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Bucky

(54,013 posts)
Sun May 24, 2020, 09:23 PM May 2020

Another week of slow improvement in numbers

Despite a slow increase in rates of testing, the number of new coronavirus confirmed cases dropped for the fourth week in a row, if you count deaths and new confirmed cases by the week.

Week of April 26th - 8% drop
Week of May 3rd - 7% drop
Week of May 10th - 14% drop
Week of May 17th - 1% drop

This might be a temporary lull. But fortunately the expected surge as the pandemic shifts to smaller states where hygiene protocols are not being followed as rigorously, has not yet occurred.

Death rates from the coronavirus are also dropping off.

Week of April 26th - 12% drop
Week of May 3rd --- 5% drop
Week of May 10th - 20% drop
Week of May 17th - 15% drop

Since the beginning of April, every week has seen at least 10,000 people died in the United States from the Coronavirus. The week of May 17th what's the first time that number fell below 10,000--down to 8570. That's too many, and we will certainly go over the 100,000 mark this coming week, probably on Monday. But going by the Numbers, this wave of the virus seems to be running out of steam... slowly.

Some places, like here in Texas, we're expected to see continued rise in infections and losses. We have a big problem with "summer soldiers" literally taking the summer off from quarantine and safety precautions. So everyone still needs to be diligent and disciplined.

And don't forget to remind your family that it's very likely to get bad again starting in September or October.

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Another week of slow improvement in numbers (Original Post) Bucky May 2020 OP
"Diligent and disciplined" does not describe most Americans CanonRay May 2020 #1
Haha... possibly Bucky May 2020 #2
I think everything is time delayed CanonRay May 2020 #3
Yes, everything's time delayed. Igel May 2020 #18
My guess is the drop is driven by big blue cities getting a better handle on SAR-COV-2 Blue_true May 2020 #4
The drop in blue cities is the majority are wearing masks. roamer65 May 2020 #6
That sounds really good. Hopefully the remaining 10-20% pull their heads out of their butts. nt Blue_true May 2020 #8
People stare at them like I do. roamer65 May 2020 #12
Even smarter is the cashiers are wearing gloves. roamer65 May 2020 #13
It helps that even though your governor is a republican, he is setting a sane tone. Blue_true May 2020 #14
I'm from Michigan. roamer65 May 2020 #15
Sorry. I am getting more things mixed up lately, I am also drinking more wine lately. nt Blue_true May 2020 #16
You should share...lol...jk. roamer65 May 2020 #17
If the numbers are going down due to under-reporting Sogo May 2020 #5
+ struggle4progress May 2020 #7
My understanding is that more testing is happening, even if the expansion rate is too slow Bucky May 2020 #20
I don't know if you got your numbers from worldometers, but anyway progree May 2020 #9
Here's hoping it continues, even if just a slight moderation. Still skeptical Hoyt May 2020 #10
Ya, wish my dad had held out a couple more weeks. Never Laura PourMeADrink May 2020 #11
***WARNING*** This is not sans NY metro. Please always remove NY metro from national CV19 numbers uponit7771 May 2020 #19
Help me understand that Bucky May 2020 #21
Maddow and Quomo covered this a couple of times. Tri State area is 50% of cases so if they go down uponit7771 May 2020 #22

Bucky

(54,013 posts)
2. Haha... possibly
Sun May 24, 2020, 09:43 PM
May 2020

I don't think these numbers will be slowly dropping if nobody was doing something right.

I tend to be literal-minded, so when someone says "most Americans don't do" something, my first thought is does it really not reach 50%

I know from personal experience of people who are grousing and kvetching about being locked up and wanting to go out, but then personally choose to stick at home.

Like, here in Houston the mayor has said reopen restaurants need to stay at 25% capacity. But the two times I've actually gone out, we were below 10% capacity.
The Houston bar scene is mostly dead. I have four different friends who owned bars and all of them are staying shut. People are going to safer places like the beach or parks where you can space out from others.

There's a couple of wig out cases who are waving their stupid little signs and talking about their freedom and whatnot, but by and large I think the majority of us are hunkering down still.

Igel

(35,317 posts)
18. Yes, everything's time delayed.
Mon May 25, 2020, 12:36 AM
May 2020

But given that some places started to open around 5/1, death's should be on the increase now and hospitalizations last week.

It's not *that* delayed.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
4. My guess is the drop is driven by big blue cities getting a better handle on SAR-COV-2
Sun May 24, 2020, 10:19 PM
May 2020

infection prevention. The virus appears to be spreading significantly in smaller towns that have tone deaf politicians. Improvement in big cities will continue to cause the numbers to drop for a little bit more, until re-opening causes them to start going back up.

roamer65

(36,745 posts)
6. The drop in blue cities is the majority are wearing masks.
Sun May 24, 2020, 10:26 PM
May 2020

Last trip to Kroger I would say it was 80-90 pct mask compliance. I live in a 70 pct Democratic area of MI.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
14. It helps that even though your governor is a republican, he is setting a sane tone.
Sun May 24, 2020, 10:55 PM
May 2020

Interestingly, it really wasn't very far back when Maryland was a very republican state. A recent setback with a repugh Gov, but hopefully Dems recover from that.

roamer65

(36,745 posts)
15. I'm from Michigan.
Sun May 24, 2020, 10:57 PM
May 2020

My guv is Gretchen Whitmer.

“That woman from Michigan”.

I am so proud of her. Also my AG and SoS as well.

roamer65

(36,745 posts)
17. You should share...lol...jk.
Sun May 24, 2020, 11:07 PM
May 2020

Wish I could drink more, but my A1C doesn’t like it.

Pre-diabetes sucks.

A beer is now a rare treat for me.

Bucky

(54,013 posts)
20. My understanding is that more testing is happening, even if the expansion rate is too slow
Tue May 26, 2020, 11:45 AM
May 2020

Because reporting is being done by medical professionals, I think it's safe to say we're getting an accurate description of the data gathered.

There are certainly issues with not gathering enough data. That is, in part, why a disease that kills 1% of its victims has killed almost 6% of Americans who are reported to have been infected. There is a huge undercount of infections, but deaths are a lot harder to miss.

progree

(10,908 posts)
9. I don't know if you got your numbers from worldometers, but anyway
Sun May 24, 2020, 10:38 PM
May 2020

one can go to https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ and scroll down past the big table to the daily new cases graph and the daily new deaths graph and see the declining trend from late April peaks.

 

Hoyt

(54,770 posts)
10. Here's hoping it continues, even if just a slight moderation. Still skeptical
Sun May 24, 2020, 10:41 PM
May 2020

that all the unmasked beach gatherings, park visits, BBQs, etc., will allow the trend to drop significantly.

 

Laura PourMeADrink

(42,770 posts)
11. Ya, wish my dad had held out a couple more weeks. Never
Sun May 24, 2020, 10:43 PM
May 2020

thought my hatred of trump could be outweighed. But it is now. I don't want a single solitary person to die from this horror.

Bucky

(54,013 posts)
21. Help me understand that
Tue May 26, 2020, 11:46 AM
May 2020

Why should New York metro covid-19 numbers be removed from National statistics?

uponit7771

(90,346 posts)
22. Maddow and Quomo covered this a couple of times. Tri State area is 50% of cases so if they go down
Tue May 26, 2020, 12:00 PM
May 2020

... it drags the rest of the nation with it in cases.

Here's the link I wrote on it

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100213482577

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