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RandySF

(58,884 posts)
Sun Jul 26, 2020, 01:23 AM Jul 2020

My Senate and House prediction 100 days out


Senate:

Democrats will flip AZ, CO, ME, IA, NC and MT
Republicans will flip AL

House:

Democrats will flip NY-02, NY-24, NJ-02, GA-07, NC-02, NC-06, TX-21, TX-22, TX-23, TX-24, IN-05, CA-25, IL-13, AZ-06

Republicans will flip MN-07
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My Senate and House prediction 100 days out (Original Post) RandySF Jul 2020 OP
This far out DFW Jul 2020 #1
From your 'lips' to . . . . elleng Jul 2020 #2
I'm keeping an eye on the Perdue seat in addition to more House districts. RandySF Jul 2020 #5
I talked with Ossoff a couple of days ago DFW Jul 2020 #7
BTW, his wife is sick with CV19 and he's showing symptoms. RandySF Jul 2020 #8
Lousy timing DFW Jul 2020 #10
Never mind -- answered already Hekate Jul 2020 #11
Good point!!! DFW Jul 2020 #12
Crossing back and forth here! Hekate Jul 2020 #13
I have to go to Texas in a week. DFW Jul 2020 #14
This message was self-deleted by its author morillon Jul 2020 #18
You forgot TX-10 Sucha NastyWoman Jul 2020 #3
It's on my watch list. RandySF Jul 2020 #9
I would add SC. Graham just announced the $ 600 UI over his dead body grantcart Jul 2020 #4
Iowa, 2 seats in Georgia could flip as well. SC is dead even. ProudMNDemocrat Jul 2020 #6
NC has been redrawn... mwooldri Jul 2020 #15
No chance in NC-08? RandySF Jul 2020 #16
My gut says no... mwooldri Jul 2020 #17

DFW

(54,399 posts)
1. This far out
Sun Jul 26, 2020, 01:30 AM
Jul 2020

I wouldn't write off our chances at flipping one of the Georgia Senate seats, and a Kentucky miracle could still happen if there is any kind of serious outbreak of Covid-19 there.

RandySF

(58,884 posts)
5. I'm keeping an eye on the Perdue seat in addition to more House districts.
Sun Jul 26, 2020, 01:39 AM
Jul 2020

I'm especially watching TX-10, TX-06, TX-02, TX-03, and TX-25.

DFW

(54,399 posts)
7. I talked with Ossoff a couple of days ago
Sun Jul 26, 2020, 01:49 AM
Jul 2020

He was sharper than I expected, and he already has a rep for being no dummy. I don't know much about Perdue, although being first cousin to a member of Trump's cabinet should be embarrassment enough to make him suspect.

DFW

(54,399 posts)
10. Lousy timing
Sun Jul 26, 2020, 01:57 AM
Jul 2020

Although with Kemp being such an idiot, if Ossoff and his wife pull out of this without any long-lasting debilitating effects, he should be able to put it in such terms as to tell the story to his advantage.

Response to DFW (Reply #1)

Sucha NastyWoman

(2,749 posts)
3. You forgot TX-10
Sun Jul 26, 2020, 01:34 AM
Jul 2020

McCaul only beat Seigel by a few points last time. McCaul is trying to portray that he has reached across the aisle in the spirit of bipartisanship to work with Democrats. What a load of BS! But I’ve not heard them even try this until this year.

Unfortunately I’m afraid you’re probably right a about our Senate race, though I’m still planning to do what I can to change that.

grantcart

(53,061 posts)
4. I would add SC. Graham just announced the $ 600 UI over his dead body
Sun Jul 26, 2020, 01:37 AM
Jul 2020

Just the kind of idiocy to give us a couple more points.

ProudMNDemocrat

(16,786 posts)
6. Iowa, 2 seats in Georgia could flip as well. SC is dead even.
Sun Jul 26, 2020, 01:41 AM
Jul 2020

Let's not forget MN-1st CD. That has Dan Feehan up by 1 point over Jim Hagedorn. Hagedorn is a die hard Trumper. With Joe Biden up by 13 points here in Minnesota, that cannot bode well for Jim Hagedorn. He is now on record voting AGAINST the Defense Bill that also calls for renaming Military bases named for Confederate Traitors, as well as removing Confederate statues from the Capitol.


Mitch McConnell will surely squeak out a win with a Job approval rating lower than Trump's in Kentucky. He will face a Minority so down trodden. Being demoted will be a cause for celebration.

RBG needs to hold out until after Joe Biden is sworn in to retire. I think she will.

mwooldri

(10,303 posts)
15. NC has been redrawn...
Sun Jul 26, 2020, 02:26 AM
Jul 2020

NC 6 going Democratic is understandable. The present congresscritter (Mark Walker) isn't running there and while the map was redrawn it's still gerrymandered in favour of the Republicans. I think these two pickups in NC is what's going to happen too... nothing more because the new map is more polarized than the last (either extreme D or R and no real competitive seats).

mwooldri

(10,303 posts)
17. My gut says no...
Sun Jul 26, 2020, 02:42 AM
Jul 2020

Mostly rural area though does include Fayetteville in the east and Concord & Kannapolis to the west. Except for Cumberland County, the rest is "solid south" i.e. Soviet Red Republican.

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