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jsr

(7,712 posts) Sun Oct 14, 2012, 01:52 AM Oct 2012

Obama grabs wide lead among those who have already voted: Reuters/Ipsos poll

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/14/us-usa-campaign-poll-idUSBRE8991FR20121014

Obama grabs wide lead among those who have already voted: Reuters/Ipsos poll
By Andy Sullivan
WASHINGTON | Sun Oct 14, 2012 1:15am EDT

(Reuters) - President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney are neck and neck in opinion polls, but there is one area in which the incumbent appears to have a big advantage: those who have already cast their ballots.

Obama leads Romney by 59 percent to 31 percent among early voters, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling data compiled in recent weeks.

The sample size of early voters is relatively small, but the Democrat's margin is still well above the poll's credibility interval - a measurement of polls' accuracy - of 10 percentage points. (full graphic: bit.ly/RmeEen)

With the November 6 election just more than three weeks away, 7 percent of those surveyed said they had already voted either in person or by mail (full graphic: bit.ly/SWm5YR).

8 replies

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Obama grabs wide lead among those who have already voted: Reuters/Ipsos poll (Original Post) jsr Oct 2012 OP

Deep sigh of relief... May the state races follow suit... Time for a sweep. freshwest Oct 2012 #1

A word of caution RobertEarl Oct 2012 #2

And this, ladies and gentlemen, is why the GOP is trying to stop early voting around the country Cali_Democrat Oct 2012 #3

thats why im confused as to ppp saying 19% zach1845 Oct 2012 #4

Early voting can be via absentee ballot or in person. LisaL Oct 2012 #5

If the race is close, it could make a difference. Michigan Alum Oct 2012 #6

Yes, but are they LVs or RVs...? regnaD kciN Oct 2012 #7

See why I say Obama's gonna win by a LANDSLIDE? johnlucas Oct 2012 #8

freshwest

(53,661 posts)

1. Deep sigh of relief... May the state races follow suit... Time for a sweep.

Reply to jsr (Original post)

Sun Oct 14, 2012, 01:56 AM

Oct 2012

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)

2. A word of caution

Reply to freshwest (Reply #1)

Sun Oct 14, 2012, 02:05 AM

Oct 2012

In 2004 the early votes went hugely to Kerry in a number of states. States that Bush ended up winning. And that wasn't just surveys, it was in the final results.

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)

3. And this, ladies and gentlemen, is why the GOP is trying to stop early voting around the country

Reply to jsr (Original post)

Sun Oct 14, 2012, 02:34 AM

Oct 2012

zach1845

(30 posts)

4. thats why im confused as to ppp saying 19%

Reply to jsr (Original post)

Sun Oct 14, 2012, 02:46 AM

Oct 2012

have voted. Cant be possible.

http://news.yahoo.com/romney-looks-cut-obamas-early-voter-advantage-070319089--election.html

It seems around 4% even all the ballots that were sent out so far uqual about 20% of ohios electorate.
and the AP is showing little difference in republican and democrat requests. Dont put to much into that 20 percent already voted and 75 went for democrats. People will think then it will be a cakewalk. I belive he is winning 4 to 6, but not that 20% have voted. I belive when Bush beet kerry in 2004 Iowa early voting was 5 to 1 democrats and yet bush won. you cant put alot into those figures then people wont vote!

LisaL

(44,973 posts)

5. Early voting can be via absentee ballot or in person.

Reply to zach1845 (Reply #4)

Sun Oct 14, 2012, 02:47 AM

Oct 2012

Michigan Alum

(335 posts)

6. If the race is close, it could make a difference.

Reply to jsr (Original post)

Sun Oct 14, 2012, 02:52 AM

Oct 2012

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)

7. Yes, but are they LVs or RVs...?

Reply to jsr (Original post)

Sun Oct 14, 2012, 03:08 AM

Oct 2012

johnlucas

(1,250 posts)

8. See why I say Obama's gonna win by a LANDSLIDE?

Reply to jsr (Original post)

Sun Oct 14, 2012, 05:57 AM

Oct 2012

I posted this thread on October 10th telling you all Obama's gonna TROUNCE Romney on Election Day.
ELECTION SPOILER: Obama wins in a LANDSLIDE

I don't care what opinion polls say. Either pro or con.
And yes that thing from Reuters is another poll but in my thread I declared a Landslide I explain my reasoning.
It's the candidates they put up against Obama.
They never had a chance.

Mark my words.
I see a landslide of 20 points in Popular Vote coming. Minimum 15%.
This race has NEVER been close & never WILL be.
John Lucas

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