A special election to test the red-blue shift in Texas politics

House District 28 has belonged to the Republicans for a while now. But that district is a subset of Fort Bend County, a once-Republican stronghold that has turned Democratic.

While Trump wonin HD-28 — and this is where a lot of the current Democratic enthusiasm found its root — Clinton won by a healthy margin in greater Fort Bend County. Other Republicans outperformed the president that year, but not by enough to make their Fort Bend results comfortable.

Like Trump in 2016, Cruz in 2018 won in Zerwas’ district but lost countywide, coming in with 43.6% of the vote to O’Rourke’s 55.8%.

That brings us to the special election underway right now. Zerwas, an anesthesiologist in real life, gave up his perch as chairman of the House Appropriations Committee earlier this year to become executive vice chancellor for health affairs at The University of Texas System.

The race to fill the rest of his term is underway, with early voting about to end and the election set for next Tuesday. Republican Gary Gates is trying to keep the seat in the GOP column; Democrat Eliz Markowitz is trying to wrest it away.

She’s getting a lot of help from big Democratic names, starting with O’Rourke, who has spent significant time on the ground in HD-28, knocking on doors, talking to voters and volunteers and helping Markowitz pull this off. Joe Biden endorsed her, as did Michael Bloomberg and Elizabeth Warren. Julián Castro has campaigned in the district.

In real ways, the contest has little to do with who’s in the Texas House; after all, the winner will only serve until the first of next year, and the Legislature doesn’t meet this year. It’s not like they’re fighting over power.

This is about politics, and about the two major parties’ ability to turn out voters and to win a debate in a red district in a blue county. Democrats hope to build on the 2018 wave, to prove that things really are going their way in suburban Texas and that the 2018 election results weren’t a fluke borne of a controversial mid-term president and an overheated race for U.S. Senate.



https://www.texastribune.org/2020/01/24/texas-red-blue-shift-tested-house-district-28-special-election/