A Deep Dive Into the Top 60 House Races in 2020
With three and a half months until Election Day Democrats are favored to hold their majority and perhaps expand it. Some key takeaways:
No Democratic held seats score in the range that rate tilt, lean or likely Republican (-3 to 0). In contrast three Republicans seats (NC-02, NC-06, TX-23) that are tilt, lean or likely Democrat (0 to 3).
The 31 Democrats running for reelection started July with a combined $90 million cash on hand. Their Republican opponents, or potential opponents, started the same period with $22 million.
The 18 Republicans running for reelection started July with a combined $23 million cash on hand. Their Democratic opponents started the same period with $16 million.
Republicans are defending eleven of twelve competitive open seats, ten of which score as toss ups or worse (lean or likely Democrat).
Factor in the spending advantage Democratic Party committees and allied Super PACs have over their counterparts, the Presidents high unfavorable ratings and anti-Republican sentiment by college-educated women, and it paints a darker picture.
https://politicalwire.com/2020/07/23/a-deep-dive-into-the-top-60-house-races-in-2020/