General Discussion

uppityperson

(115,677 posts) Sun Mar 22, 2020, 02:44 PM Mar 2020

"Confirmed cases" vs actual cases

Please start using the word "Confirmed" when talking about covid-19 cases as there are many people who have it but have not had a test to confirm it. We expect confirmed number of cases to skyrocket as more get tested.

Covid-19 is spreading. But please use "Confirmed" as those are the only ones counted in reports.

For example :
50,000 period have it, no tests, none confirmed positive. 50,000 still have it.
50,000 people have it, 10 get tested, 10 positive. 50,000 still have it.
50,000 period have it, 1000 get tested, 1000 positive. 50,000 still have it.

It is widespread, continues to spread. But we knew the numbers confirmed would soar one testing started.

8 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

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"Confirmed cases" vs actual cases (Original Post) uppityperson Mar 2020 OP

since we really don;t test, confirmed means a big fat ZERO beachbumbob Mar 2020 #1

I'm watching number of deaths for a more realistic take, but even that isn't accurate uppityperson Mar 2020 #3

perhaps NOW but americans been dying for months and that is a fact beachbumbob Mar 2020 #6

Yup. Looking back at facilities I visit who have had deaths from pulmonary issues uppityperson Mar 2020 #7

Illinois Is Reporting... ProfessorGAC Mar 2020 #2

That's good. We need testing, though by now assuming it's everywhere is uppityperson Mar 2020 #5

Germany has a death rate of 0.3 percent. Turbineguy Mar 2020 #4

The numbers are forever distorted because of the Grotesque Orange Pustule. Hermit-The-Prog Mar 2020 #8

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)

1. since we really don;t test, confirmed means a big fat ZERO

Reply to uppityperson (Original post)

Sun Mar 22, 2020, 02:47 PM

Mar 2020

uppityperson

(115,677 posts)

3. I'm watching number of deaths for a more realistic take, but even that isn't accurate

Reply to beachbumbob (Reply #1)

Sun Mar 22, 2020, 02:48 PM

Mar 2020

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)

6. perhaps NOW but americans been dying for months and that is a fact

Reply to uppityperson (Reply #3)

Sun Mar 22, 2020, 02:50 PM

Mar 2020

uppityperson

(115,677 posts)

7. Yup. Looking back at facilities I visit who have had deaths from pulmonary issues

Reply to beachbumbob (Reply #6)

Sun Mar 22, 2020, 02:54 PM

Mar 2020

and wondering.

ProfessorGAC

(65,069 posts)

2. Illinois Is Reporting...

Reply to uppityperson (Original post)

Sun Mar 22, 2020, 02:48 PM

Mar 2020

...confirmed & suspected awaiting results. That's better than just confirmed. Not judging how far from great, though. Just that it's better.

uppityperson

(115,677 posts)

5. That's good. We need testing, though by now assuming it's everywhere is

Reply to ProfessorGAC (Reply #2)

Sun Mar 22, 2020, 02:50 PM

Mar 2020

a starting point for keeping yourself safe.

Turbineguy

(37,342 posts)

4. Germany has a death rate of 0.3 percent.

Reply to uppityperson (Original post)

Sun Mar 22, 2020, 02:49 PM

Mar 2020

Extrapolating from there... 133,000 infections in the U.S.

Hermit-The-Prog

(33,349 posts)

8. The numbers are forever distorted because of the Grotesque Orange Pustule.

Reply to uppityperson (Original post)

Sun Mar 22, 2020, 02:55 PM

Mar 2020

GOP and their Grotesque Orange Pustule have deliberately acted to prevent us from ever getting an accurate view of the impact of the virus on the U.S. The numbers for the early spread of the disease are forever lost.

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