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LynneSin

(95,337 posts)
Sun Oct 14, 2012, 09:53 PM Oct 2012

This is a damn impressive map for a year when Republicans were to make serious gains

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Senate/Maps/Oct14-s.html

This is the current political makeup of the US Senate Races for 2012. This was not to be a good year for dems in the senate mainly because there were so many retired democrats in states that tend to be moderate to republican leaning. Retiring democratic senators including Kohl in Wisconsin, Bingaman in Arizona, Webb in Virginia, Conrad in ND, Akaka in HI, Nelson of Nebraska, Lieberman in CT (Dem turned Independent who caucus'd with the Dems). That's seven retiring Democratic senators and along with that Tester in Montana, McCaskill in MO and Brown in Oh all seemed very vulnerable.

Look at that map and what do you see - There are 33 seats up for re-election this cycle with 23 of them owned (or once owned) by democrats with the other 10 owned by republicans.

You know what I see on that map today - Only FIVE states are solid red color. Utah, Texas, Nebraska, Wyoming and Mississippi. That is just freaking UNHEARD of when Democrats have to defend over twice as many seats as the republicans. Four of those states were safe Republican seats with Nebraska the only GOP pickup.

Of the 23 Democratic Seats up for election - right now 13 are safe, 5 are pretty much safe and one will probably be lost to the republicans leaving us a battle in just 4 states - VA, ND, MT and WI. As for the Republican - Only 4 of their 10 seats are safe, TN is competitive but an unsupported crazy is running on the Dem ticket and that leaves FIVE states that are very competitive.

Right now Massachusetts and Maine look to flip party although to be fair Maine is an Independent former democrat running. The other 3 states have been very competitive - Indiana, Arizona and Nevada. In fact today Indiana and Arizona have been polling blue.

I can only imagine that if we are doing this well with the senate then we'll have some good news with House & Governor races as well

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This is a damn impressive map for a year when Republicans were to make serious gains (Original Post) LynneSin Oct 2012 OP
. n/t porphyrian Oct 2012 #1
Kick! calimary Oct 2012 #2
I want the House. aquart Oct 2012 #3
Morning Kick LynneSin Oct 2012 #4
TN is barely GOP? ananda Oct 2012 #5
Doesn't matter who wins in Tennessee. The DSCC won't even support the guy LynneSin Oct 2012 #6

LynneSin

(95,337 posts)
6. Doesn't matter who wins in Tennessee. The DSCC won't even support the guy
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 08:27 AM
Oct 2012

And I for one have no issues with a DUer from Tennessee voting 3rd party in that race.

http://content.usatoday.com/communities/onpolitics/post/2012/08/mark-clayton-tennessee-senate-bob-corker-hate-group/1#.UHwArcWClG0\\

"Mark Clayton is associated with a known hate group in Washington, D.C., and the Tennessee Democratic Party disavows his candidacy, will not do anything to promote or support him in any way, and urges Democrats to write-in a candidate of their choice in November," the Tennessee Democratic Party said in a statement.

Clayton is vice president of Public Advocate USA, a conservative advocacy group based in Virginia. The group supported legislation in Tennessee to restrict teaching about homosexuality in elementary and middle schools, known as the "don't say gay" bill.


And if you think that's a bit harsh the SPLC has defined the Public Advocate USA as a hate group. Here's more about the group from Wiki:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_Advocate_of_the_United_States

Platform

The organization has a platform which advocates:[1]
Support for a Federal Marriage Amendment to the United States Constitution, and opposition to same-sex marriage and "so-called 'Gay Rights'." (The organization's activism campaigns focus largely on removing sexual orientation as a protected class and promoting protection for ex-gay therapy participants, and its 2012 political candidate survey is based largely on opposition to gay activism.)[9]
Support for school prayer
Expansion of faith-based initiatives
Opposition to abortion
Opposition to "hate crimes and thought control legislation"
Support for "Boy Scouts, organized sports and other activities that reinforce morality, accountability and leadership in our youth"
Tax cuts and elimination of pork barrel spending
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