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George II

(67,782 posts) Tue Jun 30, 2020, 10:35 AM Jun 2020

Amy McGrath is slowly increasing her lead over Booker. Began the day about 1% ahead, now 4.5%

https://www.wlky.com/article/kentucky-2020-june-23-primary-election-results-house-senate-president/32883256

21 replies

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Amy McGrath is slowly increasing her lead over Booker. Began the day about 1% ahead, now 4.5% (Original Post) George II Jun 2020 OP

I see Booker up 48-41 with 82.12% reporting. Renew Deal Jun 2020 #1

yes, I see the same.......... riversedge Jun 2020 #4

WAPO has McGrath ahead Lucinda Jun 2020 #5

That's 3% less reporting, but more votes Renew Deal Jun 2020 #7

Yawp....moving quickly...and oddly! Lucinda Jun 2020 #8

Agree but... Renew Deal Jun 2020 #10

I dont think it will. Kentucky is not happy with Moscow Mitch Lucinda Jun 2020 #21

I've been watching both McGrath and Booker on twitter, and both Lucinda Jun 2020 #2

That's not at all what's on the page you linked to. lagomorph777 Jun 2020 #3

WAPO has your numbers- Updated at 10:45 a.m. EDT Lucinda Jun 2020 #6

Whichever way it goes... Mike Nelson Jun 2020 #9

You're correct George ll updated- 11:06 ET Budi Jun 2020 #11

Wonder what an analysis of the 8%, by the Broihier-Tobin -Hilliard, would show? empedocles Jun 2020 #13

11:19 AM update 87.65% reporting MoonlitKnight Jun 2020 #12

Vox has called it for McGrath. Some segments conveniently ignored the significant number of still_one Jun 2020 #14

McGrath gives Dems a realistically better chance in November empedocles Jun 2020 #15

Absolutely still_one Jun 2020 #16

Yes! I posted that in LBN a few minutes ago - now on to unseat McConnell and WIN THE SENATE! George II Jun 2020 #17

Excellent. I saw that George still_one Jun 2020 #19

Dave Wasserman has seen enough nt sweetloukillbot Jun 2020 #18

you guys need to remember... BGBD Jun 2020 #20

Renew Deal

(81,859 posts)

1. I see Booker up 48-41 with 82.12% reporting.

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 10:38 AM

Jun 2020

What am I missing?

riversedge

(70,239 posts)

4. yes, I see the same..........

Reply to Renew Deal (Reply #1)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 10:42 AM

Jun 2020

Kentucky
U.S. Senate - Dem - Primary
82.12 % Precincts Reporting | 58% expected voteJun. 30, 2020 10:33 am EST
Party Name Votes Vote %
Dem
Booker, Charles

160,103

48.2%

Dem
McGrath, Amy

139,168

41.9%

Lucinda

(31,170 posts)

5. WAPO has McGrath ahead

Reply to Renew Deal (Reply #1)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 10:44 AM

Jun 2020

https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/election-results/kentucky-senate-primary-live-results/

Updated at 10:41 a.m. EDT
Amy McGrath 215,609 44.6%
Charles Booker 213,182 44.1

Renew Deal

(81,859 posts)

7. That's 3% less reporting, but more votes

Reply to Lucinda (Reply #5)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 10:53 AM

Jun 2020

Lucinda

(31,170 posts)

8. Yawp....moving quickly...and oddly!

Reply to Renew Deal (Reply #7)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 10:55 AM

Jun 2020

We'll know when we know!

Renew Deal

(81,859 posts)

10. Agree but...

Reply to Lucinda (Reply #8)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 11:06 AM

Jun 2020

It will be ugly if this happens in November.

Lucinda

(31,170 posts)

21. I dont think it will. Kentucky is not happy with Moscow Mitch

Reply to Renew Deal (Reply #10)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 12:09 PM

Jun 2020

from what I am hearing from people who live there...About the only thing that might give him a boost would be a second stimulus before election day. And even that would be a negative with some of his voters...add this thing with ignoring the bounties on servicemen is going to cost all Rep leadership...

Lucinda

(31,170 posts)

2. I've been watching both McGrath and Booker on twitter, and both

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 10:39 AM

Jun 2020

have been conducting themselves respectfully and professionally. No sniping at each other or whining about the time it's taking for results. Speaks very well of them both...unless I've missed drama somewhere. It's nice to see it after Trump being a complete dumpster fire 24/7...

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)

3. That's not at all what's on the page you linked to.

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 10:41 AM

Jun 2020

Booker 48.2
McGrath 41.9

Lucinda

(31,170 posts)

6. WAPO has your numbers- Updated at 10:45 a.m. EDT

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 10:46 AM

Jun 2020

https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/election-results/kentucky-senate-primary-live-results

Looks like they hadn't updates results yet - the WAPO numbers show a lot more votes in

Mike Nelson

(9,956 posts)

9. Whichever way it goes...

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 11:05 AM

Jun 2020

... it will be nice to see them campaigning together against Moscow Mitch!

Budi

(15,325 posts)

11. You're correct George ll updated- 11:06 ET

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 11:08 AM

Jun 2020

McGrath 221,952 44.7%
Booker 216,567 43.6
Broihier 24,079 4.9
Tobin 9,553 1.9
Hilliard 5,544 1.1

empedocles

(15,751 posts)

13. Wonder what an analysis of the 8%, by the Broihier-Tobin -Hilliard, would show?

Reply to Budi (Reply #11)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 11:27 AM

Jun 2020

. . . what the republicon vote counting machine is doing?

MoonlitKnight

(1,584 posts)

12. 11:19 AM update 87.65% reporting

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 11:23 AM

Jun 2020

Booker, Charles
189,712
45.99%
Dem
McGrath, Amy
178,895
43.37%

But WAPO has higher vote totals and is probably newer.

Amy McGrath 226,178 44.9%
Charles Booker 218,808 43.4
Mike Broihier 24,565 4.9
Mary Ann Tobin 9,856 2.0
Maggie Jo Hilliard 5,703 1.1
Show more candidates
503,997 votes reported from 83.1% of precincts. We estimate this to be 84% of expected turnout.

still_one

(92,202 posts)

14. Vox has called it for McGrath. Some segments conveniently ignored the significant number of

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 11:35 AM

Jun 2020

mail-in votes that were NOT counted

https://www.vox.com/2020/6/30/21301591/amy-mcgrath-kentucky-senate-primary-mcconnell

empedocles

(15,751 posts)

15. McGrath gives Dems a realistically better chance in November

Reply to still_one (Reply #14)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 11:43 AM

Jun 2020

Ky history makes that quite clear.

still_one

(92,202 posts)

16. Absolutely

Reply to empedocles (Reply #15)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 11:43 AM

Jun 2020

George II

(67,782 posts)

17. Yes! I posted that in LBN a few minutes ago - now on to unseat McConnell and WIN THE SENATE!

Reply to still_one (Reply #14)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 11:45 AM

Jun 2020

still_one

(92,202 posts)

19. Excellent. I saw that George

Reply to George II (Reply #17)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 11:48 AM

Jun 2020

sweetloukillbot

(11,024 posts)

18. Dave Wasserman has seen enough nt

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 11:45 AM

Jun 2020

BGBD

(3,282 posts)

20. you guys need to remember...

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 12:05 PM

Jun 2020

that % reporting is only precincts, not actual votes cast. With the huge amount of mail in ballots you are seeing same day votng totals without seeing the mail in. It could say 90% in and not even half the votes have been counted.

Better to project turnout and see how close to that number you are to determine outstanding vote.

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