Michigan
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
Florida
Arizona
North Carolina
Georgia
Texas
Ohio
Iowa
Alabama

4 or 5 more states.

Trump and GOP only tactic to come close would be all out voter suppression and vote hacking. Both difficult to achieve if we have massive vote turnout

We can't be stupid enough to take fringe states for granted based on recent history and preference polling alone. That would be moronic.

For example, Nevada has no ideological advantage whatsoever toward Democrats. We've won that state solely due to great organization and messaging in the two prime areas, Clark and Washoe. If we sleep on the state Republicans are eligible to do exactly the same thing in reverse, along with getting out more of the vote in the cow counties.

Here are the 2016 exit poll numbers in the other states we should never take for granted. When states are in the 30s in self-identified conservatives, with a gap to the liberal number, they are fragile as hell. We don't want to get caught stupid again. I'll separate the first two from the pack because they are very risky with the mid 30s numbers. I don't think we'll lose these states but they need to maintain within the rotation for emphasis. There is not one state that Republicans take for granted that is in an ideological danger zone for them. We make it a habit:

* Nevada 36% conservatives 25% liberals
* Colorado 35% conservatives 28% liberals


* New Mexico 34% conservatives 29% liberals
* Virginia 33% conservatives 26% liberals
* Minnesota 32% conservatives 28% liberals
* New Hampshire 31% conservatives 27% liberals

beats trump in Arkansas

what they can to make this election appear close. To me that adds to the tidal wave that's coming