General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWhy COVID-19 Testing Positivity rate matters (my humbly offered opinion)
It's not the primarily the reason we might think--namely, that it indicates a high proportion of the population is infected (although it may well indicate that).
A high positivity rate indicates INSUFFICIENT TESTING in the population at large. We can more or less assume that large-scale groups of patients who present themselves to a hospital or clinic for testing will have more or less similar positivity rates. When a state or municipality reports a high positivity rate, this indicates that they are not actively engaged in testing the population at large (surveillance testing)--large groups who would show a low positivity rate. Hence they will not be able to locate hotspots or do contact tracing to contain the spread. (Remember contact tracing, that quaint old-fashioned idea?)
I gleaned this from looking at this site, where high "positive test rate indicates insufficient testing." But I have not heard this explained by any of the experts, anchors, or reporters on CNN or MSNBC.
https://covidactnow.org/us/fl?s=716119
Anyone here with knowledge who wants to weigh in?
Nevilledog
(51,233 posts)Atticus
(15,124 posts)Wounded Bear
(58,755 posts)Until you mass test, on demand, you won't truly know the rate of infection in the population at large.
The number of tests performed so far barely provide a statistical sample of inhabitants, especially since it has been spread out over 6 months.
Statistically, to really know the situation, we would probably have to test 1-3% of the population every week for months.
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)INCREASED, not decreased.