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Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(108,010 posts)
Wed Jun 24, 2020, 08:17 PM Jun 2020

Fauci says in 40 years of dealing with viral outbreaks, he's never seen anything like COVID-19

Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases for three decades and one of the leading experts on pandemics in the U.S. for the last four decades, told U.S. lawmakers on Tuesday that the SARS-CoV-2 has taken him by surprise, particularly in a singular way that helped lead to one of the biggest public-health crisis in a generation.

“I’ve been dealing with viral outbreaks for the last 40 years. I’ve never seen a single virus — that is, one pathogen — have a range where 20% to 40% of the people have no symptoms,” he told a House Committee on Energy and Commerce on the Trump administration's response to the novel coronavirus pandemic on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C.

The World Health Organization currently estimates that 16% of people with COVID-19 are asymptomatic and can transmit the coronavirus, while other data show that 40% of coronavirus transmission is due to carriers not displaying symptoms of the illness. As a result, public-health officials have advised people to keep a distance of six feet from one another.

A recent University of California, San Francisco study said there’s a high viral load of SARS-CoV-2 shedding in the upper respiratory tract, even among pre-symptomatic patients, “which distinguishes it from SARS-CoV-1, where replication occurs mainly in the lower respiratory tract.” Such a viral load makes symptom-based detection of infection less effective in the case of SARS CoV-2, it said.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/fauci-says-covid-19-has-one-characteristic-hes-never-seen-before-ive-been-dealing-with-viral-outbreaks-for-the-last-40-years-2020-06-23?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo

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Fauci says in 40 years of dealing with viral outbreaks, he's never seen anything like COVID-19 (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Jun 2020 OP
This virus is new to the rest of us, too! abqtommy Jun 2020 #1
We need a vaccine bdamomma Jun 2020 #2
We might never get it. If this virus isn't leading to long lasting immunity, LisaL Jun 2020 #3
Reports indicate a 2-3 month MrsMatt Jun 2020 #4
Yes, and once cases are at low enough levels, it can be moved to a seasonal vaccination unitedwethrive Jun 2020 #6
That's not quite what is being suggested. Ms. Toad Jun 2020 #12
Nature threw us a pretty good curveball. One can only wonder what else Blue_true Jun 2020 #16
Yup. And this curveball illustrates even more clearly Ms. Toad Jun 2020 #17
or a quick test/trace/isolation and sentinel process. We're doing little different from the 1918 uponit7771 Jun 2020 #9
Yeah. And he didn't see any reason to wear a mask in March. denem Jun 2020 #5
My RW relatives shanti Jun 2020 #8
+1, Fauci's maybe doing his best but his double talk doesn't help in this context especially with th uponit7771 Jun 2020 #10
He was trying to head off hoarding of hospital mask denem Jun 2020 #11
An argument against the logic of that is that if he strongly Blue_true Jun 2020 #18
He has backtracked on that - Ms. Toad Jun 2020 #13
There is an increasing body of data that is indicating that uniform mask Blue_true Jun 2020 #19
It Is Horribly Unique colsohlibgal Jun 2020 #7
But even the 1918 flu was within normal ranges. Ms. Toad Jun 2020 #14
My question is how do we know the 1918 pandemic didn't have asymptomatic carriers? dgauss Jun 2020 #15
In 1918 we did not even know that viruses existed! GulfCoast66 Jun 2020 #20

bdamomma

(63,868 posts)
2. We need a vaccine
Wed Jun 24, 2020, 08:26 PM
Jun 2020

and until that happens wear a fucking mask and social distance, there are alot of us who are paying attention, those who are not keep your distance and give up your ER visit to those who will need it.

Or wear a cowbell then we can hear you coming or wear that red cap then we can avoid you.

LisaL

(44,973 posts)
3. We might never get it. If this virus isn't leading to long lasting immunity,
Wed Jun 24, 2020, 08:27 PM
Jun 2020

it's far from sure any vaccine is going to cause long lasting immunity.

MrsMatt

(1,660 posts)
4. Reports indicate a 2-3 month
Wed Jun 24, 2020, 08:44 PM
Jun 2020

span where anti-bodies protect against reinfection.

Vaccine protocol may include boosters as maintenance in 2-3 month intervals - it may just be something we schedule like we do for dental visits and mammograms

unitedwethrive

(1,997 posts)
6. Yes, and once cases are at low enough levels, it can be moved to a seasonal vaccination
Wed Jun 24, 2020, 08:50 PM
Jun 2020

The key right now is get a reliable vaccine, even if the immunity is short-lived.

Ms. Toad

(34,074 posts)
12. That's not quite what is being suggested.
Wed Jun 24, 2020, 09:42 PM
Jun 2020

Antibodies significantly diminish after 2-3 months. BUT - the presence of antibodies DOES NOT mean immunity.

uponit7771

(90,346 posts)
9. or a quick test/trace/isolation and sentinel process. We're doing little different from the 1918
Wed Jun 24, 2020, 09:35 PM
Jun 2020

... American flu (since it started in KS)

 

denem

(11,045 posts)
5. Yeah. And he didn't see any reason to wear a mask in March.
Wed Jun 24, 2020, 08:48 PM
Jun 2020

In fact he said it could make matters worse on 60 Minutes.

uponit7771

(90,346 posts)
10. +1, Fauci's maybe doing his best but his double talk doesn't help in this context especially with th
Wed Jun 24, 2020, 09:35 PM
Jun 2020

... the vaccine issue.

 

denem

(11,045 posts)
11. He was trying to head off hoarding of hospital mask
Wed Jun 24, 2020, 09:36 PM
Jun 2020

but that is not an excuse for disinformation.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
18. An argument against the logic of that is that if he strongly
Wed Jun 24, 2020, 10:49 PM
Jun 2020

suspected that face coverings would work, telling the public to wear almost any type of face covering would have reduced infections, thereby reducing hospital visits, thereby reducing the risk and need for several masks per day by frontline hospital staff.

Ms. Toad

(34,074 posts)
13. He has backtracked on that -
Wed Jun 24, 2020, 09:46 PM
Jun 2020

And now says that advice was for the reason many of us suspected at the time: there were not facemasks for health care workers and they didn't want private individuals taking keeping them away from the health care workers.

That one lie is likely responsible for nearly as many deaths as Trump's lies. It was more dangerous because Fauci said it - so people like us who trust science believed it (or at least some of us did - I never did).

And now, his statement is being used by those who never believed in science in the first place to reinforce their beliefs that there is no science behind mask wearing. After all, Fauci (and others) said they were worthless - and now they say they are necessary - so it must all be political. I could defend a change in what we know, but Fauci's statements were not based on what we then knew. They were a practical lie to protect health care workers, and lies come back to bite you.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
19. There is an increasing body of data that is indicating that uniform mask
Wed Jun 24, 2020, 10:54 PM
Jun 2020

wearing dramatically reduces transmission rates. If Fauci wanted to protect hospital workers, telling Americans to wear any mask available but N95 masks that hospital personnel need would have dropped hospitalizations significantly.

I really don't see why democrats on the panel didn't challenge his statement.

colsohlibgal

(5,275 posts)
7. It Is Horribly Unique
Wed Jun 24, 2020, 08:51 PM
Jun 2020

The closest thing in modern times would be the 1918 Flu Pandemic....but this is worse because so many can have the virus and be asymptomatic. Add to this the total incompetence of Dufus Donnie.

The only plus would be Trump’s approval tanking almost daily.....hopefully to the extent flipping the Senate to the Democrats.

If we get total control we need to do whatever it takes to undo the damage done, including all the totally unqualified Judges McConnell jammed through.

And we need to look hard at the Electoral College, and even the Senate.....and how they favor Republicans. Hard to change much with the Senate but we could add two more States, the District Of Columbia and Puerto Rico.

Ms. Toad

(34,074 posts)
14. But even the 1918 flu was within normal ranges.
Wed Jun 24, 2020, 09:49 PM
Jun 2020

If you got it, you got sick with a limited range of symptoms. You were infectious once you had symptoms - or, at most - 24 hours ahead of noticeable symptoms.

None of this asymptomatic but highly infectious crap. And not the range of symptoms from nothing to more than 2 months; GI, vascular, respiratory.

dgauss

(882 posts)
15. My question is how do we know the 1918 pandemic didn't have asymptomatic carriers?
Wed Jun 24, 2020, 09:56 PM
Jun 2020

I don't think our ability to test asymptomatic people in 1918 and determine that yes, they do have the virus and could transmit it, is the same as it is today. I tried to search that a little but couldn't really find anything. Maybe someone here knows the answer to that.

GulfCoast66

(11,949 posts)
20. In 1918 we did not even know that viruses existed!
Wed Jun 24, 2020, 11:17 PM
Jun 2020

We suspected there was something that was not a bacterial infection but had no clue what it could be.


The 1918 virus was horrible in that it killed those in their prime of life.

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