General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThe Trump administration projects about 3,000 daily deaths by early June.
As President Trump presses for states to reopen their economies, his administration is privately projecting a steady rise in the number of cases and deaths from coronavirus over the next several weeks, reaching about 3,000 daily deaths on June 1, according to an internal document obtained by The New York Times, nearly double from the current level of about 1,750.
The projections, based on modeling by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and pulled together in chart form by the Federal Emergency Management Agency, forecast about 200,000 new cases each day by the end of the month, up from about 25,000 cases now.
The numbers underscore a sobering reality: While the United States has been hunkered down for the past seven weeks, not much has changed. And the reopening to the economy will make matters worse.
There remains a large number of counties whose burden continues to grow, the C.D.C. warned.
The projections confirm the primary fear of public health experts: that a reopening of the economy will put the nation right back where it was in mid-March, when cases were rising so rapidly in some parts of the country that patients were dying on gurneys in hospital hallways with cases rising so rapidly that the health care system is overloaded.
While mitigation didnt fail, I think its fair to say that it didnt work as well as we expected Scott Gottlieb, Mr. Trumps former commissioner of food and drugs, said Sunday on the CBS program Face the Nation. We expected that we would start seeing more significant declines in new cases and deaths around the nation at this point. And were just not seeing that.
</snip>
dewsgirl
(14,961 posts)onecaliberal
(32,861 posts)Hav
(5,969 posts)but just for the sake of it, that's 90000 per month.
200000 new cases each day...these are now expected losses. This is what they meant when they said the cure cannot be worse than the disease.
They just want to get through with it because the attempts so far to contain it weren't succesful enough. Incredible logic. I wonder how this won't overwhelm the healthcare system.
soryang
(3,299 posts)there is a certain point where the gross negligence theory no longer applies and one must suspect that this is intentional. At a minimum it reflects a willful and wanton disregard for human life.
LisaL
(44,973 posts)Very strong death numbers there.
Chainfire
(17,538 posts)What in the world are the hospitals going to do? How long can medical professionals work around the clock without breaking down? Perhaps the The Trump government will expect us to just stay at home and recover or quietly die. It will be considered the patriotic thing to do.
You can bet that whatever numbers the government is giving us is going to be low-balling. It is probably just a matter of time before they start classifying the numbers. That is what totalitarian governments do.
I think that we all know, that regardless of how bad the toll gets, they will not shut down businesses again, they will not return to a system that was, at least partially working, so we are screwed, blued and tattooed.
Make America Great Again, indeed.
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)SoonerPride
(12,286 posts)Because really, who cares about all those dead people? Right?
Not trump.
Not republicans.
Clearly?
Johnny2X2X
(19,066 posts)They don't care that he said we were "trending to zero." They don'y care that he said it's like the flu. They don't care that he eventually settled on 60,000 deaths as the mark for tremendous success. And now they won't care when we blow through 100K which is his most recent bar.
He's gotten 40% of Americans to accept that thousands of Americans will die daily for his mistakes.
gristy
(10,667 posts)Our "leadership" certainly knows this too, and yet they are "opening up" the economy. Sweden, here we come...
https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20200501/sweden-sticks-with-controversial-covid19-approach
Roland99
(53,342 posts)Mike 03
(16,616 posts)We've moved from "inactivity and poor judgment on the part of the Trump administration" to negligent and reckless mass homicide, or maybe worse: premeditated mass murder.