General Discussion

FirstLight

(13,362 posts) Thu Jul 9, 2020, 02:37 PM Jul 2020

Where can I find stats and info on Covid spread? Simply searching is just overwhelming!

I am trying to find some specific info about COVID and how it spreads statistically.

Somewhere recently (probably here) I had read that if the number of infected hits just 1% of the total population, it is then uncontrollable without shut-down measures of some kind.

Trying to find that specific info or something like it for a Board of Supervisors meeting this afternoon. Trying to back up locals asking for a re-think about opening up our tourist economy since we are now the highest rate of infection in the county.

Any links would be appreciated! I am just overwhelmed as to where to look!

12 replies

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Where can I find stats and info on Covid spread? Simply searching is just overwhelming! (Original Post) FirstLight Jul 2020 OP

Worldmeter US covid19 provides current data; scroll down to find state by state data RestoreAmerica2020 Jul 2020 #1

Kicking for support... 2naSalit Jul 2020 #2

Thanks...I am looking for stats or quotes from scientists about FirstLight Jul 2020 #3

Okay... 2naSalit Jul 2020 #4

Here's a start - R number (reproduction) soothsayer Jul 2020 #5

ok...I also found this from the CDC FirstLight Jul 2020 #6

It's the RT number! soothsayer Jul 2020 #7

This site has been more accurate than most... Buckeye_Democrat Jul 2020 #8

A Few I Use ProfessorGAC Jul 2020 #9

I look at those too! Buckeye_Democrat Jul 2020 #10

Same Here ProfessorGAC Jul 2020 #11

well at least I don't have to give them any stats, they know already... FirstLight Jul 2020 #12

RestoreAmerica2020

(3,437 posts)

1. Worldmeter US covid19 provides current data; scroll down to find state by state data

Reply to FirstLight (Original post)

Thu Jul 9, 2020, 02:47 PM

Jul 2020

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/&ved=2ahUKEwiZysuz6sDqAhXXpJ4KHQXCCmMQjBAwAXoECAcQCw&usg=AOvVaw3VjHUtiyFN9VkDZTZswkxH

Worldmeter July 09, 2020, 18:39 GMT
United States
Coronavirus Cases:
3,188,600
Deaths:
135,346

2naSalit

(86,680 posts)

2. Kicking for support...

Reply to FirstLight (Original post)

Thu Jul 9, 2020, 02:52 PM

Jul 2020

Will look for something on that topic.

FirstLight

(13,362 posts)

3. Thanks...I am looking for stats or quotes from scientists about

Reply to FirstLight (Original post)

Thu Jul 9, 2020, 02:58 PM

Jul 2020

the percentage of positive cases in a population and how to contain once it hits a certain point.

We're dealing with a community that is "small" about 20K residents....however there is a HUGE amount of tourists and travelers from ALL over..(so many out of state plates it's scary)
we have been almost doubling for the last 3 weeks, now over 140 cases, the highest in our county. The health dept says we have high community transmission now.

If we hit 220-250 cases, that's 1% of our "local" population, asnd somewhere (was it Fauci? or the CDC) it was said if the population infected hits 1% then the ONLY way to stop spread is to go back to "shutdown" mode.

The board of Supervisors are meeting to discuss how to "enforce" bars etc.
The tourists need to stop coming!

2naSalit

(86,680 posts)

4. Okay...

Reply to FirstLight (Reply #3)

Thu Jul 9, 2020, 02:59 PM

Jul 2020

Diving back in, meanwhile, this may be of interest...

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1017592087

soothsayer

(38,601 posts)

5. Here's a start - R number (reproduction)

Reply to FirstLight (Reply #3)

Thu Jul 9, 2020, 03:01 PM

Jul 2020

https://www.bbc.com/news/health-52473523

FirstLight

(13,362 posts)

6. ok...I also found this from the CDC

Reply to FirstLight (Original post)

Thu Jul 9, 2020, 03:05 PM

Jul 2020

About traveling...

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/travelers/travel-in-the-us.html

The CDC has all guidelines to wear masks and stay 6' away from people...I can show you local bars and restaurants where people are packed together with NO masks

Even one of the local grocery stores is refusing to make employees cover etc...

soothsayer

(38,601 posts)

7. It's the RT number!

Reply to FirstLight (Original post)

Thu Jul 9, 2020, 04:00 PM

Jul 2020

https://www.hoptownchronicle.org/governor-and-health-commissioner-say-they-look-at-data-models-to-guide-their-decisions-but-dont-have-something-to-share/

Buckeye_Democrat

(14,855 posts)

8. This site has been more accurate than most...

Reply to FirstLight (Original post)

Thu Jul 9, 2020, 04:09 PM

Jul 2020

... with past projections.

https://covid19-projections.com/

There's some easy to follow charts and maps too.

The R0 chart is for the whole country, but the states can be clicked for their data too.

It's not broken down by county or city. I'd look up local health departments for those details.

The map of the USA that's labeled "C19Pro Score: US Cases" is a quick way to see where outbreaks are occurring around the country. Deaths are a lagging indicator, so I don't look at that map so much. (Not to mention that some deaths are being attributed to other reasons like "pneumonia" in many states.)