General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forumssome grim COVID-19 Confirmed Case data milestones
we hit 100 cases on March 2
500 on March 8
1000 on March 10
5000 on March 17
10,000 on March 19
15,000 on March 20
20,000 on March 21 (today)
at this rate - and it has been very steady over the last week or so
50,000 on March 23
100,000 on March 26
500,000 on March 31
1 million on April 2 - that is 12 days from today.
two competing things can impact this - more testing (finding the undoubted infected among us) - and positive impact of social isolating (flattening the curve). There won't necessarily be less infections when all is said and done, but they will hopefully spread out more.
No matter how you look at it - miserable, scary, and we are only at the beginning.
at140
(6,110 posts)That will show the real trend.
davekriss
(4,618 posts)NRaleighLiberal
(60,015 posts)there are sites that have the log plots - https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/en - easy to switch to log view
struggle4progress
(118,295 posts)evertonfc
(1,713 posts)after 8 weeks - self isolation will turn into desperation, civil unrest and riots. Social safety nets will fail. Cats ain't going sit inside indefinitely. You can bet on that.
Terry_M
(745 posts)given the gaps in testing - the earlier numbers were probably a lot less accurate (ie if everyone who had symptoms was actually tested the number would have been a lot higher than 500). The later numbers are probably starting to approximate reality since testing has gotten to be more complete but with all of the news reports that some people with flu symptoms are still not being tested, the numbers today are still probably an under-count just not as bad of an under-count as March 8.
NRaleighLiberal
(60,015 posts)on a log curve is pretty much a straight line.
genxlib
(5,528 posts)The rate of infection is increasing at a multiplier.
The rate of testing would have to increase faster than that multiplier to actually be more accurate.
If the rate of growth in infections is greater than the rate of growth in testing, it could actually be undercounting worse
D_Master81
(1,822 posts)That was when it was around 1000 maybe. It seemed unthinkable at the time that 100,000 people would be infected in a few weeks but well probably be there by the end of next week.