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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsRomney strategist: Obama’s convention poll bounce is a ‘sugar high’
http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/romney-strategist-obama-convention-poll-bounce-sugar-high-145651379--election.html/
"Don't get worked up about the latest polling," Neil Newhouse, Romney's pollster, wrote in a memo distributed to reporters Monday. "While some voters will feel a bit of a sugar high from the conventions, the basic structure of the race has not changed significantly. The reality of the Obama economy will reassert itself as the ultimate downfall of the Obama presidency, and Mitt Romney will win this race."
Newhouse's memo comes as a handful of national polls released over the weekend show Obama has pulled slightly ahead of Romney in the aftermath of the DNC. A Reuters/Ipsos poll released Sunday found 47 percent of likely voters were backing Obama, compared to 43 percent for Romney. Meanwhile, the Gallup daily tracking poll has Obama with a five-point lead over Romney, 49 percent to 44 percent.
Obama's slight increase comes after months of polls that found the race in a statistical tie and a week after polls found Romney received no bounce coming out of the Republican National Convention. In early August, Romney's campaign suggested he could receive as much as an 11-point boost in the aftermath of the RNCa prediction Stuart Stevens, a top Romney adviser, later dismissed.
In his latest memo, Newhouse argued that while Obama did see a convention bounce in the polls, it would likely disappear amid disappointing jobs numbers and the "Obama economy," which "will determine the outcome of the race," he argued.
"Those watching the daily tracking polls know that, while the president has seen a bounce from his convention, his approval has already begun to slip, indicating it is likely to recede further," Newhouse wrote.
And he argued that the battleground states that will determine the race have "expanded, not contracted"and pointed to new states they believe are in play, including Wisconsin, New Mexico and North Carolina.
"Today, there is no question: Americans are not better off than we were four years ago, and that is why President Obama has struggled in this race," Newhouse wrote. "The truth is that some of President Obama's allies are claiming victory, but others are acknowledging the unsustainable position in which they find themselves."
What are these guys smoking?
BeyondGeography
(39,374 posts)Zoeisright
(8,339 posts)And your little horse too.
Kalidurga
(14,177 posts)Romney is like totally jealous he couldn't even get people to love him for one blessed day. We know why we aren't better off. We have seen GOP obstruction at every turn. Finally people are waking up and they know where the blame lies. It isn't on the President it's the tea tards that managed to go to D.C.
patrice
(47,992 posts)This is from a lifelong researcher who specializes in white supremacy. Republicans have been sending racists to Washington for a long time; they have been fucking things up on purpose and getting rewarded for by chambers of commerce:
http://www.irehr.org/
patrice
(47,992 posts)assumption based on nothing but Cupcake Land culture.
Kber
(5,043 posts)There's the ad campaign urging me to "break up" with Obama based not on reason and facts but on some emotional disappointment. Now I'm not really excited - it's just a sugar high like my children might have.
Personally, not sure how insulting my intelligence or calling me an over-emotional child works to gain my trust and support. I kinda find it insulting, but given how well the Romney campaign is being run, I guess I'm the one missing something, right?
(oh yeah - then there's the whole not trusting me to make my own health care decisions thingie - that rankles, too.)
gkhouston
(21,642 posts)It was all red meat, baby!
patrice
(47,992 posts)VenusRising
(11,252 posts)Ad buys have been pulled from Wisconsin.
liberal N proud
(60,334 posts)From one week to the next we went from all negative to a positive but tempered message. Just like following the bu$h years we were raised out of the darkness into the light by the Democrats.
I would think the republicans would get tired of being negative all the time and I would think their supporters would get tired of being in a constant depressed state where everything is doom and gloom because of one man.