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Quixote1818

(28,950 posts)
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 03:21 PM Apr 2020

CDC reviewing 'stunning' universal testing results from Boston homeless shelter

By: Drew Karedes
Updated: April 15, 2020 - 11:06 PM
BOSTON — The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is now “actively looking into” results from universal COVID-19 testing at Pine Street Inn homeless shelter.

The broad-scale testing took place at the shelter in Boston’s South End a week and a half ago because of a small cluster of cases there.

Of the 397 people tested, 146 people tested positive. Not a single one had any symptoms.

Content Continues Below
“It was like a double knockout punch. The number of positives was shocking, but the fact that 100 percent of the positives had no symptoms was equally shocking,” said Dr. Jim O’Connell, president of Boston Health Care for the Homeless Program, which provides medical care at the city’s shelters.

More: https://www.boston25news.com/news/cdc-reviewing-stunning-universal-testing-results-boston-homeless-shelter/Z253TFBO6RG4HCUAARBO4YWO64/?fbclid=IwAR0un4_iCzb64QqBI_Ld2W97aNL7i4xxutCi6dzbdzII5vCwe0R8nLrW5S0

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CDC reviewing 'stunning' universal testing results from Boston homeless shelter (Original Post) Quixote1818 Apr 2020 OP
And you would think a lot of these people were not the healthiest Bayard Apr 2020 #1
Hmm. Has to be more to this story stopdiggin Apr 2020 #2
this validates that other study suggesting virus has to be activated by credit cards and cell phones certainot Apr 2020 #22
WTF?? nt intrepidity Apr 2020 #34
Joke. I think. Sure. It must be a joke. Yep. RussellCattle Apr 2020 #40
yep. can't believe i have to thank you certainot Apr 2020 #50
You're welcome. This stuff is hardest on those who have a sense of humor..... RussellCattle Apr 2020 #59
When S. Korea tested the cohort suspected of possibly being infected Igel Apr 2020 #31
While that's a lot of folks who could spread infection, it's also good news that so many lacked Hoyt Apr 2020 #3
Or that they were pre-symptomatic SoonerPride Apr 2020 #4
Could be, but you'd think if the tests were given a 1.5 weeks ago, someone would have noticed Hoyt Apr 2020 #7
No symptons and shedding the virus all over the place. And just in that small sampling. The... brush Apr 2020 #5
Where in that article do they mention viral shedding? Pobeka Apr 2020 #9
Huh? Are you thinking if you test positive you aren't shedding? Why do you thinking quarantining... brush Apr 2020 #13
So you don't specifically know anything about the amount of viral shedding from these folks? Pobeka Apr 2020 #14
There is a reason quarantining is recommended. But you do what you feel is right for you. brush Apr 2020 #15
Pobeka's right. Igel Apr 2020 #33
Best to assume is right. Keep your distance, wear a mask and ask questions like Pobeka's later. brush Apr 2020 #44
Here's one you can read: intrepidity Apr 2020 #37
Don't forget DENVERPOPS Apr 2020 #20
Thats a lots of typhoid Mary's running around... Historic NY Apr 2020 #6
Yes it is. A 14 day latency/incubation is this virus's incredible transmission factor. Evolve Dammit Apr 2020 #8
Maybe their antibody test is fucked up. njhoneybadger Apr 2020 #10
I think that the article referred to a CV-19 test, not an antibody test. Eyeball_Kid Apr 2020 #43
This is the canary in the mine. n/t Raven Apr 2020 #11
It's kind of a reverse canary. When the Canary died you had time to get out grantcart Apr 2020 #19
Correct. sheshe2 Apr 2020 #49
Well! This is worrisome! What next? Karadeniz Apr 2020 #12
I'm out on whether it's worrisome. Igel Apr 2020 #35
Holy fuck, tell that to the health care workers that get infected intrepidity Apr 2020 #38
This is just a dumb comment. spudspud Apr 2020 #48
One out of every 1,000 New Yorkers have died Politicub Apr 2020 #57
With the morgues beyond capacity treestar Apr 2020 #58
Yeah, put me down as being suspicious of their anti body test too. Ligyron Apr 2020 #16
Something similar happened in a San Francisco homeless shelter DSandra Apr 2020 #17
They shed viruses for days before symptoms set in, some won't have any, most will have yaesu Apr 2020 #18
Not clear what this means TheRickles Apr 2020 #21
The Stanford antibody study tells us the same. Ace Rothstein Apr 2020 #47
You're right. If universal testing (including non-symptomatic subjects) HeartachesNhangovers Apr 2020 #56
My Guess. Homeless people, street people have to have a powerful immune system just to survive the LiberalArkie Apr 2020 #23
Interesting theory. Might be some tie in to young people not getting very sick. captain queeg Apr 2020 #32
But the GOP thinks the homeless deserve their fate. TNNurse Apr 2020 #24
This would be a troublesome mutation if it is true. cayugafalls Apr 2020 #25
Then there's this study from Stanford University..... KY_EnviroGuy Apr 2020 #26
Good news/bad news Warpy Apr 2020 #27
With you. I worked at Boston City Hospital in the 80's bottomofthehill Apr 2020 #42
It makes me wonder if one would find the same in a random group of individuals Thekaspervote Apr 2020 #28
There's only one way to find out, MineralMan Apr 2020 #53
There were studies conducted in Britain in the late 1900s (IIRC) Texin Apr 2020 #29
This is something that has bothered me. old guy Apr 2020 #30
It's a fair bet that we know a little pebble of what is a mountain of information. uriel1972 Apr 2020 #36
Not much different from tests on a group of women giving birth, in Brooklyn muriel_volestrangler Apr 2020 #39
I guess that in a way you could call this good news. At least none of them are showing totodeinhere Apr 2020 #41
Just focusing on the 146 positives, Eyeball_Kid Apr 2020 #45
I'm ready to say that there are bad tests James48 Apr 2020 #46
I tested two asymptomatic patients on Friday who reported exposure to COVID-19. Aristus Apr 2020 #51
??? hay rick Apr 2020 #52
Sounds like we have a nation of Typhoid Marys pandr32 Apr 2020 #54
Just supports my suspicion that I had this virus in early January. roamer65 Apr 2020 #55

Bayard

(22,110 posts)
1. And you would think a lot of these people were not the healthiest
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 03:27 PM
Apr 2020

I guess this means taking your temperature doesn't mean much?

stopdiggin

(11,320 posts)
2. Hmm. Has to be more to this story
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 03:32 PM
Apr 2020

Those kind of numbers just seem really suspicious. I'd be looking at the tests (or procedure?).

 

certainot

(9,090 posts)
22. this validates that other study suggesting virus has to be activated by credit cards and cell phones
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 04:22 PM
Apr 2020

RussellCattle

(1,535 posts)
59. You're welcome. This stuff is hardest on those who have a sense of humor.....
Tue Apr 21, 2020, 03:56 PM
Apr 2020

....and try to maintain it.

Igel

(35,323 posts)
31. When S. Korea tested the cohort suspected of possibly being infected
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 05:05 PM
Apr 2020

they found about the same percentage of positive but asymptomatic.

Keep in mind the false negative rate, as well.

Look at the tests. The low-ball number I've seen for the percentage of asymptomatic carriers is 10-12%, peer reviewed. Others have come in a bunch higher.

A lot of people really want this number to be as close to zero as possible, and multiply repeated results. Because if it's true, a lot of claims fall flat and a lot of proposals for moving forward need to be seriously rethunk.

 

Hoyt

(54,770 posts)
3. While that's a lot of folks who could spread infection, it's also good news that so many lacked
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 03:33 PM
Apr 2020

symptoms -- ie, infection wasn't devastating to their health.

 

Hoyt

(54,770 posts)
7. Could be, but you'd think if the tests were given a 1.5 weeks ago, someone would have noticed
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 03:42 PM
Apr 2020

that. But who knows, everyone seems to be stumbling through this.

brush

(53,794 posts)
5. No symptons and shedding the virus all over the place. And just in that small sampling. The...
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 03:36 PM
Apr 2020

same thing is happening all over the country because trump has yet, and it's now April, the fourth month we've known about this most contagious virus, he has yet to establish a federal testing and contact tracing program but he wants to open up the country.

We are being led to our doom by this repug idiot who just wants to get re-elected and escape jail. If sheltering in place stops the non-symptomatic people will be out among us and many won't be wearing masks.

brush

(53,794 posts)
13. Huh? Are you thinking if you test positive you aren't shedding? Why do you thinking quarantining...
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 03:51 PM
Apr 2020

is what's done to people who test positive?

Igel

(35,323 posts)
33. Pobeka's right.
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 05:07 PM
Apr 2020

And if you read what the virologists say about asymptomatic folk, you'll find that they have a lot of doubt as to how infectious they actually are.

There are a lot of things that haven't been checked out, at least not enough to be publishable.

It's best to assume that they *are* infectious, but not forget that's an assumption.

brush

(53,794 posts)
44. Best to assume is right. Keep your distance, wear a mask and ask questions like Pobeka's later.
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 05:37 PM
Apr 2020

Too dangerous to take chances.

Eyeball_Kid

(7,432 posts)
43. I think that the article referred to a CV-19 test, not an antibody test.
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 05:35 PM
Apr 2020

Nonetheless, the validity of the results should be questioned. The statistical probability that so many do not show symptoms is not really fathomable.

grantcart

(53,061 posts)
19. It's kind of a reverse canary. When the Canary died you had time to get out
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 04:12 PM
Apr 2020

These asymptomatic folks give no warnings.

By the time the virus spreads and kills its too late to get out of the mine.

Igel

(35,323 posts)
35. I'm out on whether it's worrisome.
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 05:11 PM
Apr 2020

It's worrisome if COVID is as dangerous as billed.

But if 1/3 of people show no symptoms and most show slight symptoms, then the death rate's way, way down. It means most of the people who've suffered have never been tested. And it's not as dangerous as billed.



spudspud

(511 posts)
48. This is just a dumb comment.
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 06:13 PM
Apr 2020

Not sure if it's "as dangerous as billed"?? 735k KNOWN infected, nearly 40k DEAD Americans so far. And that's only from what LITTLE testing has been done. The actual numbers are likely much, much higher.

Politicub

(12,165 posts)
57. One out of every 1,000 New Yorkers have died
Sun Apr 19, 2020, 02:02 PM
Apr 2020

And you’re questioning the dangerousness of the virus?

Ligyron

(7,636 posts)
16. Yeah, put me down as being suspicious of their anti body test too.
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 04:04 PM
Apr 2020

CDC definitely needs to be "actively looking into" those universal testing results alright.

If accurate, that's more than a little disconcerting.

DSandra

(999 posts)
17. Something similar happened in a San Francisco homeless shelter
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 04:06 PM
Apr 2020

"None of the 93 homeless people who tested positive for the coronavirus in San Francisco’s largest shelter showed serious symptoms of the disease, lending urgency to the need for widespread public testing and emphasizing the importance of “contact investigations” the city is now ramping up."


https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/None-of-homeless-who-tested-positive-at-big-SF-15206152.php

yaesu

(8,020 posts)
18. They shed viruses for days before symptoms set in, some won't have any, most will have
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 04:07 PM
Apr 2020

symptoms show up eventually.

TheRickles

(2,068 posts)
21. Not clear what this means
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 04:15 PM
Apr 2020

It's not clear which test was used (antibody or RNA), but either way, those 146 folks most likely didn't all get exposed on the same day and so would be at different stages of their disease progression. In other words, many are likely to have already come out the other end of the 14-day post-exposure period unaffected. And given that these folks are not likely to have the strongest immune systems around, these results suggest that this virus, while very contagious, may not be as lethal as originally feared.

Ace Rothstein

(3,165 posts)
47. The Stanford antibody study tells us the same.
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 06:05 PM
Apr 2020

It won't be popular around here though because this place is all fear-mongering all the time.

56. You're right. If universal testing (including non-symptomatic subjects)
Sun Apr 19, 2020, 01:56 PM
Apr 2020

shows widespread infection rates with low levels of serious symptoms - that's a good thing.

LiberalArkie

(15,720 posts)
23. My Guess. Homeless people, street people have to have a powerful immune system just to survive the
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 04:23 PM
Apr 2020

streets.

captain queeg

(10,214 posts)
32. Interesting theory. Might be some tie in to young people not getting very sick.
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 05:05 PM
Apr 2020

Who knows at this point, and until we get wide spread testing and honest data compiling we are really not sure about much.

cayugafalls

(5,641 posts)
25. This would be a troublesome mutation if it is true.
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 04:40 PM
Apr 2020

It could be faulty tests, but that is not likely since not all people tested positive. You would think if the batch of tests were bad they would all test positive.

What does this say about the rest of the population? How many asymptomatic people are walking around?

Makes you wonder.

KY_EnviroGuy

(14,492 posts)
26. Then there's this study from Stanford University.....
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 04:40 PM
Apr 2020
Antibody study suggests coronavirus is far more widespread than previously thought

Non-peer reviewed study from Stanford found rate of virus may be 50 to 85 times higher than official figures

Read here: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/17/antibody-study-suggests-coronavirus-is-far-more-widespread-than-previously-thought

(snips)
A new study in California has found the number of people infected with coronavirus may be tens of times higher than previously thought. The study from Stanford University, which was released Friday and has yet to be peer reviewed, tested samples from 3,330 people in Santa Clara county and found the virus was 50 to 85 times more common than official figures indicated.

To ease the sprawling lockdowns currently in place to stop the spread of Covid-19, health officials must first determine how many people have been infected. Large studies of the prevalence of the virus within a region could play a key role, researchers say.
+++
The study marks the first large-scale study of its kind in the US, researchers said. The study was conducted by identifying antibodies in healthy individuals through a finger prick test, which indicated whether they had already contracted and recovered from the virus. Volunteers for the study were recruited through Facebook ads, which researchers say were targeted to capture a representative sample of the county’s demographics and geography.
+++
Even with the adjusted rate of infection as found by the study, only 3% of the population has coronavirus – that means 97% does not. To reach herd immunity a significant portion of the population would have to be infected and recovered from coronavirus. It is also unclear if the study, conducted exclusively on residents of Santa Clara county, is representative of the rest of the United States, researchers said.

I believe the Boston test was an active infection test whereas Stanford was looking only for antibodies.


KY.............

Warpy

(111,292 posts)
27. Good news/bad news
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 04:42 PM
Apr 2020

I know Pine Street Inn very well, people I'd known for years lived there, took care of their residents in the hospital, used to call them when I needed a couple of bodies for heavy lifting. The population tends to be older, high substance abuse rates, many with heart disease and/or COPD, and all male. It's just the kind of place you'd expect to be decimated by this bug.

Good news: they're going to have to revise mortality stats down, especially among at risk populations. I have to wonder if prior exposure to coronavirus that causes colds might have a protective effect, conferring at least partial immunity.

Bad news: this thing is spreading faster than anticipated, with a larger population of asymptomatic people shedding virus and passing it on.

In any case, a lot of rethinking needs to be done.

bottomofthehill

(8,336 posts)
42. With you. I worked at Boston City Hospital in the 80's
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 05:32 PM
Apr 2020

There were some characters at the Pine Street Inn. There were amazing stories from the staff and residents. There were also a lot of sad and tragic stories too.

Texin

(2,596 posts)
29. There were studies conducted in Britain in the late 1900s (IIRC)
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 04:55 PM
Apr 2020

of viral and bacterial infections among children from very different socio-economic backgrounds. They found that while there were about as many overall infected children, those of them among the very poor living in sometimes squalid conditions actually fared the contagions far better than their more affluent children living in more sanitary conditions. The more affluent actually had an overall higher degree of severe infections and resulting morbidity outcomes. I can't recall off the top of my head which type of infections they were compiling the information on (and there was little sophisticated information about infectious diseases at that time overall), but I think the infection was measles or smallpox. So, it's interesting that the Boston study seems to point in a similar direction to those very early studies, in which those living in the meanest conditions, i.e. on the street with with dodgy opportunities to practice good or regular hygienic routines. Maybe as a species we've all gotten too clean (or at least most of us living in the most developed societies).

muriel_volestrangler

(101,322 posts)
39. Not much different from tests on a group of women giving birth, in Brooklyn
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 05:23 PM
Apr 2020
A new study showed that some women who delivered babies in the city in recent weeks had been inflicted with the coronavirus without displaying symptoms.

NewYork-Presbyterian and Columbia University Medical Center screened more than 200 women for the illness upon admission between March 22 and April 4, according to the study.

Among the 33 patients who tested positive, 29 of them had no symptoms.

https://nypost.com/2020/04/14/pregnant-women-without-symptoms-are-getting-coronavirus-study/

totodeinhere

(13,058 posts)
41. I guess that in a way you could call this good news. At least none of them are showing
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 05:27 PM
Apr 2020

symptoms and that is what we want. We want them all to get well. But now we need to help them find living accommodations so they won't be homeless anymore. They may recover from the virus but they also need to recover from homelessness.

Eyeball_Kid

(7,432 posts)
45. Just focusing on the 146 positives,
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 05:38 PM
Apr 2020

It's virtually impossible for all of them to not show symptoms. Unless the reality of the virus' characteristics are very different than the behavior of most other coronaviruses, we should doubt the validity of the COVID test itself.

James48

(4,437 posts)
46. I'm ready to say that there are bad tests
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 05:55 PM
Apr 2020

Floating around out there giving false positives.

There are several cases where I have read of significant numbers of positives, yet no symptoms at all. Enough cases to ask the question- are the tests actually valid? Are we seeing false positive, and/or false negatives in any of these test, and are the initial positives all followed up on two weeks later with additional testing, and/or confirmation of antibodies?

Aristus

(66,409 posts)
51. I tested two asymptomatic patients on Friday who reported exposure to COVID-19.
Sun Apr 19, 2020, 01:08 AM
Apr 2020

Now we wait for the results...

hay rick

(7,626 posts)
52. ???
Sun Apr 19, 2020, 12:26 PM
Apr 2020

This story does not fit with anything else I have read. Maybe the tests were defective, maybe the entire symptomatic population had already been tested and removed...or maybe we really don't know what is going on.

roamer65

(36,745 posts)
55. Just supports my suspicion that I had this virus in early January.
Sun Apr 19, 2020, 12:48 PM
Apr 2020

I think it’s been here since early December.

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