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matt819

(10,749 posts)
Tue Mar 3, 2020, 12:41 PM Mar 2020

Coronavirus stats

A very kind DUer posted a link yesterday to a site compiling coronavirus stats. Here's that link: https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

The site is run by the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering. This site appears to fill the gap left by the absence of reliable data from the CDC, NIH, or the USG overall.

As with all things related to computing, the data has to be valid going into the system so that we can be somewhat confident that the presentation and analysis of that data is valid. I'm assuming that it is.

My point. Last night I took a screenshot of the site at 6:45 pm EST. At that time, there were - worldwide - 90,306 confirmed cases, 3,085 deaths, and 45,602 recovered patients. You can drill down on these stats to countries and localities in those countries.

It's now 11:21 am EST, not quite 16 hours later. There are 92,300 confirmed cases, 3,131 deaths, and 48,190 recovered patients. I'm not a statistician, so I'm not able to comment on whether these numbers are significant. As a layman, my reaction is, wow, but that's just me. BTW in the year of the H1N1 pandemic - April 2009 to April 2010 - there were close to 61 million cases, though the mortality rate was much lower than Covid-19. What I don't know, but can find out if I didn't have work to do, is the growth numbers and rates of Covid-19 compared to the H1N1 pandemic. Of course, the worst of all possibilities is a similar infection rate with the 2% mortality rate we've been seeihttps://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/estimates_2009_h1n1.htmng so far. BTW, here's the USG summary of the H1N1 pandemic. This was when we had an actual functioning government.

Added on edit: I have no idea why there's a large space between the first link and the next paragraph. Nothing's missing.

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redstatebluegirl

(12,265 posts)
1. Of course a University lab. They are doing most of the research in this country and on a shoestring
Tue Mar 3, 2020, 12:43 PM
Mar 2020

budget due to the cuts to NIH and NSF.

abqtommy

(14,118 posts)
5. Meanwhile, in my reading the news today between 2 and 8 people have died due to the tornado
Tue Mar 3, 2020, 01:15 PM
Mar 2020

in Nashville. Don't get so focused on reading about COVID-19 on your smartie-phone that you forget
to look both ways before you cross the street or to fasten the seat belt in your vehicle.

at140

(6,110 posts)
7. Correct!!! while 8 have died from covid, 74 died from flu and more than hundred from car accidents
Tue Mar 3, 2020, 01:59 PM
Mar 2020

during the same period.

at140

(6,110 posts)
10. Indians do not vacation in China and vice versa
Tue Mar 3, 2020, 03:03 PM
Mar 2020

Also India is not an export based economy unlike China, so Indians do not have as much business travel abroad compared to the Chinese. India consumes internally most of what it produces, and things are cheap so not an attractive market for Chinese goods.

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