Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
 

Sheepshank

(12,504 posts)
Fri Oct 12, 2012, 06:45 PM Oct 2012

Closer to the Election, Rasmussen gets more accurate

I have thought this over the last two elections. Rassy plays the numbers to press a RW agenda earlier in the campaigning. But closer to the election, their reputation must be maintained at all costs and the truth starts being promoted.

Rassy's eventual accuracy process serves a secondary purpose. If they can establish a great reputation for accuracy during one election, it may bolster their influence during the next.

Intrade ranked the 2008 pollsters for accurancy on the FINAL poll before the elections:
http://electoralmap.net/2012/2008_election.php

This completely confirms what we have been saying all along. Rassy earlier polls cannot be trusted.

BTW, it's interesting to see the 2008 Intrade electoral vote forecast, vs the actual electoral map.

Obama 365/McCain 173 Electoral Map


Obama 364/McCain 174 Intrade Forecast

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Closer to the Election, R...