General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsKudos To New York
I just looked at the Johns-Hopkins site and was calling up different states.
New York's positivity rate is REALLY flat.
It was 1% yesterday.
For where they were at one point, this is pretty impressive.
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/individual-states/new-york
lapucelle
(18,351 posts)ProfessorGAC
(65,212 posts)And we flattened things for a long while, but regions are creeping up. Our southern region is over 5% positivity now.
Whole state has gone from 2.1 to 3.9 during July. Not terrible, but still trending up.
We're not in bad shape, but not even close to what NY has done.
You should be proud of yourselves.
jmg257
(11,996 posts)jmg257
(11,996 posts)Perfect examples to ass holes who insist on the "more cases are because more testing" BS, and just what it take to end this shit once and for all.
greenjar_01
(6,477 posts)Probably 4 million New Yorkers have been infected with it - including probably 2 million in New York City. It's more or less run its course in the state.
The death numbers in New York suggest that there was community spread beginning in early to mid-February, and that it raged without mitigation for over a month in the most densely populated area of the United States. So, NYS had probably 10x the number of official test-positive cases. I'm not saying everybody who was going to get it and have bad outcomes has already had it in NYS, but it's pretty damn close.
ProfessorGAC
(65,212 posts)But, Chicago's pretty densely populated too, and we're not seeing this kind of improvement. And, we're no longer flat, now. That link I put in show NY very flat for quite an impressive period.
Interestingly, the greatest regional increases in Illinois are happening in far lower density areas.
East Central is over 5%. Southwest is almost 6.
Southeast went from 1 to 3.5 in a month. My county (Northeast) only went 1.9 to 2.4 in that time. 27% vs. 400%, and there's 700,000 people in this county. The entire southeast quarter of Illinois has nowhere near that many people.
Our governor canceled many fall sports as of noon today, including HS football.
greenjar_01
(6,477 posts)We closed up fairly early (mid-March); our numbers now reflect the Phase 4 re-opening. Unlike New York, our official test positives are probably only under by 3 or 4 time, not ten. The rest of Illinois had virtually no COVID-19 until the Phase 3 and Phase 4 re-openings started to enable community spread. Some counties had literally zero cases until late June.
We are not remotely in a similar situation as New York, in other words. We still, unfortunately, have a lot of vulnerable people to give to the virus.
I posted on Pritzker's youth sports restrictions in Gen Disc earlier. I'd bet we go back to Phase 3 officially in Chicago by the end of next week if positivity doesn't improve, even though we're staying under 250 new cases more or less.
ProfessorGAC
(65,212 posts)One thing we all probably thought of, but bears repeating.
All of this happened with 1/6th of the population not conducting "business as usual" since March 13.
All those kids, teachers, and staff meant over 2 million Illinoisans were exposed to others far less than normal.
Same in almost all the states, since summer off happened whether a governor was assertive or not.
electric_blue68
(14,953 posts)... I hope/expect crack downs, or pull backs on places, areas not following safety standards so we can keep a flat curve, and stop flare ups!
and thanks for your thanks 🙂
Most people took this very seriously!