Chance of big San Andreas earthquake increased by Ridgecrest temblors, study suggests

A new study suggests that last year’s Ridgecrest earthquakes increased the chance of a large earthquake on California’s San Andreas fault.

The study, published in the Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America on Monday, says there is now a 2.3% chance of an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater in the next 12 months on a section of the 160-mile-long Garlock fault, which runs along the northern edge of the Mojave Desert.

That increased likelihood, in turn, would cause there to be a 1.15% chance of a large earthquake on the San Andreas fault in the next year.

Those odds may seem small. But they’re a substantial jump from what the chances were before last year’s Ridgecrest, Calif., earthquakes, whose epicenters were about 125 miles northeast of downtown L.A.

https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/news/california/story/2020-07-13/ridgecrest-quakes-big-earthquake-san-andreas-fault-study

A major earthquake along the San Andreas would be just what we don't need anytime soon.