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Quixote1818

(28,947 posts)
Wed Mar 18, 2020, 01:42 AM Mar 2020

Is it possible some areas may flatten the curve too much at first then that area gets nailed later?

For example some states have already put in place all kinds of restrictions when there are just a trickle of cases in those states. What if this causes growth to be only a few dozen or hundred people in some large cities? Then in a couple of months they lift the restrictions and all hell breaks loose because that city won't have any herd immunity at all as other places have taken pretty solid hits but perhaps flattened the curve enough to prevent hospitals from overflowing? This is world wide so if 75% of the world takes a big hit and 25% hardly gets anything it only takes a few people to come into a community and have that city / region get nailed by a second wave then have to close schools etc again for months. Are there some guidelines for how to manage the curve to a pace a region can handle that is not too strong and not too weak? Keeping the clamps on a region until a vaccine comes out in a year and a half will destroy the area economy. It would a complete shambles by then. Areas need to be managed carefully. Hopefully I am wrong about this?

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Is it possible some areas may flatten the curve too much at first then that area gets nailed later? (Original Post) Quixote1818 Mar 2020 OP
Sure. But it gives you time to develop a vaccine or better treatments. n/t PoliticAverse Mar 2020 #1
Yep. It also doesn't inudate the health care system beyond capacity, where very few get proper care. TheBlackAdder Mar 2020 #7
I remember reading somewhere... Dan Mar 2020 #2
That story has apparently been debunked RhodeIslandOne Mar 2020 #6
Does anyone know: can PRE-symptomatic people be contagious? Beartracks Mar 2020 #3
See the following article... PoliticAverse Mar 2020 #5
Don't forget these things often come in waves which BigmanPigman Mar 2020 #4
*******YES !!! ********* Also, what is mandated now is useless without testing. It's like ... uponit7771 Mar 2020 #8

Dan

(3,572 posts)
2. I remember reading somewhere...
Wed Mar 18, 2020, 01:51 AM
Mar 2020

That it was Japan I believe that has a case where a person that recovered from the virus was reinfected. Not sure if same strain or new one (as I understand it - there are two strains of the virus).

Maybe someone that is more aware could provide additional insight on this.

 

RhodeIslandOne

(5,042 posts)
6. That story has apparently been debunked
Wed Mar 18, 2020, 02:15 AM
Mar 2020

The patient may have been misdiagnosed with regular flu, or had not fully recovered. There are a number of stories of people's health improving and then taking a turn for the worse with this thing.

Beartracks

(12,816 posts)
3. Does anyone know: can PRE-symptomatic people be contagious?
Wed Mar 18, 2020, 02:01 AM
Mar 2020

And can you "catch" the novel coronary and never get sick, but still spread it around?

And, if you recover from actual covid-19, can you still be contagious?

========

uponit7771

(90,347 posts)
8. *******YES !!! ********* Also, what is mandated now is useless without testing. It's like ...
Wed Mar 18, 2020, 11:02 AM
Mar 2020

... asking all the toddlers with dirty diapers to stand away from the kids with clean diapers; aint gonna happen.

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