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ProSense

(116,464 posts)
Wed Sep 26, 2012, 08:15 PM Sep 2012

BANG: Obama Eclipses 80% in Nate Silver's Presidential Forecast

BANG: Obama Eclipses 80% in Nate Silver's Presidential Forecast

by The Troubadour

An onslaught of positive polls – both at the state and national levels – have been piling up for Obama. So it was only a matter of time before Nate Silver's presidential forecast approached an all-time high for the President.

That's what happened tonight, as Obama reached an 81.9 percent chance of winning in Silver's November 6 forecast model:



Additionally, Obama reached 97.8 percent in Silver's Now-cast, an all-time high for him. (Now-cast is the chance a given candidate would win if a snap election were held today.)

In all, the numbers continue to rise for Obama, and crumble for Romney, demonstrating the the convention bounce Obama received after the DNC is being solidified by a number of factors.

Most notably, this:



While much work still needs to be done given the effort Republicans will make to steal votes in numerous swing states (ID laws or not), one fact remains clear: Mitt Romney is the worst candidate ever.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/09/26/1136847/-BANG-Obama-Eclipses-80-in-Nate-Silver-s-Presidential-Forecast

Damn, I love that second graphic.




Note:

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BANG: Obama Eclipses 80% in Nate Silver's Presidential Forecast (Original Post) ProSense Sep 2012 OP
The "NOW CAST Richard D Sep 2012 #1
Look at the Nowcast on Nate's site where Rmoney is ironically headed toward becoming a 1%er corkhead Sep 2012 #2
Thanks. n/t ProSense Sep 2012 #4
Lovely malaise Sep 2012 #3
Delightful! Melissa G Sep 2012 #5
k&r n/t RainDog Sep 2012 #6
Intrade has Obama at 74.7% Poiuyt Sep 2012 #7
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