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Celerity

(43,416 posts) Sat May 2, 2020, 05:48 AM May 2020

File under WTF's wrong with people: Trump hits 49 percent approval rating in Gallup poll (ties high)

President Trump’s job approval soared to 49 percent in a new Gallup poll released Thursday, making up a 6-point loss from a similar survey released just two weeks ago.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/495695-trump-hits-49-percent-approval-rate-in-gallup-poll

The new approval number is tied for Trump’s personal best in Gallup’s polling data. A survey conducted by Gallup in mid-March similarly found his approval ticking up to 49 percent before it took a 6-point dive in the first half of April.

The poll released on Thursday marked a rare instance in Gallup’s polling history in which Trump’s overall approval is above water. Only 47 percent of respondents said they disapprove of the job he’s doing in the White House.

The rise in approval comes as Americans remain divided on the president’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic. Fifty percent said they approve of his handling of the crisis, while nearly as many — 48 percent — disapprove, according to Gallup.

The 6-point jump in Trump’s overall approval rating owes primarily to a bump in support among independents, according to Gallup. Forty-seven percent of independents said they approve of the president’s handling of his job compared to only 39 percent in the previous April survey.

snip

https://news.gallup.com/interactives/185273/presidential-job-approval-center.aspx

11 replies

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File under WTF's wrong with people: Trump hits 49 percent approval rating in Gallup poll (ties high) (Original Post) Celerity May 2020 OP

Quite a few of Gallup's polls have been outliers this year. octoberlib May 2020 #1

I certainly hope this is the case! Celerity May 2020 #2

me , too! It's incomprehensible, otherwise octoberlib May 2020 #3

1) Outlier 2) He's losing to Biden in swing States Chobalto May 2020 #4

There is a lot of cash flowing to people and small businesses DonaldsRump May 2020 #5

He's Underwater On Rasmussen ProfessorGAC May 2020 #6

538 Rates Gallup a B, and does include Gallup in their dataset (not sure if it is in the rolling Celerity May 2020 #7

Thanks ProfessorGAC May 2020 #8

No problem whatsoever, and that Gallup poll may not be in that updated rolling average, again due to Celerity May 2020 #9

Maybe people forgot about his Clorox statement? n/t Victor_c3 May 2020 #10

Some of the poll was before it, so that explains a lot I think Celerity May 2020 #11

octoberlib

(14,971 posts)

1. Quite a few of Gallup's polls have been outliers this year.

Reply to Celerity (Original post)

Sat May 2, 2020, 05:56 AM

May 2020

Never go off of one poll. Check the aggregate.

Celerity

(43,416 posts)

2. I certainly hope this is the case!

Reply to octoberlib (Reply #1)

Sat May 2, 2020, 06:04 AM

May 2020

octoberlib

(14,971 posts)

3. me , too! It's incomprehensible, otherwise

Reply to Celerity (Reply #2)

Sat May 2, 2020, 06:12 AM

May 2020

Chobalto

(19 posts)

4. 1) Outlier 2) He's losing to Biden in swing States

Reply to Celerity (Original post)

Sat May 2, 2020, 06:23 AM

May 2020

There.

DonaldsRump

(7,715 posts)

5. There is a lot of cash flowing to people and small businesses

Reply to Celerity (Original post)

Sat May 2, 2020, 06:27 AM

May 2020

(and big businesses!). Trump has made sure to tie his name to all of this. Do not lose sight of what stuff like this means to people.

I know of many reasonable people who were delighted for about a year in 2018 with the Trump "tax cut". At least their takehome pay increased. Many people lost sight that this was, in many instances, a sleight of hand, with the taxes higher or refunds lower on April 15.

I'm 100% sure that is a key strategy for his "re"-election. We need to remind everyone that, had he not bungled things so badly, (a) this money would NOT have been necessary; (b) the debt to this country is ASTRONOMICAL; and (c) how many people died for his incompetence.

That has to be our/the Ds mantra going forward. Otherwise, he'll pull another fast one.

ProfessorGAC

(65,076 posts)

6. He's Underwater On Rasmussen

Reply to Celerity (Original post)

Sat May 2, 2020, 06:30 AM

May 2020

Per 538, the aggregated numbers show 43.3% A vs. 50.7% D. 7.4% underwater.
This Gallup poll is NOT in their dataset, but they underweight Gallup as "C" pollster.
Even Rasmussen has a negative 8.
I am dubious as to what Gallup's questions were, & how they were asked.

Celerity

(43,416 posts)

7. 538 Rates Gallup a B, and does include Gallup in their dataset (not sure if it is in the rolling

Reply to ProfessorGAC (Reply #6)

Sat May 2, 2020, 06:49 AM

May 2020

average though, as it may have fallen off due to its dates, but when its dates are germane, 538 deffo includes it)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

It does have a mean-reverted bia of R +0.8 and Rasmussen is almost double that

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/

ProfessorGAC

(65,076 posts)

8. Thanks

Reply to Celerity (Reply #7)

Sat May 2, 2020, 07:03 AM

May 2020

I misread the date on the Gallup poll. I thought that said April 20, not 28.
So I thought the most recent poll wasn't included.
My fault. I should have taken off my glasses to read that.

Celerity

(43,416 posts)

9. No problem whatsoever, and that Gallup poll may not be in that updated rolling average, again due to

Reply to ProfessorGAC (Reply #8)

Sat May 2, 2020, 07:10 AM

May 2020

its earlier start date. They only poll once a month (for POTUS approval rating) atm, so we will have to wait another 4 weeks or so to see the next one from them.

cheers

Victor_c3

(3,557 posts)

10. Maybe people forgot about his Clorox statement? n/t

Reply to Celerity (Original post)

Sat May 2, 2020, 07:46 AM

May 2020

Celerity

(43,416 posts)

11. Some of the poll was before it, so that explains a lot I think

Reply to Victor_c3 (Reply #10)

Sat May 2, 2020, 09:12 AM

May 2020

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