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pat_k

(9,313 posts)
Fri Mar 6, 2020, 08:51 PM Mar 2020

Transmission from Asymptomatic contact

The article seems to confirm possibility of transmission from asymptomatic person.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2001468

Not comforting.

But at least it looks like Germany, unlike the U.S., is responding with with contract tracing, appropriate testing, and action -- and were doing so back in January.



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Transmission from Asymptomatic contact (Original Post) pat_k Mar 2020 OP
Certain regions are trying to contact trace but it's already to late. Agschmid Mar 2020 #1
I fear you are right. pat_k Mar 2020 #4
Asymptomatic transmission has been occurring in China since December and likely elsewhere also. LonePirate Mar 2020 #2
Thanks! pat_k Mar 2020 #3

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
1. Certain regions are trying to contact trace but it's already to late.
Fri Mar 6, 2020, 08:52 PM
Mar 2020

In NYC this is moving very quickly.

pat_k

(9,313 posts)
4. I fear you are right.
Fri Mar 6, 2020, 09:26 PM
Mar 2020

The current use of kits in various jurisdictions seems to be generally limited to testing cases severe enough to require hospitalization. (Cases that would be isolated in hospital pending test results anyway.) With wider availability and processing capacity, that will hopefully change, but I can't help but wonder if the virus has simply been circulating too long undetected to effectively limit spread.

To do any good, I think testing must be opened up to self-referring symptomatic people, with the highest priority being those who live with, work with, or have been in close contact with, a vulnerable population. And of course, anyone who has had contact with an identified case (symptomatic or not)

But, I fear the containment "bus" has probably left the building.

The biggest question is whether "self-quarantine" and other recommended precautions will keep the overall percentage infected down.

LonePirate

(13,431 posts)
2. Asymptomatic transmission has been occurring in China since December and likely elsewhere also.
Fri Mar 6, 2020, 08:54 PM
Mar 2020

It has probably been transmitting in the US since December as well.

pat_k

(9,313 posts)
3. Thanks!
Fri Mar 6, 2020, 09:16 PM
Mar 2020

I knew the possibility/probability of asymptomatic transmission was known, but wasn't aware of confirming cases. Thanks for the clarification.

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