General Discussion

denem

(11,045 posts) Thu Jul 9, 2020, 01:17 PM Jul 2020

538: A summary of National & Battleground States polls (7/8/20)

On weighted average of national polls, Biden leads +9.6; 50.7% - 41.1%

Biden’s Polling Lead Is Big — And Steady
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/bidens-polling-lead-is-big-and-steady/

12 replies

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538: A summary of National & Battleground States polls (7/8/20) (Original Post) denem Jul 2020 OP

My hope is that Texas goes for Biden. Lobo27 Jul 2020 #1

I'm dreaming of a Blue Texas ... denem Jul 2020 #3

Why is Colorado even considered a battleground state? Norbert Jul 2020 #2

It's on the RNC list. denem Jul 2020 #4

Clinton won CO by less than 5 its. brooklynite Jul 2020 #6

Huh? Until 2008, Colorado voted for the Pugs Wednesdays Jul 2020 #11

Don't look in the colored in column. Look at the one just to its left. Biden margin. nt LAS14 Jul 2020 #5

Biden is in the lead in all of them except two wryter2000 Jul 2020 #7

What does that last column mean? wryter2000 Jul 2020 #8

It's the difference between Biden's led in a particular state, denem Jul 2020 #9

Thank you wryter2000 Jul 2020 #10

K&R BootinUp Jul 2020 #12

Lobo27

(753 posts)

1. My hope is that Texas goes for Biden.

Reply to denem (Original post)

Thu Jul 9, 2020, 01:29 PM

Jul 2020

It would be such a crushing blow the GoP.

denem

(11,045 posts)

3. I'm dreaming of a Blue Texas ...

Reply to Lobo27 (Reply #1)

Thu Jul 9, 2020, 01:32 PM

Jul 2020

I've actually had a dream imagining a rock solid blue wall stretching from Washington to Texas. Maybe in the 22nd century.

Norbert

(6,040 posts)

2. Why is Colorado even considered a battleground state?

Reply to denem (Original post)

Thu Jul 9, 2020, 01:32 PM

Jul 2020

It hasn't been close in the past several elections.

denem

(11,045 posts)

4. It's on the RNC list.

Reply to Norbert (Reply #2)

Thu Jul 9, 2020, 01:33 PM

Jul 2020

Maybe dumb1 is sure he has a chance.

brooklynite

(94,635 posts)

6. Clinton won CO by less than 5 its.

Reply to Norbert (Reply #2)

Thu Jul 9, 2020, 01:40 PM

Jul 2020

CO elected Cory Gardner...

It is VERY conservative outside of Denver and Boulder.

Wednesdays

(17,389 posts)

11. Huh? Until 2008, Colorado voted for the Pugs

Reply to Norbert (Reply #2)

Thu Jul 9, 2020, 02:41 PM

Jul 2020

in every election except two since 1952.

LAS14

(13,783 posts)

5. Don't look in the colored in column. Look at the one just to its left. Biden margin. nt

Reply to denem (Original post)

Thu Jul 9, 2020, 01:35 PM

Jul 2020

wryter2000

(46,061 posts)

7. Biden is in the lead in all of them except two

Reply to LAS14 (Reply #5)

Thu Jul 9, 2020, 02:13 PM

Jul 2020

And in one of those two, he's even.

wryter2000

(46,061 posts)

8. What does that last column mean?

Reply to denem (Original post)

Thu Jul 9, 2020, 02:16 PM

Jul 2020

For all but two of the states, Biden is in the lead. So, why are so many of them red in the last column? What does "lean, relative to nation" mean?

Okay, I get it now. The blue ones are more pro-Biden than his overall lead. The red ones are smaller advantages than his overall lead. I don't know why that should be the most interesting statistic. However, it does seem to make the blue ones even stronger leads.