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ck4829

(35,077 posts)
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 08:38 AM Mar 2020

"Plausible" that really bad cold or flu might have been COVID, but more research is needed

The claim: People who suffered from a round of illness in November and December likely had the coronavirus

A handful of widely circulated Facebook posts have asserted that people in the United States likely contracted the coronavirus as early as last fall.

Experts say it's plausible that coronavirus came over to the U.S. from China before that first January case, but more testing is needed to be sure.

"Anecdotally, we've heard about some influenza-like illnesses in December and January that were a little bit atypical," said Dr. Luis Ostrosky, a professor of infectious diseases at McGovern Medical School at UTHealth in Houston. "But the thing we need to solve that puzzle is when we actually start doing testing of antibodies, not just detecting the virus."

https://www.yahoo.com/news/fact-check-could-december-cough-022649986.html


This has also been discussed here on DU.

In early February, all of my coworkers and I got sick with this bad bug; rapid onset, a cough, fever, fatigue, sore throat, incredibly virulent, people who never call off (Myself included) suddenly needed to take sick time, and more than a month later it still feels like I'm recovering.

My mother also got "the flu" with the same symptoms but had her flu shot and tested negative for the flu around this time, well before Trump they were "watching that one guy in Washington".

Despite this, I don't recommend laying hands on people and saying "you're healed", I've put myself inside and am doing social distancing.
34 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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"Plausible" that really bad cold or flu might have been COVID, but more research is needed (Original Post) ck4829 Mar 2020 OP
I Got Sick In December ProfessorGAC Mar 2020 #1
I would volunteer to get tested to see if I have antibodies because I caught Baitball Blogger Mar 2020 #2
Me too. a la izquierda Mar 2020 #15
That sounds very much like it. SuprstitionAintthWay Mar 2020 #31
I think I had that; it was nasty and held on for weeks gratuitous Mar 2020 #3
This article seems ignorant of the researcher in Seattle Blues Heron Mar 2020 #4
But this is after we knew it was here and had been for a month. Igel Mar 2020 #22
Personal anecdote Chainfire Mar 2020 #5
My wife and I both had sore throat and slight fever in early Feb and then got over it in a few days. honest.abe Mar 2020 #6
Sicker than I've ever been in mid Nov. fever of 104 F livetohike Mar 2020 #7
This may be true but Freddie Mar 2020 #8
This is the flaw with this theory spinbaby Mar 2020 #9
+1 uponit7771 Mar 2020 #10
Antibody testing will reveal whether this is true, eventually, I think. MineralMan Mar 2020 #11
Covid's symptoms are similar to cold, flu, regular allergies. LisaL Mar 2020 #17
Yes, they are. However, COVID-19 MineralMan Mar 2020 #21
I've had more than one person barbtries Mar 2020 #12
Flu type A was brutal this winter. LisaL Mar 2020 #14
but could he get it twice? barbtries Mar 2020 #16
Maybe he had type B first then type A. LisaL Mar 2020 #18
yeah. barbtries Mar 2020 #20
I had a very odd set of symptoms in Houston in late February. ananda Mar 2020 #13
My sister was very sick in December. liberalmuse Mar 2020 #19
Yes, more research is needed. Igel Mar 2020 #23
I got sick in mid-December, first time in memory I had true flu like symptoms. denbot Mar 2020 #24
Been hearing a lot of internet chatter on this subject... Wounded Bear Mar 2020 #25
Had a co-worker I work closely come down with something that knocked him down hard in Feb as well. Afromania Mar 2020 #26
Me, in January. Cracklin Charlie Mar 2020 #27
I had this flu thing dmkinsey Mar 2020 #28
My daughter had the same kind of symptoms in February. patphil Mar 2020 #29
My wife got something back in November and has had nagging stomach problems since. Tommy_Carcetti Mar 2020 #30
I was sick really bad for 6 weeks marlakay Mar 2020 #32
I had it too, Jan 6, and hoping I have already had CV, the problem I see though LizBeth Mar 2020 #33
The only way to know GeorgiaPeanut Mar 2020 #34

ProfessorGAC

(65,054 posts)
1. I Got Sick In December
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 08:50 AM
Mar 2020

Week before Christmas break.
Subbed for a Jr hi social studies teacher who was sick 3 days. I did 2 of them (Th&F). The next week was b4 the break but I was too sick to sub that week.
Later, I found out that aside from me, 2 other teachers got sick over Christmas, almost a dozen kids missed school (mind you, there's only about 120 kids, K-8), & the school secretary had to go to ER with what was diagnosed as pneumonia.
I got diagnosed with bronchitis & xray showed no pneumonia.
Since Mineral Man posited this some time ago, I've been thinking about this, more & more!!

Baitball Blogger

(46,715 posts)
2. I would volunteer to get tested to see if I have antibodies because I caught
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 08:51 AM
Mar 2020

that flu. I experienced that reaction where my lungs went into overdrive creating all kinds of nasty excess and it took me a month and a half to get over the cough.

a la izquierda

(11,795 posts)
15. Me too.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 09:28 AM
Mar 2020

I got horribly ill in January, a couple weeks after returning from London, and a few days after I’d arrived in NYC for work. I went from fine to a 101 fever (I never run fevers) in less than 12 hours. The cough started very dry and then progressed into the nastiest cough I’ve ever had. The cough lasted nearly a month.
I get strep every year and it never, ever produces a fever or impacts anything except my ability to swallow and talk. This “flu” was the sickest I’ve ever been. And I’d gotten a flu shot.

31. That sounds very much like it.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 11:04 AM
Mar 2020

We may be a few more painfully won steps up the brutal path to herd immunity than epidemiologists know.

And are just flying blind about that, too, because we don't have the antibodies test yet. And once it is 'available," is that one gonna be like the active covid virus test "availability," too?

gratuitous

(82,849 posts)
3. I think I had that; it was nasty and held on for weeks
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 08:53 AM
Mar 2020

It got so bad I even went to the clinic (!) and had a chest x-ray, which was clear for any lung stuff. So maybe I just had a really bad cold or flu. I had a flu shot, as I do every year when it becomes available.

Blues Heron

(5,936 posts)
4. This article seems ignorant of the researcher in Seattle
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 08:54 AM
Mar 2020

She found a teenager from some weeks before that she had swabbed for a flu study. He was Corona positive. She was told to stop testing.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/10/us/coronavirus-testing-delays.html

Igel

(35,317 posts)
22. But this is after we knew it was here and had been for a month.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 09:51 AM
Mar 2020

Then the question was if it had slipped containment. It seemed highly likely. But testing protocols and "I wanna believe" said otherwise--really bad if it had escaped. And how dare a research both break her research protocol *and* government protocols.

We know it was around in November. By December there were some severe cases. It's likely that it was just Dr. Li's observational skills, but it requires that there several cases all at the same time in the same place. How long before late November is a question. And if it was round in late November, did it really take two months for the virus to jump the Pacific? A question that's less likely to have the answer "no" the earlier the virus started to circulate.

Unless you're Chinese media, in which case it was introduced in Wuhan from the US by an Army cyclist, and escaped into the wild in the US much earlier with a US government coverup for all the cases that couldn't be blamed on China.

Chainfire

(17,542 posts)
5. Personal anecdote
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 08:55 AM
Mar 2020

My wife got a really bad cold in mid Dec., (she rarely gets colds...) it lasted two weeks and she was absolutely miserable. This sickness was worse than any other "cold" she had ever had with the exception of the H1N1 we both got in the mid 1970s. She coughed until her abdominal muscles were so sore she was having trouble. When Covid-19 first started becoming a news item, we were suspicious, but the timing was all wrong so we dismissed the thought. What we both found incredible, is that I did not get this illness. When she got sick, I didn't take any special measures, taking care of her, because I was certain that any day I was going to come down with it.

It would be very interesting to see if she carries the Corona antibodies, but it would be an extreme long shot.

honest.abe

(8,678 posts)
6. My wife and I both had sore throat and slight fever in early Feb and then got over it in a few days.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 08:57 AM
Mar 2020

We were wondering if that might have been it. Didn't go to the Dr.

livetohike

(22,144 posts)
7. Sicker than I've ever been in mid Nov. fever of 104 F
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 09:05 AM
Mar 2020

for 5 days that wouldn’t break no matter what I tried. Went to Urgent Care and they sent me to the ER. Had a dry cough, but chest x-rays were clear. Had the nasal swab test for flu and that was negative. The ER doctor said I had an “upper respiratory virus”. I was so fatigued that I couldn’t stand up for the chest X-ray.

Went to my PCP three days later and she tested for Lyme. Results came back in a week and negative. The fever and fatigue were my main symptoms (also had hives) Finally broke the fever after 9 days, but the fatigue lasted for weeks.

Freddie

(9,267 posts)
8. This may be true but
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 09:09 AM
Mar 2020

Did any of these people end up in the hospital with ARDS? In Coronavirus I believe 10% have to be hospitalized and 5% need to be in an ICU. Was there a spike in respiratory related hospitalizations around that time?

spinbaby

(15,090 posts)
9. This is the flaw with this theory
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 09:15 AM
Mar 2020

If it had been Covid-19, ICUs would have been overrun with patients on ventilators.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
11. Antibody testing will reveal whether this is true, eventually, I think.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 09:18 AM
Mar 2020

I had a similar thing with the same symptoms that they're describing for COVID-19 in late October in Minnesota. My wife got it a few days later, and others have mentioned something similar.

Who knows?

LisaL

(44,973 posts)
17. Covid's symptoms are similar to cold, flu, regular allergies.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 09:28 AM
Mar 2020

I think if people were having it as early as October, we would have noticed, because a relatively large numbers of the people with covid end up in ICUs needing ventilators.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
21. Yes, they are. However, COVID-19
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 09:35 AM
Mar 2020

generally presents with only fever, dry cough and body aches, and is missing the upper respiratory and nasal symptoms. "What a weird cold," was the comment I heard from my wife and others.

I'm not saying that what we had was COVID-19. It could well have been a coronavirus cold, which makes up about half of colds in humans. There are a number of strains of coronavirus that are around all the time.

I just think it's interesting, given what's happening now.

As for the ICU and ventilator thing, people show up needing those all the time. If you're not looking for a particular virus and there's no test for that virus, you call it viral pneumonia of unknown cause.

I have no access to statistics from hospitals regarding such diagnoses. Do you?

It's an interesting thing. That's all. We will probably never get a solid answer on this.

barbtries

(28,796 posts)
12. I've had more than one person
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 09:20 AM
Mar 2020

tell me they think they had it. But only one of them had the truly cardinal symptoms including the fever. he was sick in November. In December he got sick again and this time went to the doctor and it was flu type A. What was it in November? Could he have relapsed from the Type A in December?
I just told him when they finally get the antibody test widely available, get it. Otherwise we'll never know.

LisaL

(44,973 posts)
14. Flu type A was brutal this winter.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 09:27 AM
Mar 2020

I know quite a few people who had it. My guess is those people who think they might have had covid actually had the regular flu.

LisaL

(44,973 posts)
18. Maybe he had type B first then type A.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 09:30 AM
Mar 2020

Or maybe he got it twice. Who knows. My friend got vaccinated, still got flu type A (got tested and test came positive for influenza type A). It can lead to pneumonia and prolonged symptoms of not feeling well.

barbtries

(28,796 posts)
20. yeah.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 09:34 AM
Mar 2020

it's so hard to know. i heard some scientist say that to get an idea of how prevalent coronavirus is, multiply the number of recorded cases times 10. the actual first case on the ground in the US is also pretty opaque. sigh.

ananda

(28,862 posts)
13. I had a very odd set of symptoms in Houston in late February.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 09:24 AM
Mar 2020

It might have been an allergic reaction to the hotel air,
but I never had a reaction quite like that.

I coughed and blew my nose for almost an entire night,
felt like I was getting sick the next day; then after a
round of Motrin and Claritin-D, it just went away.

It was very strange. I doubt that it was coronavirus,
but it was ... strange.

liberalmuse

(18,672 posts)
19. My sister was very sick in December.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 09:32 AM
Mar 2020

She gave it to me but I didn’t get it as bad as her, but was still sick for weeks. She had a dry cough, complained of tightness deep in her lungs, extreme fatigue, and couldn’t sleep due to shortness of breath. She actually tested with the Seattle Flu study and came back negative for flu, which was shocking considering it took her several weeks to shake this. This was just before they started feasting for Coronavirus as well.

I had a cough, but nothing would loosen until I pulled out some Dayquil and NyQuil. It took me about a month to feel normal again.

Igel

(35,317 posts)
23. Yes, more research is needed.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 09:55 AM
Mar 2020

But as Peirce pointed out, the number of research topics is huge and the resources aren't.

A Chinese researcher went back and looked at flu tests that had been retained, for whatever reason, before the virus was acknowledged as widespread. Looking at just those that were negative, he found a number of them tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. So if doctors have freezers with negative flu tests, the research is possible.

Antibody tests aren't going to be useful here. There's no time-stamp on when the body started to produce them.

Since 30-50% of COVID cases have no symptoms, you could have had the disease three weeks ago and not noticed it--the only clue would be if those around you mysteriously came down with it. Of those that have symptoms, a majority are very mild, like a cold or mild flu. Only a fairly small percentage (20% or so) land you in the hospital, and most of those don't require ventilator.

denbot

(9,899 posts)
24. I got sick in mid-December, first time in memory I had true flu like symptoms.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 10:24 AM
Mar 2020

I have only had the aches and pain one other time, decades ago. In December I got walloped and even delayed coming home till after Christmas, but got my wife and adult son sick anyway.

Wounded Bear

(58,660 posts)
25. Been hearing a lot of internet chatter on this subject...
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 10:29 AM
Mar 2020

we won't know wihout widespread antigen testing.

dmkinsey

(840 posts)
28. I had this flu thing
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 10:46 AM
Mar 2020

I got sick the Saturday after Thanksgiving.
Seems like that's way too early for corona virus but the symptoms are so similar.
I had a sore throat, cough, fever, extreme fatigue. I was in bed for two whole days, but it was a week before I felt nearly normal.
I didn't really have any difficulty breathing. No nausea, either.

patphil

(6,179 posts)
29. My daughter had the same kind of symptoms in February.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 10:51 AM
Mar 2020

She lives in Albuquerque, NM, and at that time there was no chance she could get checked for Covid19. It seemed impossible to get that virus in NM back then.
She was pretty sick, but thought it was just the flu...never went to a hospital.
She's recovered now, but still has a cough.

Anyway, we now think we know how she might have gotten it. The apartment building she lives in has several apartments that were rented by film crews from California and New York who do shoots in New Mexico. We believe the elevator might have gotten contaminated.

When the test for antibodies is available, she's going to get it. If she had the flu, she could help out as a volunteer if the city medical people give her the go-ahead.

This whole Covid thing is really weird, and the deeper we look, the more we find out. It's definitely been traveling around the country far longer, and with far greater coverage than we ever knew.

Tommy_Carcetti

(43,182 posts)
30. My wife got something back in November and has had nagging stomach problems since.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 10:55 AM
Mar 2020

But I don't think it was Coronavirus.

Also, in December-January I had a nagging tightness in my throat. Since resolved, thankfully. Again, I don't think it was Coronavirus.

marlakay

(11,468 posts)
32. I was sick really bad for 6 weeks
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 11:08 AM
Mar 2020

That started end of Nov until early Jan. Different from anything I had before started with flu or cold symptoms but I had a fever which I normally don’t get and had a cough and at times hard to breathe.

Very extremely tired I was in bed twice for 5 days during it.

So yes I wonder also. At the time I thought it was a bad cold bordering on bronchitis.

LizBeth

(9,952 posts)
33. I had it too, Jan 6, and hoping I have already had CV, the problem I see though
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 02:28 PM
Mar 2020

is the people were not going to the hospital with the lung issue, being incubated and dying.

 

GeorgiaPeanut

(360 posts)
34. The only way to know
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 02:31 PM
Mar 2020

is to test for antibodies to Covid-19. (Not the Covid diagnostic test which is a RT-PCR but another test)

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