General Election: Romney vs. Obama

Gallup Tracking*

Obama 47, Romney 47

Tie



General Election: Romney vs. Obama

Gallup Tracking*

Obama 50, Romney 45

Obama +5

here, and read the piece at HuffPo: http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021496899

What's your question?

The HuffPo piece discusses the two poll releases.

on the list? Make sure that every last DU member and lurker sees it? The hysteria and Henny Penny impressions around here are driving me loco

in the national poll, when he had Romney up by two or three points over the weekend. That must mean that in his most recent samples President Obama had a better polling day(s). If a republican-leaning pollster has it tied again--after the "big" Romney bounce from the debate--then things can't be that bad.

Obama's approval went up in their poll today at 51%. Have no idea what that means. Maybe he had a good polling day on Sunday? It showed up in Gallup today too. Pew had very little polling done Sunday with just over 100 people polled the other day. Their final poll had over 1,000 people in their sample. I take Rasmussen and Gallup more seriously then Pew because they weighted Sunday more evenly with their other tracking days, although Gallup will be iffy tomorrow with LV polling out. Gallup needs to realize they were very confusing today and this will confuse people even more tomorrow as surely Obama will drop a lot from 5 points with an LV model.

The swing state polls are pretty consistent, if tight.

and I'm feeling like as long as Biden does his job, things are headed in our favor, but if that PA poll is accurate, it is horrifying.

is post debate and no change. It's a right leaning poll.

They were an outlier in the PA polls. No other poll had it that close in Sept. Obama's average lead there is over 7 points on poll tracker and other websites.

that was attributed to Mitt's disastrous 47 percent comment:

On the PBS Newshour, during the "rest of the news" segment that follows the lead story, they only talked about how the Pew poll has Romney 4 points ahead (vs. 8 points down before the debate) and how the Gallup Poll shows them even (vs. 5 points ahead for Obama before).

Then they went into details about the Pew poll how it has changed relative perceptions of a stronger leader from Obama way ahead on that score pre-debate to about even or something -- I forget the spread on the many perception / character questions pollsters asked about. But it was a long and sad thing to sit through.

Norman Goldman (progressive radio talk host) also was reporting the same thing, and complaining that so many low-information voters fell for Romney's lies and think bullying makes him look strong.

I'm just reporting what I've heard on the media this evening for informational purposes.

This morning: NBC News cited Pew poll: Romney+4 & Gallup: Obama+5 and then said "go figure".

Stephanie Miller (progressive talk show host) said "an obvious tightening of the race" (didn't cite any specific polls in the few-minutes segment that I listened to)

several of them.

Which ones?

Mitt's gain in the EPIC/MRA is basically erasing the effects of the 47 percent comment: http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=1497931

The PA poll is no change: http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=1497876

Obama is up 5 in Gallup and his approval is up.

PPP shows Obama down 2, but still leading by 3 points.

The battleground poll is noise, a point in a poll that has shown Romney ahead, similar to Rasmussen, which now has the race tied.

No one is disputing that there was a bounce, but the freak out is uneccessary. The debate was not a significant game changer.