General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThe Economist: Biden has 91% chance of winning electoral college, 99% chance of winning popular vote
Wow.
Tweet from their forecaster minutes ago, showing a map with Biden winning the EC 412-126:
Link to tweet
The article the tweet links to:
https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president
malaise
(269,178 posts)You are fired!
edhopper
(33,617 posts)but did they account for voter suppression and cheating?
Doreen
(11,686 posts)In 2016 it looked very good and at the last few hours we lost. Cheating, suppression, and foriegn influence. I am pretty damn sure they are doing the same now.
edhopper
(33,617 posts)Demsrule86
(68,689 posts)struggle4progress
(118,350 posts)sop
(10,258 posts)LuvNewcastle
(16,858 posts)like 1980 was for the Republicans. Forty years is about the life span of a party's dominance in our government. We've got a lot to do.
Wounded Bear
(58,717 posts)I hope it happens.
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)Consistent with current polling but I don't think the margin will be that high
DrToast
(6,414 posts)OH and GA are tossups.
OrlandoDem2
(2,066 posts)Blecht
(3,803 posts)If you were told you had a 91% chance of dying if you left the house today, would you do it? I sure wouldn't.
That 9% tells us that we need to GOTV to bring it down to zero.
csziggy
(34,137 posts)I was given a 10% chance of dying for the operation to replace my aortic valve and here I am. Surviving the removal of a kidney a moth later had a 20% chance of survival, partly because of the operation, partly the closeness of the two operations, and long term the chance that the cancer would recur - it's been three years and it is not back.
I'll take 9% as a quite acceptable figure.
2naSalit
(86,798 posts)At least we aren't solid red anymore and with any luck we could flip blue.
onetexan
(13,061 posts)2naSalit
(86,798 posts)Montana.
onetexan
(13,061 posts)tinrobot
(10,916 posts)Vote as if we're in a close race.
Every vote counts.
Wounded Bear
(58,717 posts)Spider Jerusalem
(21,786 posts)JI7
(89,271 posts)crickets
(25,983 posts)muntrv
(14,505 posts)I sent in my absentee ballot for MI August elections.
BigmanPigman
(51,630 posts)He won in a "landslide" by bundling his progressive ideas with his re-election and a $$$ bribe to voters. Attention tRump campaign, he will help you out too (again).
Kaiserguy
(740 posts)promises the moon if he wins. But if he wins the only moon the 99% will get is the view of the rich showing us what part of them needs kissed if you want any crumbs.
BigmanPigman
(51,630 posts)The 1% and the morons will vote for him no matter what...NO MATTER WHAT!
Pepsidog
(6,254 posts)StevieM
(10,500 posts)It is sad that they ever trusted Barr. Even sadder that Comey was able to put Trump in the White House.
Pepsidog
(6,254 posts)sinkingfeeling
(51,474 posts)Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)If Texas becomes a dependably Democratic state
onetexan
(13,061 posts)Hopefully this will be the year. In the least it's getting purple. Williamson County turned purple in 2018.
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)I'm referring to a state that is going to vote blue in a balanced year nationally, not require a huge blue slant of 8+ points to barely get over the bar.
It's going to require the Hispanic second generation types coming of voting age and then registering/participating dependably. Every study I've seen indicates at least 10-15 years from now.
Hip2bSquare
(291 posts)"Act like it's the 4th quarter and were down by 5!" Proudly borrowed from Reddit commenter!
onetexan
(13,061 posts)Calista241
(5,586 posts)Cant place it though.
StevieM
(10,500 posts)And William Barr is no longer trusted, which means he can't do the damage to Biden that he had planned on doing.
StevieM
(10,500 posts)Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)sakabatou
(42,176 posts)rockfordfile
(8,704 posts)smirkymonkey
(63,221 posts)Reassuring, but I won't believe it until it's a done deal and Trump is finally kicked to the curb in January.