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Mike 03

(16,616 posts)
Mon Mar 30, 2020, 09:19 AM Mar 2020

Most of Moscow's New Coronavirus Patients Younger Than 40

The Moscow Times
one hour ago

Young people make up a majority of Moscow’s new Covid-19 patients, the city’s coronavirus crisis center said Monday as Russia set another one-day record in new cases of the deadly disease.

Russia confirmed 302 new coronavirus infections on Monday, bringing the country’s official number of cases up to 1,836, with nine deaths. Moscow accounted for 212 of the new cases and 1,226 of infections overall.

Out of Moscow’s 212 new cases, 102 patients (48%) are residents aged 18 to 40, the Russian capital’s crisis center said.

Another 17 patients (8%) are children, meaning 56% of Moscow’s new coronavirus cases are younger than 40 years old.

Of the remaining 93 new coronavirus patients, 58 are between 40 and 65 years old and 35 are older than 65, the crisis center said.

In a separate statement, the crisis center said that 45% of Moscow's patients in serious condition are younger than 60 years old. Nearly 40% of patients younger than 40 years old are on respirators, it added.

The data challenges studies that have said the virus most severely affects the elderly and people with underlying medical conditions. Some 10% to 15% of patients under the age of 50 have moderate to severe infection, according to Dr. Mike Ryan, the World Health Organization’s top emergencies expert, a percentage he called a “significant minority.”


That's the gist. A little more at link: https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2020/03/30/most-of-moscows-new-coronavirus-patients-younger-than-40-a69797
6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Most of Moscow's New Coronavirus Patients Younger Than 40 (Original Post) Mike 03 Mar 2020 OP
The bolded part of the OP is misleading jberryhill Mar 2020 #1
I unbolded it. Mike 03 Mar 2020 #2
Here's a longer explanation on a similar set of half-stats jberryhill Mar 2020 #4
Thanks. I'm glad we have people here who can explain this stuff. Mike 03 Mar 2020 #6
Well, in Russia life expectancy for a man is 65 years. LisaL Mar 2020 #3
Ding, Ding, Ding, Ding... we have a winner! jberryhill Mar 2020 #5
 

jberryhill

(62,444 posts)
1. The bolded part of the OP is misleading
Mon Mar 30, 2020, 09:30 AM
Mar 2020

To make any sense of these figures, you have to know the age distribution of the Moscow population in the first place.

The data stated in the article does "challenge" anything. Take this line:

"45% of Moscow's patients in serious condition are younger than 60 years old"

The median age in Russia generally is 39 years old. So if around half of the cases in serious condition are "younger than 60", then indeed the serious cases are skewing OLDER than the population in general.
 

jberryhill

(62,444 posts)
4. Here's a longer explanation on a similar set of half-stats
Mon Mar 30, 2020, 09:38 AM
Mar 2020

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100213194864#post6

Overall outcomes, based on a lot of accumulated data, look like this:



A little worse if you are older, a little better if you are younger.

LisaL

(44,974 posts)
3. Well, in Russia life expectancy for a man is 65 years.
Mon Mar 30, 2020, 09:37 AM
Mar 2020

So most old men are already dead from something else.

 

jberryhill

(62,444 posts)
5. Ding, Ding, Ding, Ding... we have a winner!
Mon Mar 30, 2020, 09:39 AM
Mar 2020


Yep.

Looking at that distribution and saying "45% of cases are under age 60" indicates 55% of cases concentrated at the skinny top of the pyramid.
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