are more in line with Italy's
😣

✌🏼

we could have many thousands of of identified people out spreading the virus. We hit the tipping point a few days ago, those of you that saw a graph someone posted here on DU should gave seen the latest days of that graph starting to bend more sharply upward, that marked the point when this thing went from a rapidly rising straight line to an exponential, now it is truly in the exponential growth phase, each undetected sick person is making multiple people sick on each group interaction situation.

I had to take a Xanax today.

we will be at more than 27,000 tomorrow, 38,000 Monday, 53,000 Tues.

The multiplier has been a pretty consistent 1.4.(meaning take the # of cases at the end of the day and multiply by 1.4 and you get the total we will be at end of the following day). Sobering...depressing.

We will be #2, beyond Italy's number.

If you looked closely at the last four dates on that graph, you should have noticed the delta in day to day infections increasing faster. In my experience, what the appearance of those last few data points indicated was that the infection rate was no longer following a straight line that could be described by a multiple (or slope). The points, to me, indicated that the rate was moving into exponential growth territory, we are almost surely there now. Because of the dearth of testing and issues like unethical exposure of healthcare workers, each infected person, whether he or she know it or not, is infecting multiple people per day.

The data that was posted was for people that got infected when Trump could have contained the virus. Containment was broken at least two weeks ago and a lot of infected people either don't know that they are infected, or were turned away from getting a test. I wouldn't be surprised to see daily numbers changing by a power of an exponential, in that case, daily infection numbers could, in reality (assuming a competent testing process), be going up by dramatic amounts.

it is doing the hockey stick shape thing.

Today actually went up a slightly lesser percent than yesterday- not atypical in something so imprecise on so many levels (as you describe). I am sure we will see this jump in fits and starts.

good comments - thanks

This page lets you switch to a log scale:

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

There is no question what that curve is.

four points (from the graph I looked at earlier this week) implies that the situation is likely very bad now.

As you mention, the testing itself has been spotty.

You can find segments of higher or lower slope.

But, yeah... increasing slope on a log scale - whoa.

The latter of those tends to update quicker and specifically cites their sources for cases. They have the current count at 19,504, a minimal difference. Yesterday, I thought we would hit 20,000 before Monday. Now, I think we might hit it before Sunday evening.

The more folks are tested, the quicker these numbers will grow. As far as hospitalizations, I don't have a precise number but it looks as if those are about to accelerate over the coming week.

they were sick but got turned away from testing, who have been infecting other people for several weeks in some cases. So we have no idea where this thing is at. China shut down an entire region within a few weeks, Trump has let this thing spread to the entire country, there are multiple hot spots and the number of them will only grow.

19,671

https://bnonews.com/index.php/2019/12/tracking-coronavirus-u-s-data/

very....

With such a large nation and that is the point.

She is also a republican. Even she said that this is going to get much worse before it gets better.

Which is interesting because she is going with the science over the right-wing propaganda. She is not one to over-react. But if she is worried, and actually ADMITS it, then that means this is very serious. She has almost always sided with Trump on most things, but not on this.

She has two asthmatic grandchildren and she is terrified for them.

We've had major community transmission on both coasts for God knows how long. It's been absolutely unchecked here up till a week ago. Our moron in chief was patting himself on the back because our numbers weren't like Europe's, when in fact they were as bad or worse.

We'll never test enough people to know how widespread it is.

And likely right considering this virus has been in the US since January 2020 and maybe as early as late December 2019.

locked down a region of 50 million people. A couple weeks later they locked down another 15 million people. During that time China was ramping up it's testing all across China.

Trump has let this virus move among 350 million people freely for at least two months. Our true infection number is likely off the charts at this point.

It’s bad enough an egotistical fool is in charge but apparently there’s still a large swath of the population that believes he’s doing a good job. Hopefully a whole bunch of them will be out of commission by the next election.