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ProfessorGAC

(65,042 posts)
6. H1N1 Was 0.021%
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 03:57 PM
Mar 2020

Just for contrast when testing and isolation is done expeditiously.
60 million people got it; a bit over 12,000 died. In 9 months, not 3.
I know that H1N1 may have been led pernicious and more readily treatable.
But your number & mine result in, for now,a virus that is 150x more deadly!

Botany

(70,508 posts)
12. My GUESS @ a 3% mortality rate is based on the W.H.O.'s #s and that (I might be wrong) ...
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 04:15 PM
Mar 2020

... but that we see many linked deaths from other illness, accidents, and suicides because
our medical system will be over run with C-19 cases.

We are looking @ deaths in the US @ millions.


ProfessorGAC

(65,042 posts)
14. It's Also...
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 04:29 PM
Mar 2020

...deaths per known cases. With the stupid delay in reacting, we don't really know yet how many people are actually carrying the virus.
Even if it's 2x, rather than more, the mortality rate drops in half.
It's too soon, I suppose, to draw firm conclusions. Unfortunately, people are dying now. The better numbers later don't matter to those folks & their families.

Botany

(70,508 posts)
15. My C-19 math .... I pray to god I am wrong.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 04:37 PM
Mar 2020

330,000,000 (US pop) x .4 (40 to 70% infection rate) x .03 (mortality rate) = 3,960,000 U.S. dead

Florida's dumb fuck Gov. Ron DeSantis, "We have to see how the virus is acting in different communities."



ProfessorGAC

(65,042 posts)
16. Well, It's Right
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 04:50 PM
Mar 2020

It's the 0.03 that's the unknown.
That said Italy is at 105k cases, 27k fully resolved. So 132k. 12,500 deaths. So >9%!

Botany

(70,508 posts)
17. The only fixed figure is the US Population .... the infection rate and mortality rate aren't fixed.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 05:16 PM
Mar 2020

God only knows what the #s will be in places like the Gaza Strip.

gibraltar72

(7,504 posts)
3. Yes and I don't think that's showing on the big sites yet.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 03:53 PM
Mar 2020

Was just told my neighbors daughters boss was diagnosed a well know Christstain camp ground.

uponit7771

(90,339 posts)
4. WTF !?!? No wonder the Kremlin KKKlan is mentioned 100s of thousands dead now. We didn't have
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 03:55 PM
Mar 2020

... to have this, we could be were S Korea is at now.

A HERETIC I AM

(24,368 posts)
7. Just wait till the numbers start coming in from India and the African countries....
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 03:58 PM
Mar 2020

which frankly, we might not hear of for a few years.

There are huge swaths of humanity, literally billions of people, who will never get tested, will get sick and will die from lack of proper medical care, of this I am convinced.

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