garland SOTU nomination? lunatica Dec 2019 #3
There's your answer, kentuck ! OnDoutside Dec 2019 #4
I don't think Trump can last that long? kentuck Dec 2019 #7
He has no shame. If Pelosi agrees to bring it to the senate, I don't think OnDoutside Dec 2019 #15
What if the Democrats win 51-49 to convict? kentuck Dec 2019 #18
It doesn't matter ! Not that it would happen but he'll say that the process was rigged. We've been OnDoutside Dec 2019 #19
I think he's scared shitless right now. kentuck Dec 2019 #20
Absolutely agree, she's played him so well. OnDoutside Dec 2019 #21
He wants it fast before much more comes out about him. pwb Dec 2019 #29
Seconded TheRealNorth Dec 2019 #6
They're not even in session, so WhiteTara Dec 2019 #5
There it is. comradebillyboy Dec 2019 #12
She should hold them until Baked Potato Dec 2019 #8
When they come back on January 7, 2020, we can begin to ask MineralMan Dec 2019 #9
We do know they haven't come to any agreements yet. kentuck Dec 2019 #10
Well, we know that they haven't publicly done so, anyhow. MineralMan Dec 2019 #11
Yeah, I do agree that even with the recess PRETZEL Dec 2019 #14
Republicans are saying their polls show ... underpants Dec 2019 #13
Pelosi could conceivably exercise a pocket-veto and not send the charges to the Senate at all. backscatter712 Dec 2019 #16
The problem with this is that Madame Speaker is arguing "process" OrlandoDem2 Dec 2019 #26
How to frame it? Simple - Moscow Mitch isn't allowing a fair trial. backscatter712 Dec 2019 #28
As long as it's not hurting the Republicans forthemiddle Dec 2019 #17
I wonder if she can hold onto them until the next congress after the election in 2020. aikoaiko Dec 2019 #22
Trump is going to be acquitted so I would have liked to see this thing get over and done with ASAP - Midwestern Democrat Dec 2019 #24
Assuming Trump was to keep his nose clean for an entire year.... kentuck Dec 2019 #25
GOP politicians lie about nearly everything. guillaumeb Dec 2019 #27

pwb

(11,292 posts)
1. Until it is fair? And every state will be a battle for pukes this election.
Fri Dec 27, 2019, 01:06 PM
Dec 2019

They all suck canal water.

dewsgirl

(14,961 posts)
2. The Mueller She Wrote episode from this week, this topic
Fri Dec 27, 2019, 01:10 PM
Dec 2019

is discussed. The professional AG interviewed,seems to think this can go on for a while and be fine constitutionally, they were discussing Trump's financial records Supreme Court case.



kentuck

(111,110 posts)
7. I don't think Trump can last that long?
Fri Dec 27, 2019, 01:25 PM
Dec 2019

After all witnesses and court decisions come out, it's going to be a much rougher road for Trump and the Republicans, in my opinion.

OnDoutside

(19,974 posts)
15. He has no shame. If Pelosi agrees to bring it to the senate, I don't think
Fri Dec 27, 2019, 05:26 PM
Dec 2019

it matters what terms are set, as long as Trump wins by 51 votes or more, he's going to claim victory. He will create that narrative over the following 9 months. Where Nancy has him now, is optimum for Democrats. Park this impeachment and wait for those other court cases to work their way through.

kentuck

(111,110 posts)
18. What if the Democrats win 51-49 to convict?
Fri Dec 27, 2019, 06:21 PM
Dec 2019

It is still not nearly the 67 votes needed to remove him, but it is also not a majority acquittal. It's hard to sell as an "exoneration".

OnDoutside

(19,974 posts)
19. It doesn't matter ! Not that it would happen but he'll say that the process was rigged. We've been
Fri Dec 27, 2019, 07:05 PM
Dec 2019

here before, he's nothing if not predictable. Don't expect him to come out with his hands up. If I were the Dems, I would very quickly go full on with some other scandal to distract, it's what Trump would do.

kentuck

(111,110 posts)
20. I think he's scared shitless right now.
Fri Dec 27, 2019, 09:44 PM
Dec 2019

That's why he is attacking Pelosi every day.

He doesn't know what is going to happen.

WhiteTara

(29,723 posts)
5. They're not even in session, so
Fri Dec 27, 2019, 01:23 PM
Dec 2019

there's no impasse. We can have this discussion on 1/8/2020 when they have been back at work one day.

Baked Potato

(7,733 posts)
8. She should hold them until
Fri Dec 27, 2019, 01:26 PM
Dec 2019

she is satisfied her conditions are met. That puts enormous pressure on Moscow Mitch.

MineralMan

(146,335 posts)
9. When they come back on January 7, 2020, we can begin to ask
Fri Dec 27, 2019, 01:30 PM
Dec 2019

this question in earnest. Right now, there's nobody in DC to make the decisions. Is there a genuine impasse? We don't know, really.

MineralMan

(146,335 posts)
11. Well, we know that they haven't publicly done so, anyhow.
Fri Dec 27, 2019, 01:37 PM
Dec 2019

What is going on privately we don't know. The Senate is in recess, but that doesn't mean that conversations are not going on. But, we're not privy to them.

McConnell is probably getting some pressure, both from Republicans and Democrats. Will he compromise? I don't know. Who influences him? Well, Trump, probably. Putin, maybe, but perhaps he's staying out of this particular nastiness.

Maybe money will talk in some way, but we won't hear about that, either.

PRETZEL

(3,245 posts)
14. Yeah, I do agree that even with the recess
Fri Dec 27, 2019, 01:47 PM
Dec 2019

McConnell and Shumer's staffs are talking, at least in general terms. At least that is my thought.

As we get closer to them returning to session, let's see if Murkowski (maybe Romney etc.) continue their calls for evidence and witnesses. If those voices continue to be heard, then maybe there will be some form of a fair trial.

If they go silent (which something in the back of my mind is telling me they will), then it will be McConnell's show and no matter what Speaker Pelosi says, she'll end up looking like one holding up the trial.

backscatter712

(26,355 posts)
16. Pelosi could conceivably exercise a pocket-veto and not send the charges to the Senate at all.
Fri Dec 27, 2019, 05:46 PM
Dec 2019

And this may be a good strategy for us Dems.

Time's on our side in this. The longer the impeachment stays in the news, the more people learn about it, the more that facts about Trump's conduct end up on the news, and the worse the GOP looks when they've been caught openly bragging about turning the Senate trial into a kangaroo court with a pre-conceived outcome. And the more that Trump looks like a manbaby when he whines about them in his toilet tweets.

My vote is that Pelosi hold on to those articles at least for weeks or even months. Sure, the end-result may be acquittal, but I say make sure that acquittal happens after Super Tuesday.

OrlandoDem2

(2,070 posts)
26. The problem with this is that Madame Speaker is arguing "process"
Sat Dec 28, 2019, 01:23 PM
Dec 2019

The Reps have been arguing process in the House, now Nancy is arguing process in the Senate. She needs a simple, quick, easy to understand rebuttal or she may play into their hands.

I trust her instincts, though. She’s the best.

backscatter712

(26,355 posts)
28. How to frame it? Simple - Moscow Mitch isn't allowing a fair trial.
Sat Dec 28, 2019, 01:53 PM
Dec 2019

Short, simple, fits on a bumper sticker.

Virtually everyone knows that you need to be able to present evidence and call witnesses in a proper trial. Yet Moscow Mitch wants a trial with no witnesses, no evidence, just a short period of politicians emitting hot air, followed by a lockstep vote to shut it down.

Mitch really fucked up when he bragged that he was going to shut the impeachment down in the Senate, when he's one of the people on the jury, who will be under oath.

I'd say Pelosi's winning right now. That impeachment is hanging over Trump and the GOP like a dead skunk, and Pelosi just denied Mitch the way to make it go away.

forthemiddle

(1,382 posts)
17. As long as it's not hurting the Republicans
Fri Dec 27, 2019, 05:54 PM
Dec 2019

As soon as it starts, Mitch will change the Senate rules, and end the trial. Even if it means taking a short term hit, the spin machines will be out declaring Trump acquited.
Right now, with the Christmas break nothing needs to be done.
Because, ultimately, this is now in the Senate hands, Mitch can determine the outcome.

aikoaiko

(34,185 posts)
22. I wonder if she can hold onto them until the next congress after the election in 2020.
Sat Dec 28, 2019, 12:44 PM
Dec 2019

I think it was a good idea to hold off on transmitting the article until after the winter recess, but then there are only diminishing returns after that unless you're waiting for a majority in the Senate.

24. Trump is going to be acquitted so I would have liked to see this thing get over and done with ASAP -
Sat Dec 28, 2019, 01:05 PM
Dec 2019

like in January. I don't see how dragging this thing out into February, March, April is in our best interests - under normal circumstances, our presidential candidates and eventual nominee can expect to get a lot free publicity during the primaries/caucuses - I really don't see how it benefits us to have an impeachment trial where acquittal is certain drowning out a lot of this coverage. Pelosi basically decided to engage in a Mexican standoff with McConnell - but her gun is loaded with nothing but blanks.

kentuck

(111,110 posts)
25. Assuming Trump was to keep his nose clean for an entire year....
Sat Dec 28, 2019, 01:18 PM
Dec 2019

...and nothing else would come out, that might make sense. But I suspect the Courts may come down with two or three decisions against Trump, as well as the release of documents, as well as the testimony of firsthand witnesses.

I think it is good for Democrats.

guillaumeb

(42,641 posts)
27. GOP politicians lie about nearly everything.
Sat Dec 28, 2019, 01:35 PM
Dec 2019

And polling that we have seen suggests that the public knows that Trump is guilty.

There is only one reason that Trump refuses to allow anyone from his Administration to testify, and 70% of the public knows why.

In my view, Pelosi should stand form, as should Schumer, and the appropriate House Sub-Committees should continue to investigate and allow the court proceedings to continue as well.

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