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unblock

(52,233 posts)
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:54 PM Oct 2012

there was NOTHING about the debate that people will carry with them into the voting booth.

no "where's the beef" or "i knew jack kennedy" or "there you go again" moment.
no zinger, no watershed moment, nothing enduring.

any details or memories of the first debate will be quickly replaced by the remaining debates, the barrage of ads in battleground states, and rmoney gaffes past, present, and future. arguably, the biggest takeaways from the debates were rmoney's lies and gaffes -- obama has much more material to work with from the debate than rmoney does. i mean, where is *his* debate ad?

rmoney got the standard challenger benefit of being on the same stage on an equal footing with the president of the united states. that ALWAYS confers a sense of ligitimacy to the challenger that is not possible to gain otherwise.

and frankly, that's enough to explain the movement in the polls.

but that bump will fade.

continue to work, but chill. the fundamentals still strongly favor obama.

16 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies

madokie

(51,076 posts)
2. I'm not so sure about that
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:57 PM
Oct 2012

The tide seems to have changed whether anyone takes any one thing from this debate to the poll with them or not

Fgiriun

(169 posts)
3. The debates have nothing to do with it
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:58 PM
Oct 2012

the media is spinning this race in romneys favor. That is why the polls will continue to favor him because the media has fallen for the conservative 'liberal bias' talking point.

Not Me

(3,398 posts)
4. Exactly.
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:00 PM
Oct 2012

Though among all the people that I come into contact with (many--from both sides) I am finding that those who supported Obama still support Obama, those who supported Romney, still support Romney.

unblock

(52,233 posts)
5. yes; with recent articles about the vanishing swing voter, rmoney's shift to the middle seems silly.
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:10 PM
Oct 2012

it's long been classic presidential tactics to appeal to the base during the primaries and then pivot to the center in the general, and the convention and/or the debate is a fine time to start this process.

however, with much discussion about how difficult it is to change anyone's mind these days, and how few people really are up for grabs, the focus has been more on getting those who have already made up their minds to actually get out and vote.

in that light, rmoney's shift to the middle may have been a very dubious move. he's likely to have convinced only a very few people previously on the fence, meanwhile turning off his entire base of supporters, some of whom will now stay home as a result of his apparent abandonment of right-wing"values". not that the right-wing ever had much confidence in rmoney on that point.

i think some of his comments, such as acknowledging that some regulation is essential, will come back to bite him.

 

scheming daemons

(25,487 posts)
6. except for "that Romney isn't as extreme as they made him out to be"
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:19 PM
Oct 2012

He's now "likable enough ".

That is what the LIVs took from it.

We spent 6 months making people afraid to vote for Romney and lost all that work in one night of letting him redefine himself.

unblock

(52,233 posts)
8. well if that were the upshot of the debate, then obama had a terrible strategy for the last 6 months
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:27 PM
Oct 2012

if team obama had a strategy for 6 months that rmoney could undo with a decent debate performance, then that would have been a piss-poor strategy. especially if all he had to do was appear more "likeable". that's something that's totally within their control, obama could have done very little to change that if rmoney really was determined to appear likeable.

but i don't agree with that characterization; or at least, i don't agree that that will be the long-term impact. by the time the election rolls around, people will not think rmoney likeable based on the first debate performance.

rmoney will need to keep up whatever likeability he has, and also respond to now being on both sides of several issues. so he's ticked off people who support regulation and now he's ticked off people who hate all regulation as well. that's the sort of thing people carry with them into the voting booth.

vague likeability, at least based on a single performance, isn't.

dennis4868

(9,774 posts)
7. Hope you're right but...
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:20 PM
Oct 2012

Before the debate Obama "controlled" the narrative and the election. Now it seems to be the other way around. The 47% speech seems like it was 10 years ago.

unblock

(52,233 posts)
10. that's only because it's debate season. the media downplays ads and speeches during this time.
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:33 PM
Oct 2012

the media controls the narrative, and of course they're rooting for the right-winger and challenger.

shortly after the debates are over, even granting rmoney victories in all of them, obama will regain control of the narrative.
especially because i don't see rmoney "winning" the debates without giving obama even more ad fodder though his lies and flip-flops.

gkhouston

(21,642 posts)
9. Good, because there's no room in there for Big Bird.
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:28 PM
Oct 2012

And I'm not sure he's housebroken, ifyouknowwhatImean.

 

B2G

(9,766 posts)
12. If I hear one more word about Big Bird
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:41 PM
Oct 2012

I'm gonna throw up.

This is a serious election about serious issues. The whole Big Bird meme is just making us look like idiots.

gkhouston

(21,642 posts)
16. I don't agree with that at all.
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:53 PM
Oct 2012

It's shorthand for Romney's total disregard for ordinary people. The way he talked about trashing PBS' budget to a moderator from PBS--essentially, "I'm going to fire you, ha ha"--just hammers home that the predatory nature of Bain is something Romney relishes. Sesame Street's had a positive effect on millions of Americans, but Romney's willing to trash it to look good with Republicans, even though it won't do jack about the budget. That combination of callousness and self-interest captures Romney's personality in a nutshell in terms that everyone can see and understand.

chowder66

(9,070 posts)
11. This stuck out to me and I have heard others agree that it stood out....
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:37 PM
Oct 2012

"Is the reason that Governor Romney is keeping all these plans to replace secret because they're too good? Is it because middle class families are going to benefit too much from them?"

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
13. you're wrong. There was the image of
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:43 PM
Oct 2012

romney appearing strong and centrist. at least that's the image that a substantial number of people walked away with. that and President Obama looking listless and casting his eyes down repeatedly. It's not only about what is said. The overall impression can be potent.

Skidmore

(37,364 posts)
15. Except for the squawking of the pundits and the panicked.
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:47 PM
Oct 2012

I think that the reaction to the debate and these confounded polls have become that giant sucking sound you hear in a vacuum of little news. What else was on today??????? Rhea Perlman and Danny DeVito split, Sandusky implodes, some guy is trying to burn up on reentry with a parachute attached, and another guy spent three days trying to electrocute himself and now needs to lay down for three days to rest.

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