General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsVery interesting Worldometer special page on actual COVID-19 fatality rate...
They have estimated actual number of cases in New York City: 1.7 million (10 times the reported confirmed case number)
And the actual number of deaths in New York City: 23,000 (twice the official reported number).
Infection fatality rate: 1.4%
Crude mortality rate (percentage of all New York City residents who have died from COVID-19): 0.28% to date
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-rate/
PoindexterOglethorpe
(25,873 posts)The mortality rate is really quite low. Even the infection fatality rate is very low.
And being over 65 is the single biggest risk factor, and almost everyone under that age who died had some underlying co-morbidity. Plus, sadly, a lot of older people have various medical conditions which puts them at risk.
Perhaps that sounds calloused, but I'm simply restating the obvious.
NickB79
(19,257 posts)The vast majority of communicable diseases we face are an order of magnitude or more below that.
Virtually all the diseases we vaccinate our children against have mortality rates of 0.01-0.10.
I mean, it's good compared to Ebola, SARS or smallpox, but that's about it.
blitzen
(4,572 posts)Blasphemer
(3,261 posts)ProfessorGAC
(65,134 posts)It's a guess, but there's logic to it.
I have one not to pick, though.
"10 times less"? Really? I hate that. 10 times less is meaningless without another value as the reference. 1% is 10 times less than 10%, OK. 4,000 is not 10x less than 40,000. Unless it's already been established there is 400,000 total. Even then, it's a questionable description.
It's one-tenth. Not 10 times less.
Rant over.