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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsJust what Japan needs :(. Mt Fuji activity
http://www.wired.co.uk/news/archive/2012-09/06/mount-fujiResearchers have speculated for some time that the volcano, located on Honshu Island 100km southwest of Tokyo, is overdue an eruption. In 2000 and 2001 a series of low-frequency earthquakes were recorded beneath the volcano, leading to widespread predictions of an imminent blow. Since the March 2011 tsunami and the 6.4 magnitude earthquake that followed four days later, Japan has been on tenterhooks, and in May 2012 a professor from Ryukyu University warned that a massive eruption within three years would be likely because of several major factors: steam and gases are being emitted from the crater, water eruptions are occurring nearby, massive holes emitting hot natural gases are appearing in the vicinity and finally, the warning sign that pushed the professor to make the announcement, a 34km-long fault was found underneath the volcano. The fault, experts suggested, could indicate a total collapse of the mountainside if there is another significant shift, and it would probably cause a collapse in the event of an eruption, leading to huge mud and landslides.
The new readings prove that the localised tectonic shifts of 2011 have indeed put immense pressure on the magma chamber, but the National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention has qualified its warning by noting that pressure is just one contributory factor to an eruption. The 1707 quake, however, was itself caused by a recent earthquake that amped up the pressure in its magma chamber.
kestrel91316
(51,666 posts)alfredo
(60,075 posts)Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)At any rate, the situation is probably not as dire as some make it out to be, as I explain here:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=1293034
kestrel91316
(51,666 posts)Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)However, as someone who spends a good piece of each week in Tokyo, I am much more concerned about a major earthquake there. Last year's huge quake, whose epicenter was more than 200 miles away from the central part of Tokyo, was still intensive enough in Tokyo to shut down public transportation, topple floor safes in upper story jewelry shops, and cause upper stories of skyscrapers to sway several feet back and forth.
Of course, Japan is a land of volcanoes, and there have been various volcanic eruptions in the recent past, most notably Mt. Aso on the island of Kyushu, as well the Sakurajima volcano on the same island which occasionally dumps ash on the city of Kagoshima across the bay. There is also Showa Shin-san, Japan's version of Paricutin, and the volcano at Nasu which often has steam rising from its crater.
Finally, the researchers from research organization that put out the report, which is actually practically down the street from me, have stated that "the increase in magma pressure alone is not enough to cause an eruption" but that "there is a need to issue a warning that there is a possibility of an eruption of (Mt. Fuji) after a few years have elapsed since the (Great East Japan) earthquake".
alfredo
(60,075 posts)Have on other sections of the fault and nearby volcanos.
Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)In the months following the Big One, there was a noticeable increase in the activity of land-based faults that were relatively close to the epicenter, particularly in Fukushima Prefecture, as well as in neighboring Ibaraki and Miyagi prefectures, and off the coast of Ibaraki and Chiba prefectures (note: These prefectures, or "states", are all in a line along the eastern Pacific coast of Japan). However, there was no real noticeable increase in seismic activity west of that area, except for one relatively powerful earthquake that hit the Shizuoka City area (near Mt. Fuji) shortly after the Big One. In that area, there is also a large fault that runs from the Pacific coast to the Sea of Japan coast, and for years there have been predictions of a major quake hitting that area ("Tokai Daishinzai" in Japanese).
Looking at recent volcanic activity in the area relatively near the 2011 epicenter, I see that the Nasudake volcano at Nasu, more or less on the border between Tochigi and Fukushima prefectures and approximately 100 miles from the epicenter, showed a small spike in activity just before the 2011 earthquake, but its current level of activity is nowhere near the level that it was in, say, the early 1970s.
http://www.seisvol.kishou.go.jp/tokyo/STOCK/monthly_v-act_doc/tokyo/12m03/301_12m03.pdf
alfredo
(60,075 posts)antigone382
(3,682 posts)Seeing the climate data and realizing there is really no way out at this point, one of my few hopes is that we will see some significant eruptions that can prevent the planet from roasting us all. Granted, I don't like the idea of any nations or peoples suffering the localized catastrophe of a volcano...but if Japan can predict the eruption and prevent it from having a negative impact like the eruption in Iceland a couple of years ago), then it could possibly be a good thing.
alfredo
(60,075 posts)antigone382
(3,682 posts)alfredo
(60,075 posts)malaise
(269,157 posts)They don't need this