winning without Arizona. I mean, he almost certainly can't win without Texas and/or Florida, but those seem less likely to turn blue this election cycle.

After I read that, I donated to the Arizona DNC.

McSally is losing to Mark Kelly in recent polling and fundraising. I'm not even sure McSally is campaigning. She ran one desperate ad calling Mark Kelly a "Bernie Bro" in early March and seemed to drop off the map after that.

Yesterday, Governor Ducey took what I interpret as actions to distance himself from Trump by extending our lockdown hours after Trump announced a visit here. He said our state isn't ready to reopen.

... er, state... and knows that the reign of the #OrangeAnus has not been good for Rethuglicans* in Arizona. We have had enough.

Folks will have multiple reasons to turn out in November.

that's a slam dunk if Biden takes Texas. Its one of the biggest EV states for the GOP. Without it , they can't make it work.

The most electoral votes, and the only Red State (I think) that pays out more in taxes than it takes in in Federal benefits.

If the repukes lose Texas, they may as well fold the Party's tents...

The shear number of deaths do to his Vengeance will be proportional to the number of States he loses.

Small Town America will or is having issues with the reality of how do we fix our image after all the death we have just witnessed. They know it is going to hit them where they never expected,in the pocket book. Not in my back yard has come home to roost.

so Pittsburgh and other rust belt cities must be doing fine.

It has developed a newer ideal toward tech. And doing well with it.

And if by opening steel mills, trump never said they'd be making steel, just opening...many are just the backdrops for movies and tv shows.

The Political Problem with Pennsylvania isn't Pittsburgh or Philly, it's the uneducated, brain-washed, genetic descendant rednecks from the center and northern parts of the state. But that is changing somewhat.

They don't want us to have mail in ballots so we can all weigh the dilemma of risk death to stand in long lines on election day or stay home.

This year I think I will get an absentee ballot. If for any reason I can't, I will be standing in line to vote him out, regardless of any risks.

but would prefer if we could all vote by mail like some sensible states have already shown is quite possible.

... that didn’t vote in 2016.

They seemed motivated to get him out this time.

Hard to believe the election will be decided on only 6-7 states. AZ FL OH PA WI NC maybe ME. And of those 7, I'd only count PA and WI likely Democratic. I'll believe AZ NC OH when I see it, and FL? Do they count, barter, trade, or some combination?

Why are we so polarized? Where did reason and logic go?

will appear and take our side. I think Trump will lose by a HUGE MARGIN!!!!!!

He will try to shame the public into voting for him. At every turn he pivots and surprises, he is a greasy fat Slick Trumpie!

I mean, we'd all have to wear iron horseshoes for that to happen

The methodology they use is right on the site. They do no interpretation of the data, just render it from the polling data they use. The numbers are completely separate from any commentary they also publish.

But let's not forget that Hillary was supposed to blow him out of the water. It's been attributed to a number of different people a number of different ways, but it's true regardless...it doesn't matter who votes, what matters is who counts the votes.

I was so disappointed in Ohio polling for too many months, there’s no way that the polls were optimistic about her chances here.

Of course, I said that last time too.

The putrid narcissist wants something, anything to get people to love him. It’s his primary driver. By punishing immigrants, “China,” women and blue states, he believes he can draw people to him.

The tone-deaf and callous handling of the pandemic is the linchpin to his unraveling.

Texas has been polling in the margin of error, and the latest poll has Biden ahead, so he's going to have to invest in Texas as well.

Of course, forcing the meat plants to stay open means likely spreading the disease among immigrant, minority, and likely democratic-leaning communities. Which might actually make a difference in a state like that.

A lot can happen in the next 6 months, but it's good to have some optimism to help us all fight on!

with no intention of following any of them really concerned about the pre-game score prediction?

I don't think Trump will lose Ohio (it will be close) but if he does, it's over. I think Biden probably wins Arizona though.

It's good that we're making the GOP have to keep Arizona and Ohio. Trump can't win without them!

"By 1945 he [Hitler] reached the conclusion that the entire German people had proved unworthy of him; they too should perish.' (R. G. L. Waite. "Adolf Hitler's Guilt Feelings: A Problem in History and Psychology." The Journal of Interdisciplinary History. Vol. 1, No. 2 (Winter, 1971), pp. 229-249)

When Trump realizes that he will lose the election, he will hold the Republican Party guilty of not making the persuasive case for his election and the general public guilty for not voting for him. He will examine the paths to punish all of the guilty.

That is the reason that I think he will resign in mid-October. It will screw the GOP donors and leadership, all GOP candidates, and his base. In his mind, he will also think it screws America.

In a historic landslide. And I think your comparison with Hitler and him deciding the country is unworthy is a apt comparison. Just need Donny to step up use of whatever drugs he’s been snorting and go way off the deep end.

May it increase.