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malaise

(269,103 posts)
Fri Oct 12, 2012, 06:08 PM Oct 2012

This will be Rafael in a short while



Note the eye forming.

UPDATED...AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS
CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ABOUT 100 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DOMINICA.
PRELIMINARY DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE LOW COULD BE
DEVELOPING A WELL-DEFINED CENTER...AND THAT IT IS PRODUCING WINDS
OF TROPICAL-STORM FORCE NEAR PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. IF
ADDITIONAL AIRCRAFT DATA CONFIRM THE EXISTENCE OF A CENTER...
ADVISORIES WOULD BE INITIATED ON TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL EARLY THIS
EVENING. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

IF A TROPICAL STORM FORMS...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS WOULD BE NEEDED
FOR PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES AND
THE VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE AND HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.


If I were in the Virgin islands or Puerto Rico, I'd be leaving about now
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This will be Rafael in a short while (Original Post) malaise Oct 2012 OP
Now Tropical Storm Rafael malaise Oct 2012 #1
Whoa ananda Oct 2012 #2
Strangely it's expected to remain a tropical storm malaise Oct 2012 #3

malaise

(269,103 posts)
1. Now Tropical Storm Rafael
Fri Oct 12, 2012, 08:32 PM
Oct 2012

From Master's blog comments

Rafael is only the fifth R storm ever, after Roxanne (1995), Rita (2005), Richard (2010), and Rina (2011). All but Richard became major hurricanes. (Richard was a 2)


That's three straight years

malaise

(269,103 posts)
3. Strangely it's expected to remain a tropical storm
Fri Oct 12, 2012, 08:42 PM
Oct 2012

as it moves into the Atlantic - all the way up to Canada

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